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Joshua Meservey Profile
Joshua Meservey

@JMeservey

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Sr. Fellow @HudsonInstitute , Africa policy, Zambia RPCV, @FletcherSchool . Mainer. RTs, etc≠endorsement, views own.

Washington, DC
Joined January 2011
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
3 months
Another reason to recognize Somaliland independence is that it would undermine the dangerous Greater Somalia irredentism that Ilhan Omar recently invoked. Were I Mogadishu, I'd suppress that talk because of its possible effect on Kenya's deliberations about the Ethiopia-SL MoU.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 years
@mukhtaryare @LydenFOX9 @IlhanMN Does Liban have any proof he was offered a bribe? Otherwise, this seems like a desperate CYA attempt to distract from getting caught on video potentially committing a criminal act
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Pleased to have hosted on Friday Gen. Tsadkan Gebretensae, member of the Government of Tigray (GoT) Central Command and, for decades, one of Ethiopia’s most influential military strategists. He is currently an architect of the Tigrayan Defence Forces’ campaigns.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Given the potentially historic significance of the Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU yesterday, it's worth remembering a few facts: 1) it is Somalilanders who have separated themselves from Somalia for 30 years, not a shadowy international conspiracy to dismember Somalia.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
"We will defend our country...by all means at our disposal." Imagine if Somalia's government had responded with as much determination and unanimity of purpose to the threat of al-Shabaab as it has to Somaliland signing an MoU with Ethiopia. Shabaab would be a shell of itself.
@thebhlub
bhlub
4 months
🚨BREAKING *SUBTITLED*: President of failed state Somalia @HassanSMohamud delivered a speech tonight in which he threatened the international community he'll: "knock on doors I dont want to knock on". Implication here is possibly Russia and/or China. Desperation is…
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
The idea that Ethiopia is infringing on Somalia's sovereignty by signing the MoU with Somaliland relies on a pure technicality & not on reality. Nothing would meaningfully change for Mogadishu if the MoU goes into force, because it has no practical sovereignty over SL anyway.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 months
Turkiye has economic & strategic reasons for signing a defense agreement with Somalia. It has little to do with the Somaliland dispute, which Turkiye almost certainly doesn't want to get involved in, especially because Ethiopia is one of Turkiye's most important African partners.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Had a recent conversation with a Somaliland friend that sparked this reflection: Ethiopia and Somalia for centuries were each other's greatest enemies. Kudos to Somaliland and Ethiopia for being mature enough to put aside old enmities for the sake of their national interests.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Massive development in the Horn of Africa and beyond if this comes to fruition. For one, it means the excuse some in the US government use that Washington shouldn't recognize SL because it would preempt Africa on the issue no longer applies (it was always a silly argument anyway)
@GaroweOnline
GAROWE ONLINE
4 months
VIDEO: #Ethiopia will be the first country to recognise #Somaliland as an independent nation and we will be 1st state to realise Addis Ababa its dreams for sea access, said Muse Bihi. The MoU paves the way to allowing Ethiopia to have commercial marine operations in the region by…
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
3 years
Happy to have my latest report out arguing that US should recognize #Somaliland as the independent country that it already is in practice. American foreign policy is most effective when it is facts-based, & US would gain a number of significant benefits by recognizing Somaliland:
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
The Somaliland government allowed us to visit Hargeisa and issued the visa. The Somali government has no authority, and hasn’t for three decades, in Somaliland. That reality is a core part of its case for recognition.
@AhmedAl03660283
Hassan Adde
2 years
@MohamoudGaildon @TiborPNagyJr @DrJPPham @JMeservey @GenKipWard Who allowed them to visit Hargaysa Somalia?, who gave them the visa? Which airline they used? Somali government in Mogadishu should deal with such individuals.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
The fact that a US-trained commando has been fighting Somaliland is a huge problem. The US has spent a lot of money training the commandos to fight terrorists, not pro-American Somaliland. If Mogadishu is directing commandos against SL, it is a gross misuse of American aid.
@DrJPPham
Dr. J. Peter Pham 🇺🇲
1 year
@BBCSomali confirms that Mohamed Aden Suleiman, commander of the the 4th battalion of rump #Somalia 🇸🇴’s much-ballyhooed #USA 🇺🇸-trained #Danab Brigade, was killed over the weekend fighting #Somaliland Government forces in the eastern #Lasanod region. 🤔
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
@juliaioffe I wondered when we would arrive at the character assassination part of the cycle.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
9 months
Leaving aside the profound hypocrisy of this group that was one of the loudest #HandsoffEthiopia voices during the Tigray fighting, the conflict in Amhara is tragic and dangerous. Let's hope it is peacefully resolved as quickly as possible.
@AmericaEthiopia
The American-Ethiopian Public Affairs Committee
9 months
As reported by several local, international media, and the Ethiopian human rights commission, the government of Ethiopia is using drones and heavy weapons to attack and kill civilians, shelling residential neighborhoods and threatening to destroy UNSECO protected historical…
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 months
The Turkish training of Somalian soldiers has for years included what appears to be significant training in the Turkish language. Why?
@ragipsoylu
Ragıp Soylu
2 months
Turkey has been training Somali military’s commissioned and noncommissioned officers at the Turksom base in Mogadishu since 2017. There is a substantial presence of female officers. They all speak good Turkish. More than 800 graduates so far.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
The conflict in #Ethiopia , despite getting less and less attention globally, is still raging. Very much looking forward to this conversation where we will talk through some of the complexities of this terrible war.
@SMGebru
Samuel M. Gebru
2 years
TOMORROW: Join me on Friday, May 6 at 11:00am EST for a #TwitterSpaces conversation with @Heritage ’s @JMeservey on #Ethiopia At War: The Conflict in #Tigray and Beyond.
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Very sad news about the fire that destroyed Waheen Market in #Hargeisa , wiping out many people’s livelihoods in one night. It is a big blow, but #Somaliland has overcome much greater challenges. Hoping the US and others will support the rebuilding process.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Second thread: General Tsadkan described what GoT wants in a peace process, & emphasized numerous times that Tigrayans believe this is a war of survival, so, absent a “robust, credible, impartial” peace process, they have no choice but to fight.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Al-Shabaab still controls parts of Somalia, & Mogadishu is trying to rally the international community against what it says is the unbearable violation of its sovereignty posed by the Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU. Meanwhile, Somalia's police and army start fighting each other.
@RAbdiAnalyst
Rashid Abdi
4 months
Violent Clash Break out in Mogadishu between Army and Police
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
3 years
No country on earth so aggressively and intensively commits economic espionage as does #China . It is a key part of the government's development strategy.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
3 months
Many similarities between the Greater Somalia idea & Putin's logic justifying his invasions of Ukraine & Georgia.Putin claims those lands were unjustly taken from the USSR & are inhabited by Russian speakers, which ineluctably bonds them to Russia. Irredentism is always dangerous
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
I frequently see people point to the fact that Somaliland's politics are dominated by the Isaaq as if that delegitimizes Somaliland.But the reason they dominate is because they are the largest clan. Expecting the majority clan not to have a majority share of government is bizarre
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Mogadishu's only realistic path forward is to scare international community over prospect of further instability in the Horn in hopes it pressures Ethiopia & SL. How does Mogadishu think the countries propping up its army will react if it stops fighting Shabaab to fight Ethiopia?
@JamalMOsman
Jamal Osman
4 months
‘We are ready for a war’ a senior adviser to #Somalia ’s president has said. Will there be a war between #Somalia & #Ethiopia ?
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
8 months
Just like Somaliland
@Jkylebass
🇺🇸 Kyle Bass 🇹🇼
8 months
UK 🇬🇧 Parliament names Taiwan 🇹🇼 an independent country. “Taiwan possesses all the qualifications for statehood, including a permanent population, a defined territory, government, and the capacity to enter into relations with other states…” #Churchill @ChinaDaily #China
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Joshua Meservey
10 months
Hear hear!
@DrJPPham
Dr. J. Peter Pham 🇺🇲
10 months
Warm greetings to my friends, the Government & People of #Somaliland , on the 63rd anniversary of the attainment of national independence from the #UK 🇬🇧 — at a time when #Italy 🇮🇹 still administered Mogadishu, a critical legal point under OAU & @_AfricanUnion norms. Hambalyo!
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Joshua Meservey
4 months
A country's foreign policy should protect the welfare and prosperity of its citizens. State Department should be asked a simple question: "How does the US's current Somalia policy make Americans more prosperous and safer?" The answer, of course, is that it doesn't.
@SONNALIVE
SONNA
4 months
The US State Department’s Spokesperson Matt Miller stated that the United States recognizes sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Federal Republic of Somalia within 1960 borders.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 years
A privilege to host @HEBobiwine here @Heritage last night. I better understand why he is so popular with many Ugandans, particularly young people. He was thoughtful and gracious, & I hope he will be able to campaign on a level playing field. #Uganda
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Some reflections on my Somaliland trip 🧵: I was reaffirmed in my belief that its independence deserves to be recognized. It has problems—the Aug 11 violence was tragic & concerning—but its history suggests its practice of consultation and consensus building will win out again.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
2) Mogadishu has no practical authority in Somaliland. The fact that it can currently only issue statements demonstrates yet again that it is not meaningfully sovereign over SL, and hasn't been for decades (though it can potentially cause trouble in other ways).
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
3 months
From a 2005 AU report: "Somaliland's search for recognition [is] historically unique and self-justified in African political history."
@RSL_26june1960
Xasan
3 months
Naturally, the question arises of what the stance of the AU is and in what way the AU supported the independence movement of Somaliland. The documents of the OAU and the AU that have been longstanding emphasize the inviolability of borders.
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Pleased to host last week H.E. @Vbiruta , #Rwanda Minister of Foreign Affairs and Int'l Cooperation; H.E. @MujaJeanne , Minister of Environment; H.E. @AmbMukantabana , Rwandan ambassador to the U.S.; and other distinguished guests for an open conversation about US-Rwanda relations
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Very excited to host the president of Somaliland, H.E. @musebiihi for an address on Monday the 14th. You can sign up below to watch virtually what should be a fascinating discussion about this functioning, though unrecognized, state.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
If you take him at his word, and I do, the Tigrayan leadership sincerely believes that defeats means Tigray and many Tigrayans will cease to exist. When those are the stakes, they will probably bear almost any cost.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
My thoughts below on @MohamoudGaildon 's argument against the US recognizing #Somaliland . Key points from my piece: "the growing international movement to recognize Somaliland’s independence exists only because of Somaliland’s decades-old decision to separate itself from Somalia"
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Gabiley National Library is a great example of one of the things I admire about Somaliland. The local community contributed significant funds to build it, and didn’t wait for foreign assistance. They took responsibility for their own fate. I hope I can return some day!
@GabileyL
Gabiley National Library
2 years
Joshua Meservey, Research Fellow, Africa and the Middle East at The Heritage Foundation signed the Gabiley National Library visitor book. @JoshuaMeservey @Heritage #gabileynationallibrary
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Glad to host Dr. Dessalegn @cdessalegn , co-founder & senior leader of the National Movement of Amhara @NAMA_at_ABIN last week for a fascinating discussion. Dr. Dessalegn is also an MP representing Bahir Dar City. My main takeaways from the discussion, though there was much more🧵
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
6 months
Unapologetic anti-Jewish hate from a leader of a government that the U.S. is propping up with money and military support.
@thebhlub
bhlub
6 months
Part 2: *SUBTITLED* Somalia's deranged Prime Minister @HamzaAbdiBarre publicly calls jews "the descendants of monkeys and pigs". Interesting that no IC representative commented on this yet. @UKinSomalia , @US2SOMALIA , @EU_in_Somalia
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 years
My latest report that compiles a unique data set: Chinese companies have built at least 186 African gov't buildings, including 24 offices/residences of heads of state, 32 military or police installations, etc. #China
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
4) SL's claim to independence is entirely unique in Africa, and in the world. Its recognition will raise the standard for independence movements. You want independence? Then have your own government, army, currency, elections, & history of recognized independence.
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
It was wonderful to visit the Taiwan mission to Somaliland where we were received with great hospitality. Somaliland and Taiwan have already accomplished great things together, I’m excited to see what they will do next.
@Taiwan_SLD
Taiwan In Somaliland
2 years
It is delighted to meet with like-minded friends @TiborPNagyJr @DrJPPham , @GenKipWard & @JMeservey from #USA for constructive discussions.
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Joshua Meservey
4 months
6) It's a big deal that an African country has been the first to recognize, especially one as important as Ethiopia--seat of the AU, 2nd largest population, potential economic juggernaut, etc. This makes it much easier for other countries to recognize.
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Joshua Meservey
1 year
Kenya’s Lamu port, built by China Communications Construction Company, is handling far less cargo than it was projected to. Kenya's other huge & expensive infrastructure project, the SGR, is also running under capacity. Early returns on the infrastructure splurge are not good.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
5 months
Compelling report by @O_McPS & former Asst. Secretary of State Jendayi Frazer applying the lessons of US recognition of Kosovo to Somaliland. As rigorous examinations of this type usually conclude, the case for US recognition of Somaliland is overwhelming
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Hosted an interesting discussion w/ @reda_getachew and @SMGebru yesterday. The conflict in #Tigray has slipped down US policymakers' priority list, but it is still dangerous and a humanitarian disaster.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
7) It's possible this leads to some short-term instability. Al-Shabaab has already made its threats, Mogadishu may stir trouble, and the clan uprising in eastern SL may kick off again. But this should be a long-term win for SL, Ethiopia, & the region.
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
The ancient Laas Geel rock paintings in Somaliland are world-class, absolutely worth a visit. I hope someday we discover more about the civilization that painted them, and why. For now, though, the mystery adds to the fun.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Somaliland releases a statement unequivocally affirming that Ethiopia agreed to grant SL recognition. This must be in response to the ambiguous statements Ethiopia has been releasing, maybe because of blowback to the original MoU. If so, how did Addis not foresee the backlash?
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
@alihwarsame @MohamoudGaildon @TiborPNagyJr @DrJPPham @GenKipWard Mogadishu has no authority in Somaliland, which has already seceded in every possible way, so it doesn’t have the power to prevent secession. The US also us the authority to recognize any country it pleases.
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Joshua Meservey
4 months
I'd like to see the actual Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU. I wouldn't describe this as a guarantee of recognition: “includes provisions for the Ethiopian government to make an in-depth assessment towards taking a position regarding the efforts of Somaliland to gain recognition.”
@FdreService
FDRE Government Communication Service
4 months
MOU for Partnership and Cooperation has been signed between the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia and Somaliland. The MOU includes scopes of cooperation in social, economic, political and military fields. full statement below #Ethiopia 🇪🇹 #PMOEthiopia
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
5) A country is entirely within its sovereign rights to recognize whatever entity it pleases as independent, as Ethiopia has done.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
Looking forward to this!
@SomalilandChro1
Somaliland Chronicle
4 months
Join us tomorrow for a discussion with @JMeservey on the Memorandum of Understanding between #Somaliland and #Ethiopia 11 AM US East or 7 PM Hargeisa time. DM us your questions, send them to editor @somalilandchronicle .com or retweet/Reply to this tweet with your question.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Former US ambassador to Somalia, Steve Schwartz, yesterday had an excellent article analyzing #Somaliland . Everyone should read it. Steve is a serious thinker who knows East Africa very well, & he makes a number of strong points.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Such a privilege yesterday to visit the graveyard for those who died in the world wars fighting in Somaliland for the allies. Somalilanders, Brits, Kenyans, Rhodesians, and Indians are buried here, including members of the famed Somaliland Camel Corps.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
3) SL's practice of independence is a direct result of Somalia's decades-long dysfunction. Fixing that should be the Somalia elite's 1st, 2nd, and 3rd priorities.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
4 months
8) Despite its self-defeating insistence on going all in on Mogadishu at the expense of relations with SL, the US still has a chance to be constructive, especially by working to cool the hotheads.
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Joshua Meservey
8 months
Smart of the EU. The strategic importance of Somaliland in an increasingly competitive East Africa is overwhelmingly obvious.
@Hargeysacity
Hargeisacity
8 months
Leaders of the Somaliland naval forces and representatives from the European Union gathered in Berbera to engage in talks focused on strengthening the partnership between Somaliland and the EU to ensure the safety of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.
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Joshua Meservey
1 year
Never thought I'd see an American sitcom use Somaliland as part of a story line, and this is a legitimately funny clip. Also a good warning to people like me about how easy it is to step in it regarding the complexities of the Horn of Africa, something I've certainly done before.
@LanderNation
Lander Nation
1 year
Real Clip📺 SOMALILAND MAKES IT TO HOLLYWOOD! Don't let other video clip cuts fool you; the point of this storyline is that. -Somaliland is a legitimate country in all but name. -Somalia is insecure & gets agitated every time the world mentions Somaliland😆 -Geopolitical…
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
The General twice said he believes that the international community has allowed Isaias and Abiy to do whatever they want militarily in Tigray.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
My oped building off an earlier report making the case for why the US should recognize #Somaliland . Developments in East Africa since I wrote the piece, particularly the coup in #Sudan , only strengthen one part of the argument: "the U.S. should be seeking out areas of calm...
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Here's the recording of the discussion again. Absolutely worth a watch as it's a fascinating perspective from a man who has been involved in the negotiations with the Ethiopian government and who, of course, is central to Tigray's military campaign.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
There are a number of countries, including in Africa, that are likely willing to be the second country to recognize Somaliland.
@kenya_Liaison
Kenya Liaison
1 year
President @WilliamsRuto 's Executive Order No.1 of 2023, formalized all Kenyan Embassies including #Somaliland The offices are located at Masallah Ahmed Dhagah, #Hargeisa Call us on +252637511635 or email at hargeisa @mfa .go.ke We endeavour to fortify #KenyaSomalilandRelations
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Joshua Meservey
1 year
Wonderful news. Congress is right to push for a closer US-Somaliland relationship, as the benefits for both sides are significant and obvious. Kudos to the hardworking hill staff who got this through; the next chapter in the US-Somaliland relationship is going to be exciting!
@tomozeus
JT
1 year
Great seeing in FY23 NDAA agreed text (see Sec 1275, pp 1174-1179) language similar to @SenateForeign Ranking Member's #Somaliland Partnership Act, #S3861 . Note the reference to Somalia's FMS "AND" Somaliland. Also, the "Rule of Construction" clear to NOT "convey US recognition."
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Joshua Meservey
1 month
Was glad to tackle, along with @TiborPNagyJr , arguments against the Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU that I find unconvincing. Among those are the fear that it will empower al-Shabaab. How would the MoU do that more than the presence of thousands of foreign troops in Somalia?
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Joshua Meservey
2 months
Exactly: "Ankara doesn't have any wish or intention to position itself against Addis Ababa...'the Turkish naval presence in the Somali territorial waters would be a deterrent against terrorism, piracy and others...But Ankara isn't looking for adventure to go to war'."
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Joshua Meservey
3 months
@JustAwHirsi I'm trying to get a clear answer on your position. I think it's important, since this debate is about Somali irredentism, to know whether a Somalian gov't official thinks parts of Ethiopia, Kenya, & all of Djibouti should be Somalia's. Your answer is "yes," correct?
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Got to see important pieces of African history at the University of Hargeisa: copies of the agreements Somalilanders reached among themselves following the ruinous war against Siad Barre. Landers initiated & led the reconciliation process that underpins SL's achievements today.
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
My best guess is that it's because Eritrea invaded and pillaged its way through northern Ethiopia, and ever since has done all it can to undermine peace talks between the TPLF and the government of Ethiopia.
@0to1infinity
Milena Bereket
2 years
There's an elephant in the room that they're ignoring (perhaps deliberately sidelining?). So many questions. For one, if biased powers ("guarantors") from faraway continents are invited to the table, why isn't 🇪🇷 who has been the victim of these "guarantors" & their HoA lackey?
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
I really enjoyed the first round, and I expect the second to be just as good. We will have more time for questions as well, so get your hardest ones ready (if it's too hard, I'll obviously re-direct it to Sam😁).
@SMGebru
Samuel M. Gebru
2 years
. @JMeservey of @Heritage and I had a great #TwitterSpaces conversation last Friday and we are back this Friday, May 13 at 3:30pm EST to continue “ #Ethiopia At War: The Conflict in #Tigray and Beyond.” We’ll be on for 90 minutes this time — tune in! 👉🏾
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Joshua Meservey
9 months
@EA_DevCouncil Sorry, but no. Your organization consistently and aggressively called for the US to stop bothering about human rights violations during the Tigray war. There's no whitewashing that record.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Congress leading on trying to make US's Somalia policy more rational. Next step should be a hearing. State Dept should have to explain: what benefit does US derive from its current #Somalia policy? What about Somalia's situation suggests current US policy is working?
@SenateForeign
Senate Foreign Relations Committee Ranking Member
2 years
#Somaliland President @musebiihi ’s meetings w/ U.S. officials this week reflect the complex reality of our bilateral relationships on the Horn, but we should not limit ourselves to a “single #Somalia ” policy. The admin should explore ALL areas of engagement in the region.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
6 years
One of the great humanitarian achievements of any U.S. president. GWB is still revered in parts of Africa for this.
@TheBushCenter
George W. Bush Presidential Center
6 years
15 years ago today, President Bush announced the creation of @PEPFAR , a decision that's saved more than 13 million lives from #HIVAIDS .
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
This was an on-the-record (at least 3 or 4 journalists attended), invite-only event as I said in both the invitation & during the discussion. I cleared that arrangement w/ Gen Tsadkan before the session. Heritage will post the audio probably tomorrow, I just haven't had time yet
@reda_getachew
Getachew K Reda
2 years
Leaked?
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
I'm hugely excited and honored to join the @HudsonInstitute team that I have long admired. They do world-class work every day, and I can't wait to contribute as a Sr. Fellow focused on Africa. Let's go!
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Why is Freedom House promoting a piece that seeks to elevate a government in Mogadishu that ranks 7x worse than Somaliland in Freedom House’s own rankings? Bizarre.
@freedomhouse
Freedom House
2 years
"In colonial days, foreign men drew lines on paper to divide the Somali people without their knowledge. Today, men in Washington are working to decide the fate of Somalis as one aspect of global competition with China," writes @MohamoudGaildon for @Salon .
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Joshua Meservey
1 year
Amb Hussien must be talking about Eritrea here. If there is a true break between Addis and Asmara, does Eritrea withdraw without a fuss? Does it refuse and the ENDF, perhaps with the TDF, tries to force it out?
@EthioTube
EthioTube
1 year
"On both side, from the air & on the ground that our territorial integrity & borders were violated. We were busy fighting each other; we were busy undermining each other; that paved the way for 3rd party to undermine us further." - Amb. @RedwanHussien briefing diplomats in #Addis
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Joshua Meservey
2 months
Mogadishu can only stop the Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU by building enough international pressure on Eth to make it backtrack.Somalian partisans hope the defense pact will add to the pressure, but it obviously has nothing to do with Eth. Why would Turkiye pick such a pointless fight?
@abibsh
Sharla🇪🇹 ሻርላ 莎拉
2 months
However, many prominent politicians somalians & activists are celebrating it today. I dono Why? #Ethiopia #Somalia #Somaliland
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
@alihwarsame @MohamoudGaildon @TiborPNagyJr @DrJPPham @GenKipWard Somalilanders themselves are calling for independence. There would be no movement to recognize it without Somalilanders’ three plus decades of advocacy.
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Joshua Meservey
4 months
Ukrainian separatists exist only because Russia supported them and used them as puppets. That is not the dynamic between Ethiopia and SL. Furthermore, Ethiopia isn't annexing anything, it's leasing--meaning, paying for--a small enclave. The situations aren't remotely comparable.
@MPMursalKhaliif
Mursal M Khaliif
4 months
If country A can grab a territory belonging to country B, with the justification that country B was not in full control of said territory (even though the territory is recognized to belong to country B by all international bodies), then why was Putin wrong to claim Eastern…
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Joshua Meservey
1 month
US joins a statement about Mogadishu's "firm intention" to finalize the constitution, a process that has been totally opaque, divisive, & un-democratic. Where does this unwillingness to hold Mogadishu accountable come from? Is it a function of the lowest possible expectations?
@US2SOMALIA
U.S. Embassy Mogadishu, Somalia
1 month
Statement from international partners, including the United States, on the constitutional revision process. Read more here:
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
28 days
@IanECox Lived there for several years, Zambia is a wonderful, underrated country.
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Joshua Meservey
3 years
Not everything that happens in Africa is about the US. In fact, very little is. Africans have their strongly held beliefs & motivations that they'll pursue, whether or not the US approves.
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Joshua Meservey
2 months
Right. This is one of the things that confuses me about regional powers opposing the Ethiopia-Somaliland deal. Abiy's political legitimacy rests on getting sea access, so he's going to keep trying. Getting access through SL is probably the single least disruptive way to do that.
@TomGardner18
Tom Gardner
2 months
This is either a bluff, or a short term tactical retreat. If Somaliland isn't an option, Abiy will simply switch focus back to Eritrea (Assab = first choice anyway). The PM sees acquiring/restoring access to the sea, ideally the Red Sea, as his historic mission
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Joshua Meservey
3 years
There is much more to the case for why the US should recognize #Somaliland , as I detail in the report:
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
He thanked the US government several times for trying to arrange a peace process & for providing humanitarian aid that reached Tigrayans “at a critical moment.”
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
This 1st thread is on my understanding of the General’s description of the fighting. 2nd thread will be on GoT’s negotiating position & its view of the war, as described by the General. Please correct me if I misunderstood the General on any point. Recording posted at the end
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
6 months
@mohamedali8507 Mogadishu would fall to al-Shabaab in weeks if the US withdrew all support from the government and ATMIS.
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Joshua Meservey
2 years
Thanks also to the Amhara Association of America @AAA_Amhara for helping arrange the discussion.
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Joshua Meservey
2 months
But hundreds of Turkish companies operate in Ethiopia, & it's a major African destination for Turkish investment. They also have defense ties (Turkish drones helped turn the tide of the Tigray war). Turkiye involving itself in the SL dispute would be a headache with no advantage.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
The fact that many Somalis prefer al-Shabaab's courts and its taxation system is a profound indictment of Somalia's government. Until that reality changes, the fight against al-Shabaab cannot be won
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
General reiterated numerous times that Tigrayans are in a fight for their existence/survival: it is the “Declared intention of both the gov't of Abiy Ahmed and the gov't of Isaias Afewerki to finish not only TPLF and its associates but Tigrayans in general b/c of who they are.”
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
If TDF prevails, would be a chance to restructure the whole regional politics in way that benefits all Ethiopians and Eritreans.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
Was great to join the @Heritage podcast that also featured @musebiihi to discuss #Somaliland and its case for independence. Some excerpts below, and thanks to @TimothyDoescher for the expert hosting
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
7 months
It's ludicrous to believe Somalian troops spent nearly four years in Eritrea simply training. What were they actually doing there for so long?
@HarunMaruf
Harun Maruf
7 months
Somalia president @HassanSMohamud welcomes another Somali military unit who have been training in Eritrea for almost four years. He told them to take a month’s leave before they join the fight against al-Shabaab.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
3 years
Also want to thank the people who pointed out that, contrary to what I wrote, several non-Isaaq clan members do hold seats in the Somaliland parliament. My source was a BBC article () that was apparently incorrect. Apologies for the error
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
2 years
An influx of aid into SL would be a mistake as it would risk undermining the self-reliance and determination that has made Somaliland successful. There are many examples in Africa of aid money fueling conflict & creating dependency. Investment in & trade with SL is the way to go.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
And let's be real: the fact that Somaliland is dominated by one clan probably significantly contributes to the relative peace it has enjoyed. Clans generally don't get along, and their rivalries have ripped Somalia apart for decades.
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
1 year
Exactly right. The Chinese Communist Party's audacity in frequently boasting about its supposed competence when it oversaw the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution, forced abortions, the Covid-19 disaster, and others is almost breathtaking:
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@JMeservey
Joshua Meservey
7 months
Honored to testify yesterday before the US House Homeland Security Committee's subcommittee for Counterterrorism, Law Enforcement, & Intelligence. The subcommittee understands the seriousness of the problem, and it was a pleasure to appear with such distinguished colleagues.
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