Franz-Stefan Gady
@HoansSolo
Followers
78K
Following
15K
Media
3K
Statuses
31K
Modern Warfare | Defense & Military Analyst | Author of ‚How the United States Would Fight China: The Risks of Pursuing a Rapid Victory‘ (September 2025)
London, England
Joined March 2009
Heute erscheint mein Buch 'Die Rückkehr des Krieges' bei @quadrigaverlag. Es dient als Handbuch für politische Entscheidungsträger und die breite Öffentlichkeit, um ein tieferes Verständnis von Krieg und moderner Kriegsführung zu vermitteln. Neben Analysen enthält das Werk
52
89
512
I am writing for @WarOnTheRocks about Austro-Hungarian military failures in the first months of the First World War and the lessons they offer for Ukraine today. The two sieges of Przemyśl highlight a fundamental principle of static defense doctrine: it can serve a legitimate
warontherocks.com
The southeastern Polish city of Przemyśl, with its elegant 19th century Habsburg-era train station, remains one of the principal gateways to war-torn
2
24
92
We have +700 sq km, the second-worst month since January 2024. Stabilisation of the Huliaipole axis presents the largest challenge currently.
.@Deepstate_UA assesses that Russia occupied 505 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in November, almost twice as much as September. 40% of Russia's advances occurred near Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. https://t.co/pycPc6pRqZ
https://t.co/Xjoq0AR0hK
4
52
226
Interesting commentary by Zaluzhnyi
telegraph.co.uk
Peace provides a chance for political change and deep reforms
16
61
356
I am deeply honored that my book, “How the United States Would Fight China”, has been included in the 2025 War on the Rocks (@WarOnTheRocks) Holiday Reading List. “Backed by years of research and conversations within the U.S. national security establishment, Gady succinctly
warontherocks.com
It wouldn’t be the holidays without our annual War on the Rocks book roundup. Check off your gift list or pick a book to enjoy by the fire. Happy reading.
5
14
106
I write for the @FT about Ukraine’s Catch-22, all too common in war: Kyiv’s choices could boil down to “bad now, or possibly worse later”. Ukraine, like Yossarian, finds itself trapped in a logic where every rational choice could lead to the same catastrophic result. The Donbas
ft.com
Kyiv’s choices are between bad now and worse later
50
58
211
"Ukraine's choices could boil down to 'bad now, or possibly worse later'. The Donbas can't be abandoned without a fight, yet fighting threatens the same concessions forced under far uglier conditions while the promise of western support grows shakier and the prospects of a truly
ft.com
Kyiv’s choices are between bad now and worse later
54
78
312
Ich habe mit Markus Lanz und Richard David Precht über die aktuelle militärische Lage in der Ukraine gesprochen – und warum ein schneller Waffenstillstand unwahrscheinlich ist. Ohne echte Sicherheitsgarantien für Kiew und einen Donbass-Kompromiss bleibt jeder Frieden außer
7
3
21
Meine gestrige Kolumne für das @handelsblatt und den @Tagesspiegel: Wer angesichts der Friedensgespräche zwischen den USA, der Ukraine und Russland auf ein baldiges Ende des Ukrainekriegs hofft, dürfte enttäuscht werden.
handelsblatt.com
Für einen dauerhaften Frieden sind robuste Sicherheitsgarantien und ein Kompromiss über die Donbass-Region nötig. Beides wird es nicht geben, ist Militäranalyst Franz-Stefan Gady überzeugt.
1
1
12
“'Not a single sane person today would sign a document to give up territory,' said Yermak, who has served as Zelensky’s chief of staff, lead negotiator, and closest aide throughout the full-scale war with Russia. 'As long as Zelensky is president, no one should count on us
66
345
2K
Im SZ-Interview spreche ich darüber, warum Russland die Kampfhandlungen wahrscheinlich nicht einstellen wird, solange es den Donbass nicht militärisch kontrolliert und Moskau weiterhin militärische Vorteile erwartet und daher keine Kompromissbereitschaft zeigen muss.Umgekehrt
sueddeutsche.de
Bringt der US-Plan den Krieg in der Ukraine einem Ende näher? Der Militäranalyst Franz-Stefan Gady ist skeptisch. Was Europa tun sollte.
2
7
53
My annual book reviews just dropped in Survival Magazine. Five books on war, conflict & military strategy worth your time. Link: https://t.co/jEjEtX3GnG
3
3
27
'For military professionals weary of theory divorced from battlefield realities, Conflict Realism represents essential reading – a well-researched work that insists military thought be grounded in demonstrable facts rather than institutional preferences or technological wishful
Thanks to Franz-Stefan Gady for the positive review of my book Conflict Realism in the latest issue of Survival. You can find my book here: https://t.co/voiuGCqgoA
3
8
62
"For military professionals grappling with contemporary conflicts, Morton’s work offers an essential lesson: never underestimate the power of disciplined tactical adaptation over technological superiority."
Thank you Franz-Stefan Gady for your very generous review of my book: "The Crusader States and Their Neighbours: A Military History, 1099–1187" Published in "War, Conflict and the Military" (2025). Link to review: https://t.co/gGA4wSwXT8
@HoansSolo
1
8
70
Russia’s tiny advances in 2025 sold Putin on inevitable victory in Ukraine
washingtonpost.com
Grinding progress for Russia on the battlefield this year has resulted in thousands of casualties but enough progress for Putin to refuse any compromises in diplomacy.
10
35
195
New Revolution in Military Affairs is out. In this episode I talk with Franz-Stefan Gady about the Russia-Ukraine War. https://t.co/hbNVELqj6p
0
5
28
"Of the original US plan, Yaroslav, in eastern Ukraine, says it 'sucks… no one will support it' while an army medic with the call sign Shtutser dismissed it as an 'absolutely disgraceful draft of a peace plan, unworthy of our attention'. But one soldier with the call sign Snake
32
142
735
Really enjoyed this chat with Amos!
New Revolution in Military Affairs is out. In this episode I talk with @HoansSolo about the Russia-Ukraine War.
0
4
30
Ich freue mich über die Rezension meines neuen Buches in Table Media: "Wie schon „Die Rückkehr des Krieges“ ist auch „How the United States Would Fight China“ kein erbauliches, aber ein wichtiges Buch. Es konfrontiert uns nüchtern mit den militärischen Risiken des 21. Jh., bei
table.media
Im Zentrum des Buches steht das Szenario einer chinesischen Invasion Taiwans und der darauffolgenden militärischen Reaktion der Vereinigten Staaten.
0
2
26
Any order by Zelensky to surrender the heavily fortified cities of northern Donbas, as required by the plan, could precipitate a crisis in civil-military relations, warned @HoansSolo , a Vienna-based military analyst who frequently visits the front line to assess Ukrainian combat
wsj.com
With most Ukrainians rejecting a surrender, he would court a crisis with his own military if he accepted major concessions to Russia.
Zelensky is weaker than ever at home because of a corruption scandal. Which, in a paradox, makes it even harder for him to cave in to Trump and accept a deal that most Ukrainians view as surrender. My analysis.
24
169
727