Tsuyoshi Goroku
@t_gordau
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Associate Professor in Tokyo, now living in Paris (2025-26): History, NATO, European Security, Alliance Politics, Public Opinion. Foodie🍽️, Voyage✈️, Sauna🧖
Osaka, Paris, Kyiv, Tokyo
Joined January 2013
📢今年8月6-8日に実施した外交・安全保障問題に関する日本の世論調査の結果を公開。 昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。 詳���は以下リンクから👉 https://t.co/t7v6s5UbWJ
roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp
東京大学先端科学技術研究センター(RCAST)のシンクタンク、創発戦略研究オープンラボ(ROLES)の公式サイトです。実施している研究プロジェクト、成果物、イベント情報などをご覧いただけます。
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WaPo: new US plan for Ukraine: - demilitarized zone from Donetsk to Kherson - Zaporizhzhia NPP coming under US oversight - Ukraine joins EU by 2027 - US would offer NATO-style security guarantees, but Kyiv wants them ratified by Congress - 800K UA army - $100B from frozen RU
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The 20 points for ending the war form a fundamental document. We are actively working on the key steps – they must be doable. From this fundamental document, we are developing at least two additional ones. The first is on security – regarding security guarantees with the United
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US denies German request to integrate American artillery rockets:
euractiv.com
The refusal could make it more difficult for the German military to cooperate with the US and other NATO allies
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While the US remains an indispensable ally, the common ground holding the alliance together has grown thin. For Estonian foreign policy, this marks the most challenging period since the restoration of independence, writes @KristiRaik.
news.err.ee
The United States' new security strategy confirms that transatlantic relations have fundamentally changed. While the U.S. remains an indispensable ally, the common ground holding the alliance...
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The outlines of a sustainable Ukraine peace deal inch into view
washingtonpost.com
Trump’s tilt toward Russia isn’t helping, but there’s still a path to a reasonable endgame.
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France’s junior defense minister @RufoAlice calls the US National Security Strategy an “extremely brutal” clarification of its ideological posture. This is the strongest official response from France so far https://t.co/SAxuNwVRtK
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「ただし親米であり続けるということを条件に」は興味深い。何を持って「親〜」とするかは難しいが、その世界観でだと、「親米」でありつづければ、「親中・親ロ」でもOKということなのだろうか(オルバーンのように)。
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“Make Europe Great Again"らしいが、 欧州から軍事的には撤退していくけれども、自分たち色には染めたい(だから関心はある)。非介入的でありながら干渉的なNSS。
非公開「国家安全保障戦略」では、墺、ハン、伊、ポを「EUから引き離す」上で、米が「より協力すべき国」と位置づけ。その上で「主権と伝統的な欧州の生活様式の保全/回復を求める政党・運動・知識人・文化的人物を支援すべき、ただし親米であり続けることを条件に」と続く。 https://t.co/ISFAPrglM5
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さらに全文版の米「国家安全保障戦略」では、米、中、ロ、印、日から成る「Core 5=C5」も提案。 G7のように特定テーマを掲げた首脳会合を定期的に開催。提案された最初の議題は中東安全保障で、特にイスラエルとサウジの関係正常化。 何のはなしやねんという感じだが、提案されたらどう答える。
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非公開「国家安全保障戦略」では、墺、ハン、伊、ポを「EUから引き離す」上で、米が「より協力すべき国」と位置づけ。その上で「主権と伝統的な欧州の生活様式の保全/回復を求める政党・運動・知識人・文化的人物を支援すべき、ただし親米であり続けることを条件に」と続く。 https://t.co/ISFAPrglM5
defenseone.com
A fuller version reviewed by Defense One outlines the Trump administration’s plans for shedding old relationships and creating new ones.
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「もしレーガンが―平和への一般的願望に導かれていても―ソ連がカブールに居座り続けられるような取引を取りまとめていたならこうした展開は起こりえなかっただろう。トランプは戦争の生々しい恐怖にもかかわらず悪い取引を強いるために急ぐべきではないと認識すべきだ」 https://t.co/eqyS58cqNl
foreignaffairs.com
A bad deal is worse than no deal.
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Russian and Chinese bombers conducted a joint patrol Tuesday, flying over the East China Sea and Western Pacific, prompting Seoul and Tokyo to scramble fighter aircraft to monitor the flights.
news.usni.org
Russian and Chinese bombers conducted a joint patrol Tuesday, flying over the East China Sea and Western Pacific, prompting Seoul and Tokyo to scramble fighter aircraft to monitor the flights. At...
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Irked by Trump’s criticism, Zelensky says he is ready to hold elections in 60-90 days *if partners can ensure security* and has asked his MPs to prepare legislation that would allow this during wartime. Only possible if Russia agrees to some kind of ceasefire, obviously.
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New: Under immense pressure, Zelensky told European counterparts he'd been pressed to take a swift decision on the US peace plan by Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Trump is hoping for a final deal agreed “by Christmas”. w/ @HenryJFoy @FT
https://t.co/0g6tqr5BD1
ft.com
Ukrainian president pressed by US envoys for a swift response with an aim to agree ceasefire with Russia ‘by Christmas’
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This report says there is a longer internal version of the NSS that gets into more detail on weakening the EU. It also proposes a new grouping of countries called the C5— US, China, Russia, Japan, and India— that’s not hemmed in by G7 rules. No Euro representation unless you
‘Make Europe Great Again’ and more from a longer version of the National Security Strategy | Read the exclusive story by @meghannmyers_
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🛰️🇵🇱 SAR satellites to track nuclear forces ? 🇷🇺🚀 The deployment of a radar imaging (SAR) satellite constellation is an excellent example of how Poland could contribute to French nuclear deterrence by enhancing its ability to detect changes in the posture of Russian nuclear
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