Kristi Raik
@KristiRaik
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Director @ICDS_Tallinn, Adjunct Professor @UniTurku. Passionate about international politics and security, feeling home in Estonia, Finland and at sea.
Talsinki
Joined February 2014
My latest for @ForeignPolicy on why Finland 1944 is more relevant as a warning than as a model for Ukraine
foreignpolicy.com
A 1944 armistice that traded land for peace is a poor precedent for ending Russia’s war.
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USA uus julgeolekustrateegia kinnitab, et transatlantilised suhted on olemuslikult muutunud ja allianssi kooshoidev ühisosa on jäänud õhukeseks. Eesti välispoliitikal on käes kõige keerulisem aeg peale taasiseseisvumist, kirjutab @KristiRaik.
diplomaatia.ee
USA värske julgeolekustrateegia kinnitab, et transatlantilised suhted on olemuslikult muutunud. USA on endiselt asendamatu liitlane, kuid ühisosa, mis allianssi koos hoiab, on jäänud õhukeseks....
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If Europe fails to replace US assistance, and if Europe leaves Ukraine to bleed economically and militarily, Moscow will consider its view of a weak Europe as vindicated. New @dgapev Policy Brief by Karl-Heinz Kamp, @KristiRaik, and Carolina Vendil Pallin
icds.ee
Russia’s war on Ukraine and Donald Trump’s wavering on US security commitments for NATO have raised three fundamental questions: How does Moscow perceive Europe’s current ability to counter Russian...
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An excellent Sunday evening read: @KristiRaik examines how NB8 countries are individually & collectively shifting towards realism in their foreign policy. How is this affecting their traditional attachment to international law & to democratic values? 👉🏼 https://t.co/lf7G7ayXwP…
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Ukraine fits naturally as a common focus of Nordic-Baltic cooperation #NB8, as it is where the idealistic aspiration to defend our values meets the pragmatic need to survive, writes @KristiRaik.
icds.ee
Next year, Estonia will be acting as chair of the Nordic-Baltic cooperation, known as the NB8 group. It will come at a time when the turbulent security environment has pushed countries in the region...
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"Kui see kellelegi Euroopas veel arusaamatuks oli jäänud, siis möödunud nädala sündmuste valguses on selge, et mingit usaldust transatlantilistes suhetes enam ei ole," kirjutab @KristiRaik kaitseuuringute keskuse selle nädala uudiskirjas. https://t.co/5uOuuXIY2u
diplomaatia.ee
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 48. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
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Dark trends in European security and the global order require small states in the Nordic-Baltic region to adapt, strike a new balance between realism and idealism, and join forces to defend their interests and values, writes @KristiRaik.
icds.ee
Next year, Estonia will be acting as chair of the Nordic-Baltic cooperation, known as the NB8 group. It will come at a time when the turbulent security environment has pushed countries in the region...
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It's terrific to welcome @DavidCattler to join @ICDS_Tallinn as a non-resident fellow! I look forward to plugging in David's wealth of experience and expertise to our work on defence, resilience, intelligence, and more.
Thank you to @KristiRaik, Tomas Jermalavičius, and the @ICDS_Tallinn teamfor the kind welcome. I’m proud to join this community and look forward to contributing to the Centre’s important work.
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As quoted here, I believe this is the message needed from NATO: we have the capability and political will, we have our plans so that if the Russians make more violations that actually threaten the security of any NATO country then they will be shot down.
dw.com
Following Poland, Estonia has called on NATO to respond to violations of its national airspace by Russia. Some analysts fear it may take downing a Russian aircraft to discourage future incursions.
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I suppose NATO is facing its most serious test ever. Every inch. It can get worse of course, or it can get better. Depending on our response.
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An independent Finland was no obstacle to Soviet ambitions elsewhere, argues @KristiRaik. But an independent Ukraine is a severe blow to Russia’s efforts to restore its Soviet-era empire. https://t.co/qSw03CGacP
foreignpolicy.com
A 1944 armistice that traded land for peace is a poor precedent for ending Russia’s war.
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Finland’s history offers a warning, not a model. @KristiRaik explains how Ukraine differs from Finland – and why trading land for peace is unlikely to bring lasting stability. @ForeignPolicy
foreignpolicy.com
A 1944 armistice that traded land for peace is a poor precedent for ending Russia’s war.
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Yesterday, a distinguished delegation from the Japanese think tank @roles_hq visited ICDS for a roundtable, where experts from Estonia and Japan discussed regional and global security challenges. More: https://t.co/L3lGkyxunv
@AtsukoHigashino @t_gordau @chutoislam @MarekKohv
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Thanks for having me @EstEmbassyFI @JanneJoesaar Always good to discuss Russia and security with Finnish audiences - not underestimating the threat, but not panicking either.
A pleasure to host the Finnish Family Businesses Association in the Embassy! Thank you @KristiRaik for the insight to the security situation in Europe, it gave a lot of food for thought.
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💡🇪🇺🇺🇦Coalition of the willing: Before or after? Check out answers at @RymMomtaz ´s Take The Pulse for @Carnegie_Europe with pieces by @ClaudMajor, @KristiRaik, @MTerlikowski, @SophiaBesch @AlanderMinna, @_JakubJanda and myself 👇👇
❔| #TTP: Should Europeans Deploy a Reassurance Force in Ukraine Regardless of a Ceasefire? Putin rejects talks with Zelensky to end Russia's war in 🇺🇦. Experts ponder whether Europeans should deploy troops before a ceasefire to change Putin's calculus👇 https://t.co/s1TaxrBi7j
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Quote: ”Finland exercised this independence not by turning anti-Russian—which would almost certainly have resulted in another invasion—but by building one of the most successful countries in Europe.”
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Please don’t suggest @TheEconomist that Finland, Ukraine or any other neighbour of Russia can avoid Russian invasion by not being ”anti-Russian”. For sure Finland deserves praise and has lessons to offer but not this. https://t.co/s3pjKH5lWJ
economist.com
President Alexander Stubb argues Ukraine can repeat Finland’s success
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ICDS had the honour of hosting a roundtable with Lieutenant General Andrus Merilo, Commander of the Estonian Defence Forces. 🇪🇪 Thank you for the valuable insights and stimulating discussion! @Kaitsevagi @KristiRaik @helgakalm @MarekKohv @stenksaluveer @meriliarjakas
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My comments ahead of Zelensky et al meeting with Trump in Washington
In Washington, European leaders must be able to skillfully dismantle Putin's framework and offer their own roadmap toward peace, writes @KristiRaik. https://t.co/wFUkTla7VL
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Euroopa liidrid peavad suutma täna Washingtonis Putini raamistikku kavalalt lammutada ja pakkuma asemele oma teekaardi rahu suunas. @KristiRaik
diplomaatia.ee
Trumpi ja Putini kohtumise järgne esmamulje oli mõningane kergendus, olgugi et varjutatud iiveldavalt sõbralikust kohtlemisest, mis sõjakurjategijale osaks sai. Vähemalt diile ei tehtud. Ent mida...
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