David Zierden
@FLClimateCenter
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Florida State Climatologist with the Florida Climate Center. Specializing in climate variability, historic trends, Extension, and outreach.
Tallahassee, FL
Joined January 2014
The latest monitor from @DroughtCenter indicates that drought conditions persist across the Miami, Broward, and Palm Beach metro. Heavy rainfall forecasted over the next couple of days may finally help alleviate some of the long-withstanding drought.
Forecast confidence continues to increase that a heavy rainfall & increased urban flood threat will exist for South Florida this Labor Day Weekend. While the most likely values over the next 5 days is up to 4 inches of rainfall, *localized* high end amounts could present issues.
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There is no headline from major news outlets or even NASA itself than won't make me giggle when talking about the seventh planet from the sun.....
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Amazing new tool from the Marine Data Center at FSU/COAPS.... https://t.co/H98PIxydzy Not just ASCAT, but plots from four different scatterometers of tropical cyclones worldwide in real time!
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Hurricanes before social media.... "Not going to hit land...Meh. What was the Brave's score last night?" Now... "OMG, look at that convection! It should be hurricane strength by this afternoon..." "Did you see the 14-day forecast from the GFS...!!!??"
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Random....WTH are Labulus and why are they expensive? I thought we went through this already with cabbage patch dolls and beanie babies (aging myself).
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A yearly reminder with TS Erin in the picture... The trend is turn north and avoid FL, potential landfall at least 10 days out. Not to worry, but check forecast daily. Rely on NHC, local NWS. No secret models, data, or Guru forecasters exist that they haven't considered.
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This entire post is framed very well! Influence of greenhouse gasses plus land use and other human and natural forcings. @WeatherProf
A big talking point of climate change skeptics is “…but the 1930s were hot!” It’s true. They are right. 1930s summers were super hot in the US! But zoom out, and most of the globe was not. Top image: 1930s global temp anomalies, compared to… Bottom image: the last 10 years
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We've seen several photos of the smoke plume associated with the Rattlesnake Wildfire that has been burning in southern Palm Beach County. At times a Pyrocumulus has been visible from the metro. Latest update from @FDACS is that the fire is at 3200 acres and at 45% containment.
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This is part of why Miami has never hit 100. Very difficult to get a wind direction that doesn't pass over water from the Atlantic, Gulf, or Lake Okeechobee.
Mentioned on the air Friday that the meteorological set-up this weekend is what would be needed for TPA to finally hit 100°. In simple terms, the key is always for the winds to remain offshore (land breeze) during the peak heating of the day. That’s exactly what happened. The
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Adding onto this great observation re: how Tampa managed to hit 100 degrees -- a very rare feat not accomplished at least during the current station data thread from 1890-present -- backwards air parcel trajectories were predominantly over land vs. Gulf or ocean waters:
Tampa's record 100F temperature today was fueled by a highly anomalous 500mb ridge and an uncommon wind pattern for a July afternoon. Tampa recorded a 6mph NE wind at the time of the 100F observation, and this is the opposite of the typical afternoon sea breeze direction.
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Yesterday I posted a near record heat dome, with a claim it was as a 3.5 sigma event (based on our recent statistical data) Here’s the graphic to support the sigma. Maxes out around 3.6 standard deviations from the mean.
Florida’s excessively hot weekend is due to this due to this a nearly record breaking heat dome. Deep red indicates values higher than the 99.5% threshold for this time of year. For you statistics gurus, it’s about 3.5 standard deviations/ sigma from the mean. Thanks @burgwx for
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Rare sports take....Do you remember when the MLB all-star game meant: Only time the NL and AL met other than the World Series... Real game, high intensity... Starters went 6-7 innings or more... Stars played all 9 innings... No one EVER chose not to participate... Sigh
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Co-founder of WeatherTiger, Ryan Truchelut provides hurricane updates across Florida. His forecasts & expertise have been recognized across the world.
tallahassee.com
Co-founder of WeatherTiger, Ryan Truchelut provides hurricane updates across Florida. His forecasts & expertise have been recognized across the world.
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Updated drought monitor a good chunk of Palm Beach County remains under extreme drought conditions while the drought has worsened across the rest of South Florida. Thus far it’s been a rainy season dominated by an easterly flow pattern with some breaks here in then but for the
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This week's Florida drought summary. Improvement on the west coast, some worsening on the east side....@AdrianLinares28
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Politics and insurance were at the top of the list of what you wanted to know about the upcoming hurricane season during a June 12 "Ask Me Anything."
tallahassee.com
Politics and insurance were at the top of the list of what you wanted to know about the upcoming hurricane season during a June 12 "Ask Me Anything."
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Look at the consistent red dot around the Orlando, FL area....Pro tip - Floridians do not go to theme parks in the middle of summer.
Dangerous heat in portions of the country today will evolve as the week progresses, culminating in potentially Extreme heat impacts from the central plains by Saturday, then into the Midwest and East Coast late this weekend and into early next work week. Check
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