Kim BENNI
@BenniKim
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Commodity Portfolio Manager - Systematic mid-frequency futures & options - Switzerland - Options - Quantitative trading - Data driven
Genève
Joined February 2012
I wanna thank the systematic slow momentum shorts who got murdered these past few days and extend my warmest welcome to the Chinese mom & pop who are chasing hard out of FOMO. Nothing would have been possible without you.
Gold, silver, copper and WTI are showing the exact same pattern. If the price does not move much, one can expect mostly selling flow, but if there is a bullish surprise, the upside flow is quite asymetric, much bigger than the downside flow in case of a bearish surprise.
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Three gold companies in Shenzhen Shuibei have been lawfully shut down. The charge is illegally opening a casino, as providing margin trading similar to futures, high leverage, and paper contracts without physical support! https://t.co/Bvr1y98J7x
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Quantmageddon
Bodies from the past many weeks’ Quant Quake are starting to float to the surface, as initially warned here in July… https://t.co/pgeQeJJlGi Yes, it’s shades of Aug07 - https://t.co/IJMK1kSiUx And YES, there is a GIF for this.
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I've seen this movie before. Guess that clarifies the mood in the Kremlin and whether Russia will back down or not.
JUST IN 🚨 Putin warns: If the U.S. sends Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, Russia will arm Latin America with Kalibr missiles.
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So much for complacence, innit ? Back to steep backwardation, strong crackspreads. May I add low OPEC+ spare capacity and a balanced SnD until end of 2025 ? Rule of thumb is $3-5 /bbl per million bbld of disruption, if those sanctions hold, we lost 2 to 3 mln bbls of Russian
The market is very, very complacent and this creates great opportunities. Apparently : 1/ China is going to roll over and be defeated overnight in a hot trade war without pain for the western economies. 2/ Russia and Iran are perfectly happy with their current circumstances and
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What could the Russian potentially do with the oil that India and China said they would not buy anymore ? 1/ Putin could try, hat in hand, to negotiate in good faith a ceasefire (just kiddin' but always good to reframe why we are here) 2/ Russia can blend its oil with the
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That Russian oil on water is gonna stay on water.
Chinese state oil companies PetroChina, Sinopec, CNOOC, and Zhenhua Oil have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil after the U.S. imposed sanctions on two of Russia’s largest oil companies, according to Reuters.
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Long uranium. As I said multiple times, the US has a deep, deep deficit of uranium and of enrichment capacity.
RUSSIA'S ROSATOM CEO SAYS ANY DETERIORATION OF RUSSIA-U.S. RELATIONS MAY POTENTIALLY AFFECT THE COUNTRIES' COOPERATION ON URANIUM SUPPLIES - IFX
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🚨🇫🇷Patrice Hubert, bras droit de Bardella et nouveau DG du RN, a été un relais du parti en Russie, en lien avec des proches du Kremlin et l’oligarque Malofeïev, soutien des séparatistes du Donbass.🇷🇺 ➡️ Réseaux, financement, influence : l’ombre russe continue de peser sur le RN.
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Interesting time for British, American and French citizens who are currently head traders or managers at Lukoil, Petrochina and Rosneft. They are quite a few and their yearly bonuses may not clear to account / get frozen. Also interesting time with respect to hedging physical
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That means more oil on water and that is not bearish ;)
A complete elimination of Russian crude from the Indian slate could potentially add 1.5-2.0% to global crude tonne-miles (as we said earlier). Critically, the net fleet utilisation impact would depend upon the number of grey fleet vessels returning to compliant trade. #oott
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