Britain Elects
@BritainElects
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Est. 2013, the UK's largest poll aggregator. Most accurate forecaster of 2024. Co-founded by @BNHWalker and Lily Jayne Summers.
Joined June 2013
On the proposed changes to welfare and PIP:. Support: 26%.Oppose: 40%. via @YouGov. Ben Walker's analysis:.
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The polls, one year since the general election:. Reform: +14.1.Greens: +2.6.Lib Dems: +1.5. Conservatives: -6.7.Labour: -11.1. 👉
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📊 Ref lead of 8pts.Westminster voting intention. REF: 30% (-).LAB: 22% (-).CON: 16% (-2).LDEM: 15% (+2).GRN: 11% (-). via @FindoutnowUK, 02 Jul.Chgs. w/ 25 Jun.
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✅ Conservative HOLD. Fulham Town (Hammersmith and Fulham) council by-election result:. CON: 43.3% (-1.5).LDEM: 23.1% (-4.7).LAB: 16.8% (-10.5).REF: 12.5% (+12.5).GRN: 4.2% (+4.2). /- 2022. Estimated turnout: ~29% (-6).
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❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative. Tower (Suffolk) council by-election result:. REF: 28.8% (+28.8).GRN: 25.0% (-4.5).CON: 17.5% (-16.2).LAB: 14.4% (-6.4).IND: 8.8% (-1.4).LDEM: 5.6% (+1.6). /- 2021.
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✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD. Mendip (Bath and North East Somerset) council by-election result:. LDEM: 57.1% (-18.2).REF: 22.0% (+22.0).CON: 9.7% (-6.7).GRN: 6.6% (+2.0).LAB: 4.6% (+0.9). /- 2023. Estimated turnout: ~37% (-10).
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❗ Conservative GAIN from Reform. Newark West (Nottinghamshire) council by-election result:. CON: 34.7% (+4.8).REF: 34.3% (-1.6).LAB: 16.1% (-3.9).GRN: 9.7% (+2.1).LDEM: 4.6% (-1.9).SDP: 0.6% (+0.6). /- 2025.
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✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD. Llanidloes (Powys) council by-election result:. LDEM: 35.5% (+4.3).REF: 35.1% (+35.1).PC: 14.3% (+4.7).CON: 7.5% (-8.2).LAB: 7.1% (-5.2).IND: 0.4% (-25.7). No Grn (-5.0) as prev. /- 2022.
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❗ Independent GAIN from Conservative. Calverton (Gedling) council by-election result:. IND: 66.3% (+45.2).REF: 17.9% (+17.9).LAB: 8.0% (-20.6).CON: 6.2% (-44.1).GRN: 1.1% (+1.1).LDEM: 0.4% (+0.4). /- 2023. Estimated turnout: ~32% (-4).
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❗ Liberal Democrat GAIN from Reform. Benfieldside (Durham) council by-election result:. LDEM: 28.0% (+17.0).LAB: 27.2% (+0.6).REF: 25.4% (-6.8).IND: 15.6% (-8.1).CON: 2.6% (-4.0).GRN: 1.4% (+1.4). /- 2025.
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Would a Corbyn led party get 10%?. There are problems with hypothetical polling. You should take those seriously. But another thing:.
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RT @andrewteale: It's by-election Thursday!.- 7 polls today, defences C 3 LD 2 RUK 2.- Featuring a sconce, ospreys, the Rees-Moggs, the UK'….
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Zarah Sultana MP (Coventry South) is to co-lead the founding of a new political party with Jeremy Corbyn MP (Islington North).
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Westminster voting intention in the event of a "New Corbyn-led party". REF: 27% (-).LAB: 20% (-3).CON: 20% (-).CORB: 10% (+10).LDEM: 14% (-).GRN: 5% (-4).SNP: 2% (-1). via More in Common.Chgs. w/ standard VI question.
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How the Prime Minister's net favourables compare to previous premiers, one year into the top job:. -33 | Starmer .-27 | Sunak.-1 | Johnson .-2 | May .-6 | Cameron .-44 | Brown . 44 | Blair . 18 | Major .-8 | Thatcher .
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📊 Ref lead of 5pts.Westminster voting intention. REF: 30% (-).LAB: 25% (+1).CON: 17% (-1).LDEM: 12% (-).GRN: 9% (-). via @OpiniumResearch, 25 - 27 Jun.Chgs. w/ 13 Jun.
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📊 Ref lead of 2pts.Westminster voting intention. REF: 26% (-1).LAB: 24% (+1).CON: 17% (-).LDEM: 16% (-).GRN: 10% (-). via @YouGov, 29 - 30 Jun.Chgs. w/ 23 Jun.
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Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill (second reading), vote:. AYES: 335.NOES: 260.
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