Michael J. Kramer
@MichaelMOTTCM
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Independent Macro & Market Strategist | Founder, Mott Capital | https://t.co/HBH1mLLwZT
Garden City, NY
Joined February 2016
For anyone curious, I posted this to my website, showing how 2Q'25 went for me. It is not a solicitation or offer to sell any product or service. Being transparent in how I use my own analysis.
mottcapitalmanagement.com
8/4/25 The current market environment isn’t for the faint of heart. Significant drawdowns in the first quarter, followed by substantial rallies in the
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So, I guess that means tariffs will stay in place until June 2026?.
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The Liquidity Drain Could Be About To Hit Markets .
seekingalpha.com
See how declining reserve balances, TGA refills, and liquidity tightening may signal rising market stress and impact financing costs this September. Click for more.
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Liquidity Pressures Build as Settlements Rise and Reserves Decline.
mottcapitalmanagement.com
Market liquidity pressures are mounting as reserve balances decline and large Treasury settlements approach, leaving equities vulnerable despite lower volatility.
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Caught in the middle of a political battle, @BlackRock reaffirmed its focus is helping millions of Americans save for retirement. They warned that injecting politics from either side risks undermining financial performance.
prosperityretirementalliance.com
Millions of Ameircans depend on the security of their retirement savings to live with dignity after a lifetime of hard work. That’s why the Alliance for Prosperity and a Secure Retirement (APSR)...
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uh oh, it's all the way down to about $1.60.
oh wow. An Nvidia 180 call that expires on Friday is almost $7. good luck!.
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What an amazing setup in the NASDAQ 100 if it holds.
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RT @MichaelMOTTCM: oh wow. An Nvidia 180 call that expires on Friday is almost $7. good luck!.
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Nvidia Modest Beat Fails to Impress as Volatility Fades .
mottcapitalmanagement.com
The S&P 500 closed modestly higher as markets awaited Nvidia earnings, while inflation swaps and the yield curve signaled growing concerns about long-term inflation expectations.
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When a 5-year CPI swap breaks out of a well-defined trading range of the past 2.5 years, is it still considered okay to say that inflation expectations are well anchored?
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oh wow. An Nvidia 180 call that expires on Friday is almost $7. good luck!.
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It must be a special day, VIX up, SPX up, DXY UP, 30Y Up, 1-month Implied correlations up.
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RT @his_eminence_j: Inflation isn’t finished, guys. I’ve been warning you. That’s one of the reasons that bond yields continue to rise. W….
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Bitcoin’s on fire at $112K! Time to flip the charts on BTCC!.Exploring Cryptocurrency with Jaren Jackson Jr.🏀.
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5-yr CPI Inflation swap, highest level since March 2023.
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VIX 1-day finished under 8 yesterday, going much higher today with Nvidia later.
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US 30 minus the 2-year breakout and clearing resistance.
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