Chris
@Flupnolide
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Head of Trading @Novig | 1 Time Contest Winner | Dms open | DM @Jamesnou for Accounts & Questions
Joined December 2021
@12Xpert @BettingIsCool @CrankFatton @betstamp low skill traders + mkt dynamics. mkt is -110s and god whispers to me that fair is -130/+130. after a couple clicks line moves -130/+110. sharps stop sensibly betting either side and devig close won't reflect fair (edge cases include 0ev leg in parlays + general account priming)
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MY DOG'S INTERNAL POLLING RESEARCH: 98% of time could be better spent at dog park. 90% of time getting into the trash not as big of deal as owner makes it out to be. 95% of time that dog walking by really is a big deal and owner should pay attention.
AXIS RESEARCH: 90% of Americans want access to prediction markets in their current form. Strong majorities also oppose casino regulator overreach, and distinguish sports prediction markets from sports betting. https://t.co/hZBTkCSfSV
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🚨Check out our Week 10 @CircaSports Survivor discussion🚨 We dive into game theory, analysis and projections @GeorgeTsilfidis | @Clevta | @Flupnolide
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Fezz is so wrong here, it’s embarrassing. Doesn’t even take a deep understanding of betting & math to understand why he is so off base.
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updated 2025 version
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Was pretty confused how this could be true when 90% of volume is sports, then I realized it's just bc sports bets resolve quickly so positions don't stay open. Nice job to whoever figured out how to present the data in a way that doesn't show sports dominating tho
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Watch @BunchuBets tell his story to @BigBuckHunterrr & @Flupnolide on the new episode of Predictive Programming. https://t.co/7xwquWm9NP
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ngl @BunchuBets blew me away with his breadth of knowledge on crypto/PM topics. glad we got him in
Is insider trading going to kill prediction markets? Watch @BunchuBets dive in with @Flupnolide & @BigBuckHunterrr on Predictive Programming EP 9
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We are live right now with @GeorgeTsilfidis and @Flupnolide
Four major favorites in the @CircaSports Survivor? Will this be a peaceful week after the carnage we got last week? Join @Clevta, @Flupnolide & @GeorgeTsilfidis as the picks get revealed. Plus Circa Million discussion https://t.co/7gNHAkUHdq
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I know ball #PredictiveProgramming
At the end of the Coinbase earnings call today, Brian Armstrong pulled up the mention market and rattled off all the words that weren't said yet What a wild time to be alive
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"Didn't @Flupnolide lose so much on Novig he came back begging for a job" Watch @Ias0801 (a former Novig intern) rip into Chris with @BigBuckHunterrr on the pod this week 👇
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Shoutout to @Ias0801 for coming on the pod this week with me and @Sports__Proj . The story he told about the madden sim grind is a can't miss. I was impressed w/ how thoughtful and knowledgeable Isaac was for being just out of college. Watch out CBB & MLB bettors! Links⬇️
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RT @FwdProgressHQ: From JOEY BOSA is Questionable with a Torn Knee, to LAMAR JACKSON is for sure going to be out This is the greatest come…
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hey - they’re doing technical analysis on prediction markets
proficient use of technical analysis. take this bullish soft noodle curve for example, most would look at this chart and think; 4% is a bit of a gamble isn’t it? wrong. most fail to see three bullish red sloping tree trunks all ~1 hour apart
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No Circle Back, it's Circles off today!👀 We had @robpizzola & @Flupnolide interview someone who has made a name for themselves in the industry by placing bets on large favorites... ⬇️ 🔗: https://t.co/WAAf5926DK Presented By: @Kalshi
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. @PredMTrader is great. Some very interesting angles that felt exactly like sports but for mention markets. His impact on PMs will be felt from both a media & trading perspective. Highly recommend watching this episode
Predictive Programming Ep 7 is LIVE 📺 @PredMTrader joins @BigBuckHunterrr + @Flupnolide to break down mention markets, live streams, and how he got into PMs. Watch the full episode linked in the replies 👇
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