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@JWooCap

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building @VersoTrading | BrownU Applied Math

New York City
Joined August 2025
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@JWooCap
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1 day
@Kalshi Tagging folks who've written recently written about prediction markets for visibility! Would love to hear your thoughts/feedback. @j0hnwang @bryantheden @howdymerry @NTmoney @0xNairolf @prophet_notes @0xpredboy @MarcHochstein @probabilitygod @arsenii @iatskar @guyukyukgu.
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@JWooCap
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1 day
I semantically matched 30,000 news articles to all @Kalshi contracts to see how markets historically reacted to new info. Currently back-testing with simple before/after event windows and decay curves to learn which headlines actually move odds. Up next: build incoming news
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@JWooCap
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6 days
RT @VersoTrading: JUST IN: Scott Bessent says there are 11 very strong candidates to succeed Jerome Powell. Track all Powell-related @Kals….
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@JWooCap
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7 days
RT @VersoTrading: Tokens need pumps. Predictions need opinions. When prices fade, most apps do too. Prediction markets don’t—new events a….
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@JWooCap
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7 days
Sportsbooks set the line. Prediction markets become the line. Every whale, maker, and hobbyist adds their weight. Every tick is a vote. Truth is not announced—it’s discovered, traded, and priced in real time.
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@JWooCap
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8 days
RT @VersoTrading: Wall Street options: strikes, expiries, Greeks. Everyone else: “Yes/No.”. Prediction markets = options in plain English-….
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@JWooCap
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9 days
RT @VersoTrading: we hear you- you want to open Verso on your phone and get the same experience. now you can: the site is mobile-friendly,….
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@JWooCap
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11 days
RT @VersoTrading: Verso now lets you track every @Kalshi contract with instant alerts on price, price swings, spreads, and volume. Try it n….
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@JWooCap
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12 days
Did Powell say ‘good morning’ - exact words - before the Jackson Hole stream went dark? (my mom is worried for me) #Kalshi.
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@JWooCap
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12 days
RT @VersoTrading: Jerome Powell- “Downside risks to employment are rising.” Calls the labor market “unusual” and hints a cut could come in….
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@JWooCap
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12 days
September rate cut odds just dropped to 57% briefly on Kalshi & Polymarket. Did Powell’s speech get leaked?
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@JWooCap
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13 days
Big tell for prediction markets: DraftKings just filed for NFA membership. Underdog and PrizePicks have filed as well.
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@JWooCap
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13 days
RT @VersoTrading: Prediction markets are set to outpace media. Media interprets; markets price - in real time - without editorial bias. As….
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@JWooCap
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15 days
Now live on Kalshi. #kalshi
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@JWooCap
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15 days
Rodrigo Paz shocks the tape, leads R1. Runoff set for 10/19 vs Tuto. For the Poly/Kalshi crowd: trade the repricing, not the takes - endorsements, late counts, and coalition chatter will move it.
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@JWooCap
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15 days
Trump: “If everything works out well today, we’ll have a trilateral meeting.” Minutes later, @Kalshi’s “Zelenskyy meets Putin before Jan” ripped toward ~50%. Headlines move odds. Watching for confirmation or fade.
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@JWooCap
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15 days
Hamas accepted a 60-day ceasefire/hostage deal. On Kalshi/Polymarket I’m watching WTI daily settle, AAA gas this week, and Trump RCP approval: geopolitics can reprice these fast if the ceasefire holds.
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@JWooCap
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16 days
RT @j0hnwang: mark my words: prediction markets will be 10x bigger than memecoins.
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@JWooCap
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16 days
This morning @Kalshi filed to list player props & spreads on a regulated exchange. If it clears, sportsbook economics change overnight. @DraftKings and @FanDuel’s most profitable line is at risk. The @CFTC has ~24 hours to act.
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@JWooCap
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16 days
Prediction markets, in one take:. • The only real killer feature (today) is liquid sports futures.• Liquidity isn’t a metric: it’s the product.• 95% of users should never touch an order book.Build for that reality.
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