Daniel Firoozi
@DanielFiroozi
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Assistant Professor of Econ @CMCnews | Research on Education, Political Economy, & Labor Markets | Alum @UCSDecon @UCIsocsci | زن زندگی آزادی
Claremont, CA
Joined October 2017
I use compulsory schooling laws (CSL) that bind on birthdate to identify the impact of high school education in Florida & California on partisanship. People born before the cutoff start school younger & must remain in HS longer before they can legally drop out. GOP affiliation ⬇️
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The last time I posted the income relationship to presidential vote among White respondents to the @electionstudies ANES, people asked for additional estimates among all voters. Updated estimates here:
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🍎🦡 I'm recruiting a PhD student in Ed Policy (fall '26) at @UWMadEducation! Come work with me on college access, admissions, & fin aid in our top-ranked, fully-funded program. I’m especially excited for this student to immediately join our direct admissions RCT team.
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Enjoying chatting with @PBSWI about @UniversitiesWI's Direct Admit program / The Wisconsin Guarantee, my work on direct admissions, and early fall enrollment figures. @UWMadEducation @WCER_UW @IRP_UW
pbswisconsin.org
Taylor Odle on direct admission programs to the UW system for state high school students.
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🚨 I’m officially on the job market this year! 🚨 My JMP speaks to a key question in political science: once elected, do racial minorities govern differently from their white counterparts? I study this subject in the context of local land-use policy in American cities.
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The value added by election forecasters is mainly to aggregate polls. If we compare the raw polling average to @NateSilver538 Silver Bulletin and @SplitTicket_ . The raw polling average I posted on November 4th performs as well as forecasts that incorporate more variables.
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Before the 2024 election, I put out a simple forecast that accounted for the within-state, across time polling errors that have persisted since at least 2000. The results are in: A simple adjusted polling average outperforms the two best election forecasters from 2024.
@JeffDenning Adjusted polling averages and uniform swing for the closest states in 2020 attached below. Will be taking another look to see how forecasters do after results are final!
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Did you know that your siblings can influence whether you vote? Well, now you do! Social scientists have long known that parents influence kids' political socialization. And we have some new evidence that the opposite occurs too--kids influence parents. But, we have little
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These effects materialize when students are still in school and college and persist well into their 50s. On balance I find that peer socialization likely plays an important role in the observed effects. Full Paper:
danielfiroozi.com
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I also make use of a top percent admission policy at UC campuses called eligibility in the local context (ELC). Essentially, students in the top 4% of their HS class had an admissions advantage. They end up less likely to register to vote as Republicans when they reach age ~30.
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The impact of high school is larger for whites, men, and Gen Z, but substantial effects also exist for women, people of color, and older people stretching back to Gen Xers born in 1969. A rough rule of thumb is that every year of schooling reduces GOP affiliation by 2 pp.
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Does educational attainment impact partisanship? Yes. #EconTwitter In my paper “Education and Partisanship” I use admin data on millions of voters and multiple RD designs to show that education reduces GOP affiliation across generations, settings, demographics, & institutions.
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Trump has gained ground in 3 consecutive elections across large parts of the nation, concentrated in the least educated, poorest, & most non-white counties. Democrats have gained consecutively in only a small set of mostly educated, rich, white counties: https://t.co/AOBiM5vhJX
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Reform & Lib Dems gain against labour & conservatives in local UK elections as areas divide by education level; cultural right (reform) does better in low-education areas, cultural left (lib dems & green) in high-education areas; major parties decline https://t.co/c8t65Q6LYM
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Studying economics and business in college makes students become much more conservative.
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Forthcoming in AEJ: Economic Policy: "Do Tuition Subsidies Raise Political Participation?" by Daniel Firoozi and Igor Geyn.
aeaweb.org
(November 2025) - Civic externalities motivate education expenditures, but estimates of the civic returns to large-scale education subsidies are scarce. We use 16 million financial aid applications...
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Should be on every econ of ed syllabus (and Labor ones too imo)
Thrilled to see this paper accepted and soon in press! @davidfromterra
https://t.co/ncBLdy8U7E
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