Old CTO-friend.. "Quietly, a majority of senior engineers still resist AI coding, even in AI co's, claiming it doesn't work. It's because AI coding is closer to the messyness of managing a human than writing code, and most of them were never good at managing humans either." 😜

Just signed agreements for an exciting new venture. Stay tuned!

JPMorgan just raised recession odds to 60%!! My quick take on what happens next: 1. Layoffs come in waves, not all at once. First round in Q2 (10-15%), then again in Q4 (15-25% more) as companies realize the first cut wasn't deep enough. 2. VCs get quieter. LPs pull back

My office was a block from this beautiful, ambitious, ill-fated development: Portland’s own Ritz-Carlton. When you take huge risks to bring something beautiful to the world and it fails, everyone thinks they saw it coming. Succeed? They predicted that too.

Determination is probably the biggest piece of success — Mark Zuckerberg

Though like all accounts biased, this opinion piece by Daniel Haile is an important take on the current Ethiopia-Eritrea situation.

"Survival = Runway" today's word of wisdom from @sethtalbott

"Every ruler who donned the crown came armed with fire and fury, convinced that the only language Ethiopia understands is brute force."

This might be a pretty unpopular post. Story time: I learned this lesson the hard way that startup equity is worth exactly $0 until the day someone actually buys it from you. I sold a company for $4M stock. I was told by exec team I was getting a deal. People I looked up to in

If it looks easy, you don’t understand all the pieces. If it looks fast, you don’t get what slows it down. If it looks guaranteed, you’re probably the one getting screwed. So much of maturing comes down to realizing that great things take time and you’re not the exception.

“Certainty is a prison. The more we crave it the more inclined we become to stick to the narrow paths…” Margaret Heffernan’s email this morning celebrating blind singer @Victoriavivace was beautiful.

Doing a lot of these valuations lately. This is a great breakdown.

If the deal looks too good to be true, it usually is. Brace for heavy weather my friend!

I dealt with high-stress and high-leverage situations constantly as Catalyst’s CEO… Then and now, having quality partners made the difference. Hats off to @sethtalbott for showing remarkable grace under pressure today. HOW we do business matters.

Little things add a lot of joy. “What is my purpose” holographic polish from @mooncatnyc in the Kansas City sun

Meditation on aging by Ursula Le Guin: “For old people, beauty doesn’t come free with the hormones, the way it does for the young. It has to do with bones. It has to do with who the person is.”

Insane quote but it’s true. “Being a founder is like chewing glass and staring into the abyss. after a while, you stop staring and start liking the taste of your own blood.” @elonmusk

Fantastic, well-written overview of some of the more puzzling trends in cocktails the past couple decades. If a bar can’t serve me a great Negroni, why would I trust a custom drink with a bazillion ingredients that costs $28?

According to Zillow’s latest forecast, these will be the top 10 hottest housing markets in 2025: Buffalo, New York Indianapolis, Indiana Providence, Rhode Island Hartford, Connecticut Philadelphia, Pennsylvania St. Louis, Missouri Charlotte, North Carolina Kansas City, Missouri

Best 40th birthday gift = new signed MOU. Gosh I love new business.