I do not think we should be in denial any longer
CRIK - the China, Russia, Iran, North Korea Axis has arrived on the world stage as a formidable entity
China is not only buying 40,% of Russian oil to prop up the Russian economy, it is supplying engines for Russian drones.…
My analysis of the TOD suggests that it is very much a workable scheme, in some ways pathbreaking. It should be a precursor to an even larger set of HR Reforms focussed on talent management. Many of the apprehensions can be managed with sound implementation
China is the largest exporter and therefore key beneficiary of the Red Sea route. So is Europe for its energy supplies.
Yet, the policing and military costs are being borne by UK & USA
Some irony this
69 % of NATO's Defence budget comes from the USA.
The World's richest cohort - EU, cannot pay for it's own Defence?😀😀😀. Unfair, if not downright ridiculous.
Time Europe steps up it's game. Pays for and creates it's own conventional capacities
USA provides only Extended…
News of Vivek Ramaswamy being Trump's possible pick for VP is very welcome. But should not surprise us
A sure indicator of the growing salience of Indian talent.
In the Biden administration as many as 140 Indians (origin) hold key positions.
In the Anglo- Saxon world, 65 %…
The last time the USA was embroiled deeply in Iraq & Afghanistan, the PLA used the distractions to draw level with the US Military.
Now, with the USA getting sucked into conflicts in two theatres, will China be tempted to open up a third and complete the ' historic…
West Asia is on the edge. IDF 's attack on the Iranian Consulate in Syria is worrisome. Two Generals who were co-ordinating with proxies in Syria & Lebanon, and five advisors killed. A direct challenge to Iran's proxy strategy.
Iran vows revenge.
We may see wider conflict in…
The USA uses aircraft carriers to project power worldwide. Iran has set up Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis and Shia Militias to project its power in a more limited but very effective manner in the Middle East. Israel recognises this reality - this also explains the attacks on this…
Despite its many problems, one sound feature of the American University System is that it teaches how to think and problem solve. In other parts of the world - India and South Korea, the emphasis is on how to do well in tests.
True ?
Do we need to make the transition?
Former Chinese FM Qin Gang (with links to MSS) and his Chinese Mistress Fu (linked to PLA Int) breached a golden rule, that of no cross connections between int organs. Deeper linkages to corruption in Rocket Force. Strategic Support Force & a wider penetration of PLA by CIA. 1/2
IDF Chief of General Staff Gen Herzi Halevi in his first public remarks since 10/7, apologies to the Israeli people - IDF failed the contract, won't happen again he says. Candour must be appreciated. Now IDF must step up to the task. It will
Shocking at least for me.
PTI (Indep) with 125 seats in the lead.
Establishment has failed to manage the elections
Nawaz trails in both the seats that he is contesting
#BREAKING
: 𝙄𝙣𝙙𝙞𝙜𝙚𝙣𝙤𝙪𝙨 𝘿𝙚𝙨𝙞𝙜𝙣 𝙗𝙚𝙖𝙩𝙨 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙥𝙚𝙩𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣!!
𝗟𝗼𝗸𝗲𝘀𝗵 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗟𝗶𝗺𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 to supply 550 𝟵𝘅𝟭𝟵𝗺𝗺 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝗺𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗣𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗹 "𝗔𝗦𝗠𝗜" to the 𝗦𝗽𝗲𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗰𝗲𝘀 of the Indian Army. LMT has beaten the…
A reminder to all of us (including me) that express so profusely on geo-politics, it may be useful to consult an atlas at least once a day. unless you are a map starer by habit
The most urgent transition that the Indian Military needs is one to DIGITAL COMBAT.
Data is now a weapon system. We need to manage, secure and use data for operational affect.
And we need to do so with speed & skill, for the attack surfaces are growing, the margin for error is…
The Republic Day is a good time to reflect on a wide range of issues that affect our prosperity and security.
Amongst other initiatives, It would appear to me that this government has initiated a deep, thoughtful, long term and Comprehensive National Security Makeover - the most…
We need to turn our attention to the Global South, where China is proliferating a skilful, alternative, narrative. One anchored in the positives of the BRI, no political meddling, no diplomatic moralising on values. Driven by a distinctive, Chinese power fulcrum, through modern…
China's population drops for a second year in a row.
China may grow old before it grows rich
Good news for USA
Great opportunity for India.
We must step up our game in the Amritkaal - so that we grow rich before we grow old
A country which seeks moral perfection in its foreign policy will achieve neither perfection, nor security - Henry Kissinger
RIP - One of the most astute strategic minds in the last century
Why life is a long episode of tight rope walking. Management of many contradictions
Muktasar si zindagi ke ajeeb afsaane (stories) hain
Yahan teer bhi chalaane hain, aur parinde (birds) bhi bachaane hain
Just got my eye operated at the Army RR Hospital in Delhi. Thought I must thank and place on record my deep appreciation to Brig Sanjay Mishra and his team for their great professionalism and care. Symbolises the work ethos of our AMC
@rajnathsingh
@dgafms_mod
@adgpi
In Aug 2006 Hezbollah took TWO IDF soldiers hostage. IDF launched a massive military campaign. 7000 air strikes, 2500 naval bombardments, 80 bridges, 900 commercial enterprises destroyed.Yet op was called a failure. PM Olmert responded"Half of Lebanon destroyed,is that a loss?1/2
China announces growth in defence spending of 7.2% this year. Exceeds growth target of the Chinese economy (around 5%). Defence outlays of China now in excess of 7% for third year in a row.
US Senator Dan Sullivan asserts that Chinese Defence spending is in fact far higher,…
Today, when there is talk of defeatism / fatigue in Ukraine and the prospect of abandonment in Taiwan, we must take our minds back to what Churchill said in 1941 ," Give us the tools and we will finish the job. "
He was given the tools and he did finish the job.
Zvelensky makes…
North Korea has produced and transferred more artillery shells to Russia than the entire West has given Ukraine. In a predominantly artillery war, little wonder then that Russia is winning.
The Arsenal of Autocracy is pipping the Arsenal of Democracy
UNBELIEVEBLE : amidst all this talk of emerging technologies, in America's nuclear triad, the submarine launched nuclear missiles are guided by the ancient art of navigation : star sightings.
And experts say they are very accurate
A momentof great pride
_Group Captain Prasnath Balakrishnan Nair, Group Captain Ajit Krishnan, Group Captain Angad Pratap and Wing Commander Shubhanshu Shukla are selected for the manned Gaganyaan mission._
While the world is focussed on the Houthis & the Hamas, Iran is a few screwdriver turns away from weaponising it's nuclear prowess.
What will a Nuclear Iran mean for the geo-politics of West Asia and the wider world ?
A vastly strengthened Global East - China, Russia, Iran &…
The travesty of the information age : wisdom is getting lost in knowledge, knowledge is getting lost in information
Time to recall the eternal wisdom of TS Eliot
The question once was whether China would rise peacefully. The question now is 'Can America decline Peacefully'?
Can America muster the necessary techno - strategc- military firepower to deter China ?
If not, will it demonstrate the diplomatic wisdom / adroitness to adjust to…
Will Asim Munir seek exile in Saudi Arabia or Dubai ? 😀😀😀
Could Faiz return ?
Or will there be a truce between the Establishment and IK ?
Remember this time the judiciary may not be so pliable - Qazi Isa
Are we going to see a historic reset in CMR in Pakistan - Coups…
Khamoshi se banate raho pehchaan apni
Hawaein khud tumhara taraana gun gunayengi
With quiet diligence, create a niche for yourself
Greaness will follow in your steps
I do not think we should be in denial any longer
CRIK - the China, Russia, Iran, North Korea Axis has arrived on the world stage as a formidable entity
China is not only buying 40,% of Russian oil to prop up the Russian economy, it is supplying engines for Russian drones.…
Wow.
"The US assessments cited several examples of the impact of graft, including ... vast fields of missile silos in western China with lids that don’t function in a way that would allow the missiles to launch effectively, one of the people said."
China had said that a Lai (DPP) win in Taiwan will bring war, a Hou ( KMT) win would bring peace.
Now that Lai has won, what will it be?
Will we see growing military tensions in the Strait or will the Houthis continue to steal the limelight?
It would be erroneous to describe the…
Possible contours of escalation in West Asia
Israel is going to go ahead with Rafa, possibly after Ramzan
An IDF Armoured Brigade is under training for operations in Lebanon against Hezbollah
Israel is also determined to target the AXIS - the IRGC in Syria as also the supply…
North Korea as we know too well is the biggest supplier of ammunition to Russia.
South Korea is the biggest supplier of arms and amunition to Ukraine, after USA.
In East Asia, the two Koreas are in a renewed military stand off
North & South Korea are clearly punching well…
Iran has either miscalculated. Or is signalling vigorously to end the war in Gaza - messaging to the CF interlocutors in Paris - Mossad, CIA Director Burns, Qatar & Egypt
US will nevertheless respond vigorously to the strike on its base in Jordan (not Syria or Iraq)
Jordan is…
For those who see value in ' clarity' .
Napoleon in a love letter to his wife ' Beloved, had I more time, my letters to you would have been shorter.'
From romance to science to statecraft to life; even on Twitter, what separates the distinguished from the mediocre : CLARITY
Lieutenant Inayat Vats who lost her father Major Navneet Vats in a counter-insurgency operation commissioned into the Indian Army today and donned the same uniform that her hero dad once did: Indian Army
Data Entity PLANET with 200 satellites has the ability to get a detailed picture of every part of earth's surface, every 24 hrs.
Which Indian Start Up could ensure persistent svl of LAC - coupled with AI enabled change detection, could we not upgrade svl of LAC substantially?
Forget unipolar and multipolar, the world is going to enter it's techno-polar moment soon
Technology companies and domains like AI will become more salient than the most powerful State Actors
National Security and Warfighting will undergo a fundamental transformation
In the context of the gruesome events in Israel of last week, we may like to recall the wisdom of Edward Wilson, underlining the profound paradox of humanity : paleothic (stone age) emotions, medieval institutions and godlike technologies
At the LBSNAA (IAS Academy) where I spoke to the 29th Iteration of the Joint Civil Military Programme on CIVIL MILITARY FUSION. A fulfilling engagement
Thought for 2024
Sometimes we get so deeply obsessed with our own projects and perspectives, that we fail utterly to see the pain and agony of others. Not very wise.
UNHE TO APNE GULDASTE KI RAUNAK SE HI ITNI MOHABBAT HAI
KAHAN PHURSAT KI DARD-E-GULISTAN SAMJHEIN
Happy New Year…
In the last decade, global space launches are up 400%, number of active satellites are up 700%, number of satls launched per rocket are up 2100%. Space superiority through domain control is a sina qua non for modern combat. Sensor to shooter killware is the future. Before…
Will USA intervene in a possible Taiwan contingency ?
Depends greatly on Taiwan 's own response
The West came to the aid of Ukraine, because the response of Ukraine in the first instance was heroic and resolute
Taiwan could do far more to enhance it's Deterrence signatures.…
Had the privilege of hearing PM Modi at the TV9 Summit in New Delhi. An inspiring & mesmerising speech on INDIA - THE BIG LEAP
If you haven't, do watch
10/7-worst civilian massacre in Israel's 75 yr history. It has shattered the legend of Mossad and aura of Israeli invincibility.A 'Hard State"must now leverage it's hard power to restore deterrence. This means Disproportionate Palestinian cas & conflict with Iran. Bloodydaysahead
Wonderful to be back in a transformed city and a rapidly transforming State - the locus of unprecedented VIKAS. At the 24th edition of the Chairmen of State Public Service Commissions in Lucknow, inaugurated by the very dynamic - Honourable CM Yogi Adityanath ji
@CMOfficeUP
Spent a very eventful day with IESA yesterday. DEFTRONICS - 2023. Spoke on 'Embrace of Emerging Technologies to boost our Strategic-Military Poise.' Caught up with Col Anuragh Awasthi who is doing some outstanding work to grow India's semi-conductor prowess. True delight!!
A valuable lesson to be learnt from Ukraine is the manner in which the relationship between Airpower, Manoeuvre & Firepower evolved.
The proliferation of Air Defences stymied the attainment of Air Superiority.
In the absence of Air Superiority Manoeuvre was severely eclipsed,…
This time senior IDF officers have been taken hostage. What will be the nature of response ? A muscular foreign policy entails HIGH & SHARP LEVELS OF MILITARY READINESS. Never Easy. 2/2
GAZA
Reportedly, Yahya Sinwar and his Military Chief Deif, are holed up in a tunnel, with 130 Israeli hostages., all surrounded by the IDF.
The Hamas leadership in Qatar is looking for a Israeli hostage/ Palestinian prisoner swap in return for an abandonment of the Rafa…
How Putin, Iran and Xi have changed the grammar of foreign policy
At the MSC and other recent gatherings, Anthony Blinken & others have been holding forth more on artillery ammunition and Patriot interceptors, than other issues
Naill Fergusson speaks of DEFENCE NOT AS…
The objective of our Strategic Autonomy is wise - steer the course of the intensifying Sino- US Rivalry, without having to take sides. Will in reality, we be able to sit it out, without doing so ? Increasingly it seems NOT
In the battle of Avdivka, we finally saw hitherto underwhelming, Russian airpower come into it's own.
After two years of hard work, they have finally managed to make add on precision kits for their dumb munitions. Therefore the success.
The Indian military needs to go on a…
Are we already living in the World War 3?
That’s the biggest question we all have on our minds these days.
On one hand where China & America are involved in a new
#ColdWar
, on the other hand Israel vs Hamas, & Russia vs Ukraine is something we’re seeing happening in front of…
Once Xi spoke of there being 'enough space for the two of us(China & USA) in the Pacific'
At San Francisco he spoke of there being enough space on 'Earth for the two of us'
Is China telling USA- return to your corner of the Pacific, and between us we could slice up the world ?
Do read this thoughtful Book by Dale Copeland
It answers some of the issues that arise when we raise the question : do strong economic interdependencies decrease the prospect of Conflict?
He opines that when the expectations of trade are positive, the prospect decreases. But…
The Pak Army has displayed not only poor judgement but also deplorable mathematics
In past elections, the rigging was in thousands
This time one crore votes have been manipulated.
In Karaci, the Form 47 of the Election Commission gives 12 lakh votes to PTI, 8 lakh votes to…
Corruption and scandal brewing in China's Signature Project, it's Rocket Force, the decisive instrument to thwart US Access in the West Pacific. Cdr under investigation. Dy Cdr commits suicide. Linkages with dissapearance of the FM and TV Hostess.
American soft power at work?
What is the concept of Launch on Warning & Sole Presidential Authority?
A Russian nuclear launch is picked up in Outer Space by a. US Satellite .
LOW kicks in.
After a confirmation by a second radar, within SIX minutes, the US President in consultation with SECDEF and…