Jon Tonge
@JonTonge
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British & Irish politics professor, Univ. of Liverpool. Views mine NOT Univ’s. Retweets/likes NOT endorsements: made me think/laugh. [email protected]
Joined November 2011
Sunday Times on the walls in place for longer than the Berlin Wall.
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Hale: voted Conservative council by-election; voted Green council full election; voted Labour (Burnham) mayoral election. We have to explain this stuff in the day job.
❗ Conservative GAIN from Green Hale (Trafford) council by-election result: CON: 46.5% (+9.7) GRN: 38.1% (-9.6) REF: 8.1% (+8.1) LAB: 4.2% (-7.6) LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6) +/- 2024 https://t.co/QSSdXxbUXt
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We’re all still shocked about our dear brother Mani’s passing. I still can’t believe it. For a little fella, he had a big personality, like his bass sound. A true one-off. (1/2)
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There is not much peer-reviewed evidence specifically on earlier lockdowns but there is some. Eg the SCM paper from Oxford/Bern. They find even early lockdowns had no significant effect on mortality. Did Hallett even consider this evidence in reaching her conclusion that an
... 3. “Had the lockdown been imposed 1 week earlier, the evidence suggests deaths in the first wave, would have been reduced by 48% = 23,000 fewer deaths.” How can Baroness Hallett still be so ignorant of the evidence? The key meta-analysis suggests the overall impact (i.e. not
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I am abolishing Police and Crime Commissioners. For over a decade, they have overseen our police forces but have failed to provide the sufficient democratic oversight they were set up to do. A change that will save us millions and see money reinvested into frontline policing.
bbc.co.uk
The government says it will save £100m over this Parliament and less than 20% of voters can name their PCC.
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Motion of no confidence in Paul Givan falls 80 members voted, of which 47 voted 'Aye' - 58.8% 33 nationalists votd of which 33 voted 'Aye' - 100% 33 unionists voted, of which none voted 'Aye' - 100% 14 others voted, of which 14 voted 'Aye' - 100% The motion falls.
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Yellow Plateau? @MarkCarruthers7 asks if the Alliance electoral surge has faltered. With @BBCJayneMcC @dmcbfs @JonTonge and @DavidFordxMLA
https://t.co/0O9Sd0cgJ4
bbc.co.uk
Mark Carruthers asks if the Alliance electoral surge has faltered.
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EXCLUSIVE: Half of unionists would definitely vote for Reform UK or consider doing so if it ran candidates in NI, according to a new @LucidTalk poll. TUV & DUP voters are most enthusiastic about Nigel Farage's party contesting elections here. https://t.co/zOE0jQSQMW
belfasttelegraph.co.uk
A fifth of DUP and more than a quarter of TUV supporters say they definitely will vote for Reform UK if it runs candidates in the next Assembly election.
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#ARAS25 final result: Electorate: 3,614,185 Votes cast: 1,656,436 Turnout: 45.8% Spoilt: 213,738 Valid poll: 1,442,698 Connolly: 914,143 (63.3%) Humphreys: 424,987 (29.5%) Gavin: 103,568 (7.2%) Catherine Connolly is elected the tenth President of Ireland.
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Extraordinarily low turnout. Rayner won in 2020 on a 59% turnout.
NEW: Lucy Powell elected Labour’s deputy leader, in what will be widely interpreted as a sign of disillusionment among party members, after she pledged to be their voice to leadership. (Powell received 87,407 votes to Bridget Phillipson’s 73,536 - turnout was just 16.6% 👀)
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Almost all nationalists and three-quarters of Alliance voters want the SoS to set out criteria for a border poll, a @LucidTalk poll finds. But only one in five unionists do, writes @AndrewEMadden. https://t.co/4L4nBMsqAB
belfasttelegraph.co.uk
A majority of people in Northern Ireland think the Secretary of State should publish the criteria for calling a border poll, according to a poll.
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People in NI are far more likely to have supported Catherine Connolly than Heather Humphreys if they had the vote, a @LucidTalk poll for @beltel shows. #Aras25
https://t.co/2sJg6f1nkQ
belfasttelegraph.co.uk
People in Northern Ireland were more likely to have voted for Catherine Connolly in the Irish presidential election if they had a ballot, a poll suggests.
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A lot of Johns and Jons discussing border polls and things at Cambridge this morning
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Results of the Q1 'Who are you going to vote for in a NI Assembly election?' - @BelTel LucidTalk Autumn25 NI 'Tracker' Poll - full reports and analysis in today's (25/10) Belfast Telegraph...
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Still on the ballot paper and 20/1 if you fancy a Lazarus moment
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Russell Martin lasted longer.
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The SDLP is serious about Irish unity. It’s not box-ticking, going through the motions or making throwaway comments for a quick political hit. The party challenging the Irish govt over opting out of the conversation on constitutional change is significant https://t.co/zDW41s2RUp
belfasttelegraph.co.uk
The SDLP is serious about Irish unity. It’s not box-ticking, it’s not going through the motions, or making throwaway comments for a quick political hit.
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