Re: Russia
@ReRussiaorg_eng
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Project dedicated to the promotion and discussion of current expert and analytical knowledge about Russia. Headed by political scientist Kirill Rogov
Joined June 2022
Russia’s industrial growth in 2025 is bifurcated: rapid expansion in military and military-linked production is financed at the expense of the civilian sector — 70% of industries contract while only 20% grow — highlighting macroeconomic imbalance
re-russia.net
Generous budgetary funding for the expanding military sector makes a significant contribution to the budget deficit and acts as an inflationary factor in the economy. The flow of budgetary resources...
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Trump’s Ukraine policy is failing to persuade Americans. A @YouGovAmerica poll shows 42% believe he is more likely to side with Russia, while only 22% see him as balanced. Learning the details of the peace plan deepens skepticism
re-russia.net
In November, approval of Trump’s presidency fell to a new low in his second term, with 36% approving and 60% disapproving. Among all items on the current agenda, his Ukraine policy attracts the least...
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Nearly 90% of Ukrainians see any ceasefire or peace deal as a temporary pause before renewed Russian aggression; 60% say concessions are futile and only encourage Moscow, while ~30% favour talks due to resource constraints, not trust in Russia.
re-russia.net
Almost 90% of Ukrainians are convinced that any potential peace agreement and cessation of hostilities would amount only to a pause before a new Russian attack. For this reason, 60% of those surveyed...
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Despite website blocking, VPN restrictions and prosecutions of readers, Russia’s uncensored media expanded their audiences in 2025: YouTube +11%, TikTok +90%, Instagram +108%. Censorship reduced access, not demand
re-russia.net
Despite expanding censorship, funding difficulties and audience burnout, the sector of Russian relocated media showed notable resilience in 2025. Although blocking measures reduced total visits to...
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The Kremlin, which runs continuous polling, is fully aware of these sentiments. Instead of seeking an exit, Putin is doubling down — a path that demands deeper ideological control and wider repression.
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Pollsters split Russian respondents into 2 groups: one asked what they want, the other what they expect. 88% of the first wished for the war to end and for attention to shift to social and economic issues. Only 47% expected Putin to do so.
re-russia.net
Surveys show a significant and persistent gap between the decisions and policies that Russians surveyed consider desirable and those that they believe should be expected from the Russian authorities....
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“Unwillingness to take part in the war is now more socially acceptable than enthusiasm”, says Kirill Rogov, the founder of Re: Russia.
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At Re: Russia’s conference, experts described shifts in the economy and public mood. Oleg Vyugin, former deputy head of the Central Bank, said the Kremlin can no longer continue the war without inflicting pain: “In 2026 the consequences…will become apparent.”
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“Russia is not as resilient as it wants you to think,” writes @ArkadyOstrovsky in @TheEconomist, citing experts from a recent Re: Russia conference. “Its army’s progress is bloody and slow. Its economic problems are serious and mounting.”
economist.com
But Vladimir Putin will keep fighting, and claiming victory prematurely
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“Unwillingness to take part in the war is now more socially acceptable than enthusiasm”, says Kirill Rogov, the founder of Re: Russia.
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While the Kremlin exaggerates its battlefield successes, oil-price estimates for 2026 are also turning increasingly unfavourable for Russia
re-russia.net
While the Kremlin overstates its battlefield gains, the latest data on Russian budget revenues exposes Moscow’s weak position in the ongoing negotiations. The overall decline in oil prices and the...
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The effect of sanctions against Russia is amplified by an increasingly unfavourable global oil-market environment, likely pushing the effective fiscal oil price toward ~$45/bbl in 2026. Data & assessments: @IEA @ICE_Markets @Bloomberg @EIAgov @Kpler
re-russia.net
While the Kremlin overstates its battlefield gains, the latest data on Russian budget revenues exposes Moscow’s weak position in the ongoing negotiations. The overall decline in oil prices and the...
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Russia’s current offensive seeks leverage by signaling rapid control of Donbas, but analysis of frontline data — including from Russian sources — undermines this narrative. Data & assessments: @Deepstate_UA @Black_BirdGroup @TheStudyofWar
re-russia.net
The Russian army is in a phase of active offensive operations, with a pace intended to convince the United States, the West and Ukraine itself that Moscow is capable of securing control over the...
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The rush to revive a new 'peace plan' isn’t about diplomacy, it’s about pressure
re-russia.net
The main trigger for the emergence of the new 'peace plan' was the shift in the balance of power both on the battlefield and within Ukraine. The successes of the Russian offensive, the severe damage...
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From hope and mistrust to legitimising the war, how were Trump’s peacekeeping efforts received in Ukraine and Russia?
re-russia.net
During the election campaign, Donald Trump sparked a surge of hope in both Russia and Ukraine for a swift end to the conflict. His initial steps in this direction, however, produced a paradoxical...
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Surveys show that Russians’ desired policies are consistently more liberal than what they expect from the Kremlin
re-russia.net
Surveys show a significant and persistent gap between the decisions and policies that Russians surveyed consider desirable and those that they believe should be expected from the Russian authorities....
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Ukraine faces widespread power outages as Russia intensifies its energy war, hitting thermal plants, substations & drones attacks escalate
re-russia.net
Russia has begun a new phase of its energy war against Ukraine in an effort to break the population’s will to resist. By November, the Kremlin had made significant progress with this strategy by...
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Russia’s 2025 tax manoeuvre has failed: non-oil revenues are weakening, oil income is collapsing under sanctions, and spending keeps rising
re-russia.net
The government’s attempt to reduce the budget deficit by raising taxes against a backdrop of falling oil prices and declining economic activity can already be described as a failure. Nevertheless,...
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Our Repression Index, which is based on statistics from Russian courts, shows a sharp surge in state repression from mid-2024 to 2025, surpassing the early-war peak of 2022 https://t.co/gaWKEWOzk7
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After more than 18 months of fighting, the likely fall of Pokrovsk raises a key question: does it show Russia’s strength or its limits?
re-russia.net
The Russian army is close to successfully completing a strategic manoeuvre to capture Pokrovsk. However, the key question today remains: how should the fall of the city after a year and a half of...
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