Kyle Handley
@KyleLHandley
Followers
2K
Following
6K
Media
355
Statuses
3K
Professor of Economics at @UCSanDiego @GPS_UCSD. Trail runner, gravel biker, news reader, international economist, tweets on all of the above.
San Diego, California
Joined March 2018
For those who still need to hear the news: @UNSWEcon is hiring on the 25/26 junior market!
🚨 WE @UNSWEcon ARE HIRING! 🚨 JMC: apply and email/DM for any question! A short 🧵 on @UNSWEcon and why you want to apply and join us in Sydney👇 https://t.co/XYxVQcXhlp
0
11
33
Where do consumers get their income?
In fact, the Beige book is mostly about tariffs not being passed through to consumers, except at the very high end. Large businesses, in particular, are being forced to absorb the tariffs.
2
4
29
We are hiring (a bit)! This year we are on the market for multiple positions at the junior and senior market and here is why you should join us (1/n): https://t.co/KJvhsQWTmQ
https://t.co/pIaen0o74U
1
47
130
Interesting new result showing Cayman registered hedge funds buying more treasuries than the usual suspects like Japan, China, or the UK.
In a new note, we demonstrate that the massive buildup in hedge fund Treasury positions in the past decade has had substantial effects on the national accounts data. This is due to underreporting to TIC of Cayman Islands Treasury holdings associated with these hedge funds.
0
0
3
This keeps happening because the tariffs are high enough that they reduce future, long run US productivity and economic growth, which then swamps the currency appreciation effect you are expecting in short run from “Econ 101.”
I love how Econ 101 says tariffs should make the dollar stronger, yet the dollar falls every time new tariffs are announced.
1
1
10
Tariffs continue to show up in prices: • Imported goods: 6.5% above pre-tariff trends • Domestic goods: 4.5% above Updated charts and data available at https://t.co/4k4b8kcRrD
16
155
440
It occurred to me today that I forgot to commemorate that it’s been 20 years since Fall 2005 when I started grad school @LSEnews and 14 years since I finished at @UMD_CollegePark. So guess I have been doing economics for 20 years now.
0
0
10
It's real. It might be spectacular. And I am sorely tempted.
0
1
1
1 week left to submit! Tariffs and Trade Policy: Past, Present, & Future @ncsu: Dec 5, 6, 7 (am) Due: Sept 30 https://t.co/gExpFfFJRR Keynote: @D_A_Irwin Panel: @ChadBown + @KyleLHandley +TBD US Tariff Database: 1789-2025 Flights, hotel, food incl. for presenters/discussants
1
7
13
Great choice of Bob Staiger for Chief Economist.
0
1
11
I just got a surprise bill from FedEx — $118 in taxes/fees for an Aug 30 shipment of $250 worth of bedding that I ordered thru a U.S. website. Apparently it came from oversees the day after the de minimus exemption was lifted. How irked are US consumers going to be by this??
3
5
41
Can anyone explain to the unusually large share of abstentions (no registered vote)? These are effectively no votes, the member is present, but they choose not to go on record. I would think in primaries & general elections, opponents would use the share of NRV abstentions
Once again, LA politicians showed they aren't serious about solving the housing shortage. In the Bay, 22 of 30 Assemblymembers voted Yes. In SoCal, only 17 of 44 voted Yes. Dems like @MayorOfLA fought SB 79 while young champions like @AsmSadeElhawary looked to the future.
0
1
0
📢CFP Tariffs and Trade Policy: Past, Present, & Future @ncsu: Dec 5, 6, 7 (am) Due: Sept 30 https://t.co/W6H79KmfoE Papers: 8 + Discuss Keynote: @D_A_Irwin Panel: @ChadBown +TBD Sponsor: @NSF NEW TARIFF DATABASE 1789-2025 Funding: Flight+Hotel+Food (presenter/discussant)
3
22
47
The 4th release of the Global Sanctions Database (GSDB-R4) is published in a SI of the World Economy. The next update, which will cover more years and detailed financial sanctions in on its way. https://t.co/nv55JZSohk
@GFelbermayr
@ProfErdalYalcin
@Ekwonomist
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
This paper introduces the fourth release of the Global Sanctions Data Base (GSDB-R4). Covering the period 1950–2023, it contains 1547 sanctions cases, including the recent ones against Russia. The...
📢NEW DATA! @GFelbermayr,@ProfErdalYalcin,@heider_kar, Sasha, Ohyun, Costas, & I are happy to share the new Global Sanctions Database (GSDB), including 1,547 sanctions, 1950-2023. We also estimate the effects of the sanctions on Russia. For details see https://t.co/ZR9XKnTT8Q
2
19
70
On a 5,500-TEU ship, losing 67 boxes ≈ 1.2% of cargo value. That’s a port disaster. At ~10% effective tariff rates, the same ship loses the value of 670 containers on every single trip. (assuming avg container is worth $50k) 2/2
0
2
1
Accidents make headlines when 67 containers fall. Tariffs quietly toss 670 overboard on every voyage. 1/2
1
2
2