Pratik Kala
@PratikKala
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Portfolio Manager & Head of Research @ApolloCryptoFM - opinions are own - not financial or personal advice
Joined January 2022
Nice size on this one, $BTC yield target is 30% by EOY.Saylor has to smash the bid harder to get there
Strategy has acquired 4,048 BTC for ~$449.3 million at ~$110,981 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 25.7% YTD 2025. As of 9/1/2025, we hodl 636,505 $BTC acquired for ~$46.95 billion at ~$73,765 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD
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Most of you are already aware of the ATM facilities used by DAT's but I made a little video on:. 1. What are the limits to ATM facilities? .2. Is this an infinity money glitch? .3. How long can the ATM's go on for? .4. Why are DAT's a net positive for crypto.5. How DAT's change
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Trump has mode more money via crypto in 1 year than he made in his entire real estate career.
Crypto now biggest portion of Trump family’s paper net worth…. “WLFI is likely now the Trumps’ most valuable asset, exceeding their decades-old property portfolio.”. Wild.
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Again, most of us just argue on different timeframes. The two tweets below will provide evidence that rate cutting is 100% bullish at first -- then after a 88-300 days it might be bearish. That's a looong time for most people here.
Historical Pumps and Dumps after Rate Cuts. The data and charts below represent the price action of the $SPX after Fed cuts in markets where unemployment is on an uptrend (top right chart), the US Economic Leading Indicator is on a downtrend (bottom left chart), the 10y2y is
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Bessent announced relaxing the supplemental ratio. Trump is a real-estate man - rates down = money brrr = stock market up = bragging rights. Fed already under pressure to cut. If anything, this is the cycle $BTC can get both a risk-on AND a risk-off (currency crises) bid
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People had no idea if they would survive Covid wave 2 or 3 or 4 — but they still bought stonks. So ask yourself, if in the midst of mass death and gloom, if a rate cutting cycle led to the strongest v-shaped rally… then why over analyse and think this one is bearish?.
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And its what the market did with S&P falling by 30% when Covid was official. What happened next is of interest — rates get cut to 0 and we saw one of the fastest v-shaped recoveries in stock market history
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Buy stonks or go to cash to protect your children, wife, aging parents in case something were to happen to you?. Aside from some degenerative gamblers with no family (sorry), the instinct would be to go to cash and weather it out.
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A lot of energy is spent on whether a rate cut is bullish or bearish. Let me simplify it for you with simple logic. What would your instinct be if the probability of you dying increased dramatically?.
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- we've had billions of $ worth of distribution here.- .@udiWertheimer has a good post of what happens next.
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It is kind of wild that $BTC is trading at below the 20 Jan wick after:. - billions in $MSTR purchases.- billions in other DAT purchases ($MTPLX and co).- billions in ETF purchases.- official sovereign reserve.- pro US policy (Trump and his family non-stop shilled)
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Lenin on crypto:. As the inflation proceeds and the real value of the currency fluctuates wildly from month to month, all permanent relations between debtors and creditors, which form the ultimate foundation of capitalism, become so utterly disordered as to be almost meaningless;.
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China produces goods.China sells to US.China gets paid in UST.China accumulates a tonne of UST.China wants to dump UST.US yields go higher.US consumer hurt.US consumer can’t buy Chinese goods.China factories shut.China hurt. Reflexive economies - who has more power in 2035?.
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Agree with Alex - 6 days ago everyone was bullish post JHole - only a 5k difference in $BTC and people turned bearish . Thesis hasn’t changed .
Most crypto charts now look so broken and bearish that is buillish. Long liquidations have been significant. Mainly the last two rounds after the close today. I'm bullish into next week and positioned accordingly at the moment (after puking in style earlier in the day). Remember
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Gold $XAU is making a run for ATH .- no escalation in wars.- bond market ok (maybe not JGB) . Perhaps seasonality but smth to watch
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The irony is not lost on me; when Saylor was championing $BTC on CNBC people cried out "satoshi is rolling in his grave - how is this decentralized?". The same people are cheering on Tom Lee, Lubin and more right now. stay commercial
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> 50% probability this will happen .place your bets. Hyperliquid.
In b4 @chameleon_jeff announces “um, of course our 11-man team isn’t selling $500mm in $HYPE tokens per month upon unlock - we’ll each transparently sell $1mm/month, way less than daily HYPE buybacks”. HYPE will jump 30-50% as soon as this irrational overhang fear dissipates.
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$FLUID one of the cleanest tokens in the market .- highest rated on token transparency framework.- no equity structure.- all value accrues to token/treasury.- do not spend $ on stupid things and events.- cracked team shipping - no dramas. buybacks coming soon!.
Jupiter Lend is now the 2nd biggest money market on Solana in just 24hrs of launch. Where will it be in 1 month? 🤔
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