Louie
@LMastro99
Followers
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Following
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Q̵u̵a̵n̵t̵i̵t̵a̵t̵i̵v̵e̵ Sports Trader @Novig - previously @FDSportsbook NBA/WNBA Originator - DM's open if you can help get down
Jersey City - New York City
Joined October 2020
"u apparently dont appreciate t̶h̶i̶s̶ Novig bc they are totally new concepts incongruent to legacy sportsbook dogma to which u appear hopelessly indoctrinated" - @deepvaluebettor
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if wemby were to tear his achilles on the toss of the ball, what's the fair probability he wins a jumpball against chris paul?
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🐐@LukeBornn -- (1) https://t.co/beucS1mkrk (2) https://t.co/lHGotSMgtF (3) https://t.co/SiNpSmPnIN (4) https://t.co/hDJ4C4YpMv (5) https://t.co/R4gbRWNZkI (6)
Using player tracking data we've created a model that estimates expected possession value for every second of every NBA game. Based on EPV output from last season, these are the players who put their teammates in the best positions to score.
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november 8th is clearly a national holiday where all NBA players decide to take the day off. shame on you if you forgot to factor this in your numbers
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The woke mob will try to tell you SGA is better than this man. Do not believe them.
GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO TONIGHT: 41 POINTS 15 REBOUNDS 9 ASSISTS 2 STEALS 2 BLOCKS 50% FG MVP HIM 🔥 (Via @realapp )
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worth noting that in conversations with others i refer to CLV as bet price compared against the devigged closing line and xROI against my own fair
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hold on... if someone bet o224.5 -110 and it closes at -111, have people been saying they got clv this whole time???
There is a lot of really inaccurate information out there; one has to be careful. You often hear "If you consistently beat the Closing line you will win". This is simply not true. THE TRUTH: You need to not just beat it, you need to beat it enough to overcome the vig. By
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totally get your point but even the sharpest bettors grossly underestimate the difficulty of hanging a number across the entire menu each and every day
If you can't make it work with the Barstool brand and you can't make it work with the ESPN brand, the sportsbook business might not be for you. Open up a chain of dry cleaners or something.
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describe today's betting in two words, i'll go first: simon & garfunkel
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idea: suppose lines on player props are set by sportsbooks with extremely low skilled traders and much sharper bettors whose incentives are to make money instead of offer a diverse menu exist and wish to place large trades on blatantly mispriced odds
This typically was happening on sports betting exchanges such as ProphetX and NoVig where there are no betting $ limits. Mmarket makers (people with likely inside knowledge) would knowingly offer up lines on these exchanges at prices that are very outlier to the market
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BREAKING: LOUIE HAS BEEN CLEARED OF ALL CHARGES IN THE ONGOING ZACK - 4C BOTHERING INVESTIGATION
@4caster20 @LMastro99 ZACK IS THIS GUY BOTHERING YOU
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elite NFL quarterback IQ is not even in the same stratosphere as elite NBA playmaker IQ
@Carsobi They’re the best at running, jumping, and skill but elite quarterbacks probably have the highest iq, running backs probably have the highest physical toughness, those are also elements of athleticism
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FT MERCHANT -> DOUBLE OT MERCHANT
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WE ARE RUNNING A TRADING STRAT FOR PROFESSIONAL SPORTS, TAKING LIVE SIGNALS FROM ATHLETES ON THE TEAMS. LOOKING TO FILL TWO OPENINGS IN PORTLAND AND MIAMI
we are running a trading strat for college football prediction markets, taking live signals from students at the game. our systems automatically size and execute trades based on their input. we currently have presence in Stanford and Berkley. if you are a trader at a U.S.
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