Benjamin Freeman
@benwfreeman1
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Election predictions guy since 2019. Kalshi user since 2024. Youtube Channel: https://t.co/rvxpzbKnY8
Boston, MA
Joined May 2016
2025 US ELECTION PREDICTION RECAP Races Called Correctly: 5/5 Average Margin Error: ~4.6% Looking back at my 2025 election predictions, I did well, but I definitely could have done better on the margins (especially with NJ GOV) Looking forward to the 2026 Midterms! ✔️ NYC
🚨Final 2025 Election Predictions🚨 🗳️New York City Mayoral🗳️ 🔵 Zohran Mamdani - 52% (+15) ⚪️ Andrew Cuomo - 37% 🔴 Curtis Sliwa - 10% 🗳️New Jersey Governor🗳️ 🔵 Mikie Sherrill - 52% (+6) 🔴 Jack Ciattarelli - 46% 🗳️Virginia Governor🗳️ 🔵 Abigail Spanberger - 56% (+13) 🔴
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For the giveaway tomorrow, which option do you prefer? (I'll do whatever the majority says)
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Fast, reliable internet no matter how remote. Experience speeds up to 400+ Mbps to enjoy streaming your favorite shows and sports, video calling, browsing forums and weather apps—even in the most rural areas. Order online in under 2 minutes.
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For my first X payout of ~$300, I wanted to do what Andrew Yang does and give it away to someone who likes this post. (I’ll ask Grok to pick a random person at 12 PM ET tomorrow) I’m so incredibly grateful to even be able to monetize X, so I want to thank y’all for engaging!
As usual I will give my x earnings ($170.70) to someone who likes this post! Winner chosen at random on Sunday. For extra fun if the winner follows @joinnoblemobile I will double it and if you are a Noble subscriber I will give you TEN times the amount! Happy holidays!! 😀🎉
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I don’t understand this strategy by the White House There are likely some massive Sabrina Carpenter fans who were also Trump voters Now, you’re going to purposefully poke the bear? Pissing off a lot of people just to troll seems juvenile & not an effective political strategy
PSA: If you’re a criminal illegal, you WILL be arrested & deported. ✨
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Politico: “Platner’s Senate Campaign might be doomed” Kalshi: He still has a 67% chance to win… This is why it’s helpful having prediction markets integrated into news coverage because it keeps journalists accountable. This headline is very misleading
Graham Platner’s Maine Senate campaign really might be doomed. Pay attention to him anyway: The candidate embodies a quarter-century of raw American frustration. It’s the source of his strength — and potentially his downfall. https://t.co/hFQEb6vKHR
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I do appreciate everyone's thoughtful opinion that's in good faith and respectful. I'm no longer going to read every reply because it's gotten to be a bit out of hand, and I'm going to take a bit of a digital detox. I hope everyone has a great weekend!
I really appreciate everyone’s thoughtful opinions. It’s good to have differing points of view! I am firmly a believer in the power of prediction markets & want them to succeed, but I read every reply and understand counterpoints, too! Free markets and free speech!
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I would to see a feature on Kalshi where I can filter based on expiration date I know there are a lot of markets ending at the end of the year, and it would be nice to look at them all at once, compare prices, and identify any mispricings or arb opportunities
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I really appreciate everyone’s thoughtful opinions. It’s good to have differing points of view! I am firmly a believer in the power of prediction markets & want them to succeed, but I read every reply and understand counterpoints, too! Free markets and free speech!
@AlexH_Johnson It’s an interesting perspective. I think a lot of it has to do with the mentality of the trader. I really only trade elections / politics (and some other markets) because I feel like I have an edge in them, so I would take Domer’s perspective that I feel like I’m doing the same
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PMT makes a very good case for prioritizing vibes>transcripts For Trump annual speeches in his 1st year of his 2nd term The transcripts are from 2017-2020, which are going to be outdated based on new words like “HOTTEST” that Trump has used ad nauseam recently Nice job!
If you give me Trump saying 'hottest' at 38%, I’m taking it to the max every time.
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All I see is 2 🐐’s I’ll be tuning in!!!
I ~predict~ an exciting interview with @Kalshi’s Co-Founder and CEO, Tarek Mansour! @MadMoneyOnCNBC tonight!!
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I really appreciate everyone’s thoughtful opinions. It’s good to have differing points of view! I am firmly a believer in the power of prediction markets & want them to succeed, but I read every reply and understand counterpoints, too! Free markets and free speech!
@AlexH_Johnson It’s an interesting perspective. I think a lot of it has to do with the mentality of the trader. I really only trade elections / politics (and some other markets) because I feel like I have an edge in them, so I would take Domer’s perspective that I feel like I’m doing the same
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I’m looking forward to the day when @PredMTrader is the new @jimcramer I will fade “Inch” No, just like everyone does with Cramer’s stock picks
I’ve watched CNBC since I was a kid – my parents always had it on. This is really cool. No media company loves markets more and would be a better fit. Looking forward to the day Jim Cramer does a segment on Kalshi Markets.
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For everyone who is reading this post, please read my next one underneath. I give clear reasoning why they are different and why prediction markets are better. I don’t think anyone can dispute these points
Gambling companies: > Only “win” (profit) when their customers lose > Use predatory tactics to retain users (e.g. micro-targeted notifications / promos, VIP programs, etc.) > Have no worldly benefit outside “entertainment” > Ban winning customers Does this sound like Kalshi?
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Today, CNBC integrates Kalshi into its news coverage Now, not only will we see the price of AAPL, NVDA, and TSLA, we can also see the price / likelihood of: > Trump passing tariffs > Democrats taking the Senate > Fed cuts This undeniably makes our news coverage better!
CNBC x Kalshi The leading business news network integrates the leading prediction market. Kalshi’s data will supercharge CNBC’s reporting: unfiltered, accurate and market-driven. A new era of media is here.
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Gambling companies: > Only “win” (profit) when their customers lose > Use predatory tactics to retain users (e.g. micro-targeted notifications / promos, VIP programs, etc.) > Have no worldly benefit outside “entertainment” > Ban winning customers Does this sound like Kalshi?
Kalshi is a gambling company
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“Paid for by the American Gaming Association” If you needed another proof point that Kalshi isn’t gambling, the gambling industry is launching a multi-million smear campaign against prediction markets
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Kalshi is NOT a gambling company. Saying so is incorrect. I assume that people calling Kalshi “gambling” are uninformed, rather than being defamatory, but Kalshi is not “gaming.” It’s been decided in the courts. Please read the 15 pages of KalshiEx LLC v. CFTC (2024) before
Late stage capitalism is so awesome, I love having gambling company x global news outlet collaborations and no healthcare
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The answer lies in the question itself
Who is D4VD??? And how is he the #1 Googled person of 2025???
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