Milo Stynes
@MiloStynes
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Working in, on and around prediction markets.
Ireland
Joined August 2012
Build this on every suburban street corner in America.
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Can we start retro fitting buildings with beautiful facades? Maybe improvements in Gen AI, Lazer scanning and CNC machines can bring the costs down to not make this cost prohibitive.
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At least @Clavicular0 makes sort of sense with looksmaxxing In the 2000's, Mystery and 'Pick Up Artists' had people buying 100'000's of dollars worth of courses and books. Convincing young men to got to bars dressed like they had just robbed a fancy dress shop.. ..then
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To be fair... In the 2000's British washing up liquid adverts went through a period which mainly consisted of promoting that your baby could strawpedo a whole bottle of their washing up liquid and still be sound.
The british not rinsing soap thing can’t actually be real lol right. Like they can’t actually just be leaving their soap-covered dishes out to dry lol right. They know how soap works surely lol surely they know how soap works
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Basically pre 2014 Facebook.
It feels pretty obvious at this point that someone’s going to make billions building a social app that’s just for friends, no AI slop, no brainrot, calm design, chronological feed and no concept of followers.
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Put my head in hands today at council officials suggesting banning 18-21 year old birthday parties from the village hall while also subsiding pensioners to go to the pop up cinema there.
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This is my quant
POLYMARKET CAUGHT FAKING VOLUME DATA Watch as a $10 bet is reported as $52.9 in volume!
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This journo went to Oxford as well 😭 Like bruh, one google search that's all you needed to do. https://t.co/HESISy3jLT
telegraph.co.uk
By offering wagers on anything, websites like Polymarket and Kalshi are shaking up gambling markets
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The American prediction market landscape is very much in the pre revenue honeymoon phase. They're willing to burn money creating fun and interesting markets. Swallow losses from adverse selection and errors. The prediction market landscape will not look like this in 10-15 years
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American betting exchanges haven't had there Voler La Vedette & Premium Charge moment but it will come.
Gambling companies: > Only “win” (profit) when their customers lose > Use predatory tactics to retain users (e.g. micro-targeted notifications / promos, VIP programs, etc.) > Have no worldly benefit outside “entertainment” > Ban winning customers Does this sound like Kalshi?
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American exchanges are going to have their Voler La Vedette and Premium Charge moment at some point. At the moment they're happy to eat fuck tons of adverse selection to win the market, but at some point the breaks are going to have to come on.
We got this wrong. In a rush to fix the SGP bug before NFL Sunday, we were too aggressive in cancelling trades that already won. We have decided to honor all these trades and pay them in full. Building the most trusted prediction market means listening to customers and owning
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She missed a trick not calling it "Let us talk"
They tried to silence her. They failed. The Liz Truss Show — December 5th. It’s time to fight for the West.
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American Prediction Markets are: - Under estimating the extent of the adverse selection they're going to face. - Over estimating the volume of dumb money they can acquire and retain to offset this. This is also off the back of @novig palping a ton of bets.
A Google insider has officially been exposed on Polymarket. This dude just profited $1,000,000 in a single day betting on the Google search markets. Google accidentally pushed the results early, then removed them, but not before it revealed he went 22/23 on his bets and
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I'm surprised labour didn't introduce a caffeine tax. Seems like a tax they could create a justification for.
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The amount of money this would raise must be minimal versus the insanely terrible optics of this policy. Who are advising Labour?
🚨 BREAKING: Shabana Mahmood will tomorrow announce that asylum seekers will have their valuable assets like jewellery seized and sold to pay for their accommodation costs [@TheSun]
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This modern bland aesthetic terrorism of the last 10 years is seeping into every aspect of our lives. Characterless houses to bland blocky logos. I feel we need a modern art nouveau movement. harnessing the efficiency in AI design and manufacturing.
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"Ok Execs..... new kids show... Retired women with a plane fly's around and audits supply chains with her dog"
I’m ‘Auntie Mabel flying to WHSmiths to buy ONE singular pencil’ level of petty and lazy today
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Ancient Greek "Live, Laugh, Love"
2,400 year-old skeleton mosaic discovered in Turkey with the caption: “Be cheerful, enjoy your life”.
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