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JH

@CRUDEOIL231

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Hedge Fund Commodity Strategist / Deputy Head of Derivatives Desk - Macro, Commodities, FICC / Middle and Far East representation

Joined August 2021
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
2 days
RT @DannyDayan5: Powell’s error is immense and broad. First, he said all inflation is tariffs and thus he expects it to be transitory.….
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
2 days
Although President Lula is a big risk, Brazil is doing well. Since I bought $BRZU at the end of last year, it ranks third in my stock portfolio. Not only is its YTD performance satisfactory, but what's even better is that it pays an annual dividend of over 5%. If you are.
@ferpvillar
Fernando Villar
2 days
$EWZ . 3.43% today . 25.98% YTD . Saamba!.
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@grok
Grok
5 days
What do you want to know?.
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
2 days
RT @BenniKim: Easy. Debase the USD and go golfing on weekends. Insanely bullish USD assets like stocks, gold, real estate, commodities, bu….
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
2 days
I can't even remember when August weather was this bearish. The power of mother nature. #Natgas #oott
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
2 days
RT @CRUDEOIL231: UBS on Copper. Copper awakening. Some on Wall Street are waking up to the truth! . #oott #copper $hbm https://t.co/….
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
3 days
I think I saw this in 2021. The moment when he said, “Trasi. ”.
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
3 days
RT @AleRodjfnfo: 숏츠와 릴스에 중독된 세대들이여. 무엇이든 전문을 보라. 표현은 맥락에서 생겨나고, 그 맥락은 몇 마디 단어의 미묘한 조합만으로는 결코 총체적으로 이해될 수 없다.
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
3 days
UBS on Copper. Copper awakening. Some on Wall Street are waking up to the truth! . #oott #copper $hbm
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
5 days
Although the fact that the implied balance is very weak and prices are likely to remain bearish in the future remains unchanged, there is not much room for shorting from a positioning perspective. Be wary of unexpected short-term spikes. It seems better to wait for some of the
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@staunovo
Giovanni Staunovo🛢
6 days
Charts on crude net-positioning of non-commercial accounts (=managed money and other reportables) in Brent and WTI futures and options combined (ICE, CFTC) #OOTT latest value is August 12
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
9 days
Although it is not as significant as the IEA's ~4mb/d surplus, global observable oil inventories are actually increasing. Of course if a surplus of ~4mb/d were expected, as in the IEA's balance, oil prices would have already collapsed. Therefore it is unlikely to be that
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
11 days
Hudbay continued to do their job well in the Q2. In Q2, they reduced net debt by about $434 million and lowered their integrated cash cost guidance from $0.80 to $1.00 per pound to $0.65 to $0.85 per pound, stepping up their efforts to maintain strict cost management and a.
@VanIsleInvestor
Vancouver Island Guy 🌊
11 days
$HBM HudBay Minerals ⬆️ $2.00
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
11 days
Global LNG export capacity is growing rapidly, but global gas storage capacity is not keeping pace. As structural demand growth outpaces storage capacity limits, global Natgas benchmark price volatility will become vulnerable to weather events. #oott #natgas
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
12 days
The ECMWF ensemble currently forecasts that Tropical Storm Erin will not make direct landfall in the eastern US. GFS also has only one ensemble scenario landing in the eastern US. #natgas #oott #HurricaneErin
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
12 days
RT @PauloMacro: @CRUDEOIL231 @hkuppy I am very far from top man. The battle is internal. Top suggests I am competing against others. So man….
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
12 days
In the commodities space, crude, gold, and copper are all exposed to significant CTA downside risk, which could accelerate their declines. For everyone, the downside risk of CTA is greater than the upside risk. #oott #com
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
12 days
I recorded my biggest loss of the year on #Natgas. Quite a few colleagues and Fintwits had a short-term bullish outlook on Natgas, but the majesty of nature made that disappear. I have been trading Natgas for many years, but this summer has been the most dynamic yet. I would.
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
19 days
September Saudi (and OPEC+) crude exports will be very interesting. Obviously high OSP. There seems to be a clear desire by the Saudis to return paper barrels to the market, but not to flood the market. #oott #com.
@staunovo
Giovanni Staunovo🛢
19 days
Saudi Aramco raises the official selling price (OSP) for Arab light for Asia by USD 1.00/bbl to USD 3.20/bbl above the benchmark (Oman/Dubai average) for the month of September #oott.
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
19 days
Goldman on oil. #oott #com
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@CRUDEOIL231
JH
24 days
This also holds true for H1 2026. Despite the low likelihood of a move into contango before inventories begin to accumulate, the strength of the current backwardation remains notable, especially given the widespread expectations of a significantly bearish balance. #oott #com
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@UnintendedCons5
Unintended Consequence
26 days
Q4 Brent spreads up to their wartime high….
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