Carroll Doherty
@CarrollDoherty
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Public opinion, political data. Visiting senior fellow, German Marshall Fund Former director of political research at Pew Research, senior writer at CQ
Washington, DC
Joined February 2010
The flooding is coming for you. Whether you know it or not. Whether the maps say it, or not. Incredible piece, below, by Miami Herald about flooding across S. Florida that isn't mapped by anyone — except the Miami Herald. The details are amazing… —> https://t.co/DUSoQvGtEq
miamiherald.com
As climate changes soaks South Florida, flood complaints are piling up.
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NEW - Just released @APNORC survey (conducted Nov. 6-10), finds overall Trump job approval at just 36% (28% among political independents). 2 to 1 disapproval on the economy and nearly the same on health care, handling federal government. https://t.co/Gh83R83Wbc
apnorc.org
Approval of how Trump is handling the federal government has dropped sharply since March.
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Pre-shutdown, 67% of Democrats said they were frustrated with their party. Why? By far the top reason was the party didn't fight hard enough against Trump. https://t.co/vIg58mpttI
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How Democratic support for cutting $$ for local police fell sharply in 2020-21: In 2020, 41% of Dems favored decreased police funding, 19% increased 38% kept same 2021 - 25% decreased 34% increased 40% kept same https://t.co/RHqouvQJ2T
pewresearch.org
Amid mounting public concern about violent crime in the U.S., Americans’ attitudes about police funding in their own community have shifted.
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An era of intense political division fuels an endless throw-the-bums out electorate.
wsj.com
Decisive Democratic wins just a year after Trump’s GOP sweep signal voters are impatient for change.
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The gap between voters saying their vote is anti-Trump and those saying it’s pro-Trump is larger than ever. It’s also the largest such gap since 2006.
cnn.com
President Donald Trump on Friday downplayed his role in a pretty grim 2025 election for Republicans.
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Army safety @LarryPickettJr1 helped rescue an unconscious driver trapped in a crash after @ArmyWP_Football’s season opener Living out the cadet creed to protect & serve - just like generations before him 🇺🇸 @MartySmithESPN shares more on @CollegeGameDay (Sat, 9a ET, ESPN)
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The New Jersey counties that swung the most toward Dems were also the ones with the most Latino voters, per this graphic by @ccemorse and Eric Lau
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Golden got it. Our electoral rules are obsolete. He understood why representatives who don’t fit easily into either party are so rare: the electoral system works against them.. 1/2
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Sometimes election results just aren't that complicated, as @nataliej points out. "It’s still all about the economy. Views on the economy remain about as bad as they were a year ago, but now it’s the Republicans in charge who are shouldering the blame." https://t.co/prbS5oVJ5f
nationaljournal.com
Americans still don’t feel any relief on the cost of living. Now Trump gets the blame.
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Here's the hole the GOP finds itself in on the economy. In @CNN's latest, 28% have a positive view of economic conditions. At this point in 2017 (a yr. before Dems gained 40 House seats), 68% rated econ conditions as good - 40 pts higher than today. https://t.co/bvSZkMMQ2N
cnn.com
One year out from the midterm elections, the Democratic Party holds a sizable enthusiasm advantage as views of President Donald Trump dip further into negative territory, according to a new CNN poll...
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A new meta analysis of millions of online posters finds that moral-emotional language is perhaps the number 1 rocket-booster for traffic. Most ppl who spend time building an audience by posting online about politics (or anything) come to the same realization: high dudgeon
For each additional moral–emotional word in a social media post, the expected number of shares is 13% greater. Our new meta-analysis in @PNASNexus finds robust evidence of moral contagion (N = 4,821,006; 5 labs, 27 studies). The moral contagion effect is even stronger in
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While political discourse since ‘24 has been almost exclusively focused on men & their shifting partisan alliances, women voters powered Spanberger and Sherrill’s routs in VA/NJ. Spanberger won women by 30 points; Sherrill by 24 points.
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Quite the news dump on Election Day in Virginia…
Breaking news: The Trump administration is sending messages to federal staff suggesting only those who are working during the government shutdown will be paid when it ends, despite a 2019 law that guarantees pay to furloughed employees, too.
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A major part of Dick Cheney's legacy was the US war in Iraq. Here's a look-back on the war at its 20th anniversary in 2023. https://t.co/en6AZ1tZKf
pewresearch.org
Twenty years ago this month, the U.S. launched a major invasion of Iraq. President George W. Bush and his administration at first drew broad public support for the use of military force. Yet the...
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This is my new favorite chart, btw. The mode (most common) age of ACA enrollees is 64 — just before Medicare eligibility.
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Must-read. Starting now, I'm judging you for misreading or overstating issue polls.
nytimes.com
Perhaps gun control and carbon taxes aren’t as central as they seem.
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Good cautionary piece on 'single issue polls' in @nytimes. Includes this smart take from my former @pewresearch colleague Jocelyn Killey: Issue polling measures public opinion "before it gets pulled into the politica;l tornado." https://t.co/MjsF5swPqn
nytimes.com
Perhaps gun control and carbon taxes aren’t as central as they seem.
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18-29 Year Old Trump Approval is down to 35%.
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Puts the ongoing (and on and ) Democratic progressive-moderate discourse into perspective
COLUMN: "The most revealing element of next week’s election is that [Trump] is all but ensuring defeat for Republicans, and his party is doing next to nothing about it," writes our @jmart. Read the full column👇 https://t.co/N8oqG0DY8A
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