Burnet is part of the communities in which its facilities are located in Australia, Myanmar and Papua New Guinea. "As scientists and researchers, we reach for solutions to complex problems, for discoveries and new knowledge," said Burnet Director and CEO
@CrabbBrendan
We are going to have more virus as a result of the decision to scrap mandatory isolation
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@abcnews
"We seem to have surrendered to the virus for now and for its devastating effects. I just don't understand because we can hold the line."
The scrapping of mandatory isolation sends the wrong message that the pandemic is over
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@sunriseon7
"COVID is still here, and the biggest problem we have at the moment is a messaging one ..."
@RealOzSAGE
@amapresident
Vic community efforts in lockdown 6 prevented around 6000 cases
@BurnetInstitute
modelling shows.
@VictorianCHO
said: "But it’s not just those historically avoided cases, it’s the 1700 cases that would have been added today ... or 2000 cases tomorrow."
Data shows the risks of
#COVID19
are higher than seasonal influenza because of the "extensive" organ involvement,
@zalaly
said during his keynote address at the Burnet Oration.
"We found
#LongCOVID
can affect nearly every organ system," he said.
Read more:
Despite higher immunity, higher vaccination rates and effective therapies, we've just had our worst COVID wave yet
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@sunriseon7
"The virus is winning, and we can't rely on herd immunity. "We've lost our way in talking about herd immunity by infection ...
"Infection by the new BA.5 variant provides you with immunity for a very short time and that’s why we are seeing so many reinfections. And each time you get reinfected, your chance of getting long COVID increases.
At a time when global cases are rising sharply, the scrapping of mandatory isolation puts Australia at greater risk of more cases and more long COVID
@profmiketoole
tells ABC Illawarra Drive in a broad interview that starts 1h:6m into today's program
"We're going to need to change to an anti-transmission strategy,"
@CrabbBrendan
told
@latingle
, as part of an
@abc730
panel to discuss Australia's
#COVID19
strategy
"And the most important message is we really can do this without significant disruption."
“I don’t want to get
#COVID19
... Even though I almost certainly will, I want to get it as few times as possible. Clean air is at the heart of my own personal strategy,"
@CrabbBrendan
told
@liammannix
.
Ahead of today's rescheduled National Cabinet meeting
@CrabbBrendan
is urging
@AlboMP
the Premiers and Chief Ministers to endorse a low-COVID strategy to protect not only the vulnerable, but everyone from the debilitating, acute and chronic effects of COVID
@sunriseon7
"Each time you get infected, long COVID accumulates, and this is extremely worrying. It means that there is no wall of immunity built by infection against the impacts of infection. So this is all the more reason why we have to be very anti-infection in our strategy.
"We're going through the worst phase in the pandemic, 97 deaths a day nationally, 43 a day in the state,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@LaTrioli
@abcmelbourne
"Hospitalisations are right up there, the impact of acute diseases is everywhere in our society, our businesses, our schools ...
"We've had a doubling of cases in NSW every 11 days for the last 2 months... which means 2500 cases in 20 days,"
@CrabbBrendan
says NSW's health system could be overwhelmed in an "Italy-style catastrophe" if restrictions aren't stepped up
#COVID19Aus
@billbowtell
@7NewsAustralia
"Don't think just because you've had one there's no problem in getting a second infection. There's every reason to try to stop getting a second or a third infection and reduce the chances of long COVID. I worry about (long COVID) more than I worry about the acute effects."
We'd like to thank world-renowned COVID-19 researcher
@zalaly
for his engaging Burnet Oration on the worldwide burden and risks of
#LongCOVID
, and its impact on the human body.
And
@DrBronKing
for sharing her personal story and advocating for clean air for all.
#HealthEquity
" ... it's nuts to get infected to protect yourself against infection. We haven't grasped the fact that having lots of virus in our community is bad. The virus has continued to literally mutate to get around the immunity that we have. We have to change to reduce transmission.
From 725 cases to two! While Europe grapples with a spiralling second wave, Victoria's
#COVID19
curve appears to be flattening.
@KnowC19_Burnet
Thanks to all the scientists who have shared their knowledge and insights to help guide this positive public health response.
"It's clear what can be done to control COVID, and it's not restrictive. Higher vaccination coverage, investment in clean air, high-quality mask wearing and widely available testing are the tools we have available," write
@CrabbBrendan
and
@profmiketoole
"The only way to prevent long COVID is to not get COVID, and ... every time you get reinfected, you increase your chances of long COVID. So it's another reason to change our strategy to be anti-transmission,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@latingle
@abc730
@abcnews
"I'd like the Prime Minister and the premiers to say 'Anything that can be construed as a let it rip strategy is dead, it’s now about reducing transmission, getting this under control, reducing cases',"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@rosieslewis
@jessmalcolm1
“I have absolutely no doubt that Australians don’t know that
#COVID19
is putting 50x more people in hospital than the flu, it’s killing 50-100x more people than the flu, that 5%, if they get infected, even if they’re vaccinated, are likely to get
#longCOVID
,"
@CrabbBrendan
said.
"Melbourne is a success story in many ways, because it repressed the virus,” Professor Luke O'Neill from Ireland told
@rtenews
. As Ireland moves to much tougher health measures to tackle a
#COVID19
second wave, they are looking to Victoria for inspiration.
Nation at risk without 'ring of steel' around Sydney, epidemiologists warn including
@profmiketoole
.
“They need one … it’s endangering the rest of the country and NSW, which should be their first priority.”
@ama_media
"The whole community tuned in to her every word. Her work and views and advocacy (during the COVID-19 pandemic) helped save thousands of lives."
@CrabbBrendan
pays tribute to
@UNSW
Professor Mary-Louise McLaws who has died of brain cancer, aged 70.
Rather than accept the new "COVID normal", authorities need to minimise cases and deaths by promoting the use of masks, improved ventilation, better vaccination coverage, and ongoing testing and isolation
@MargaretHellard
tells Vic parliamentary inquiry.
New
@BurnetInstitute
modelling highlighted by Prof Allen Cheng today at
@VicGovAu
presser showed a 41% chance of a 3rd wave within four weeks if Vic opened up too early
- from 28 Sept. Study at
Prevention is better than cure: the best way to prevent long COVID is to reduce number of people getting a COVID-19 infection.
Read our full submission to the
#LongCOVID
inquiry here:
"And as people get infected and reinfected their chances of long COVID are increasing. It's an absolute crisis, and masks are one of the only things we have in addition to vaccines in an acute situation like this. Right now, you simply have to mask up. We need leadership ...
The emergence of the Nu
#COVID
-19 variant from southern Africa is concerning and demands smart border controls and effective quarantine along with an ongoing 'vaccines plus' strategy - masks, clean air, testing and tracing,
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@PatsKarvelas
@abcnews
@abcmelbourne
“Australians have very little idea of the scale of the
#COVID19
problem at the moment, including the risk to themselves,”
@CrabbBrendan
told
@CroweDM
.
"I do want COVID-19 to be treated exceptionally,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@JillMargo1
"But that doesn’t mean lockdown. It means employing the few tools we have; vaccines, clean air (using a mask if you can’t breathe clean air) and testing more effectively."
"We need NSW to go to Stage 4 restrictions – Melbourne-like – which our modelling shows, will see an end to this,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@PatsKarvelas
#afternoonbriefing
existing restrictions have prevented thousands of
#COVID19
cases, but stricter controls needed to end outbreak.
"I think we’re asleep at the wheel, to an extent – the world is asleep at the wheel to this reality, and we have to wake up and get numbers down everywhere,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@rachelmealey
The World Today
@abcnews
about the emergence of the Nu COVID variant in Southern Africa
A mindset shift, particularly in government messaging, would enable reductions in community transmission of COVID-19
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@AlisonSBarrett
'It would make a difference if the Prime Minister acknowledged that COVID-19 is still a concern'.
"With COVID we've lost our way in talking about herd immunity by infection as though a mild version of the virus can help us build immunity,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@sunriseon7
"Infection as a strategy to avoid infection and the effects of infection fails the pub test."
" ... as though infection is in some way our friend and a 'mild' version of the virus can help us build immunity. Infection as a strategy to avoid infection and the effects of infection fails the pub test. It doesn't just fail any sort of scientific test ...
Everyone is entitled to their views, but to publish a headline “it’s crap” that is attributed to the unnamed scientist, is very disappointing and unprofessional.
Burnet Institute statement re a article questioning the findings of a Burnet Institute-led research paper on the impact of the introduction of a mandatory mask policy in Melbourne, published by PLoS One on 21 July 2021. Read 👉🏼 .
Australia now ranks second in the world for
#COVID
cases per million among countries with a population of more than one million.
@CrabbBrendan
and
@profmiketoole
say there is no sign of COVID slowing down, in
@theage
article. 1/ 🧵 ➡️
Four years into the COVID pandemic we're living in a "public health Barbieland", says Professor Brendan Crabb, director and chief executive of the Burnet Institute. Too many of us are playing "make-believe" that life has returned to "normal"
"That’s a very false statement, it’s not based on the facts. In terms of the benefits, sure, most kids who get infected are mild, but some don’t. COVID is one of the leading causes of death in kids in the U.S."
With Victoria leaving door open to scrapping isolation rule at national cabinet, Burnet Institute director Brendan Crabb said the idea that allowing more people to be infected with COVID-19 was “good for business” needed to be challenged.
On 🇦🇺 deadliest day of the
#COVID19
pandemic, experts say we don’t know enough about who is dying. “Just because someone has ‘underlying conditions’ doesn’t mean it’s less tragic. Everyone is special,” Prof
@CrabbBrendan
said. 🧵1/4
Airborne mitigation, the use of high-quality masks when you can’t breathe clean air, and the use of RAT tests before attending events are among the simple steps we can all take to keep COVID at bay this holiday season
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@EmilyRice28
@RealOzSAGE
@VicGovDH
Fresh COVID-19 outbreaks are affecting more than 100 aged care facilities across the state - prompting health experts to re-visit the simple steps to lower the risk.
@EmilyRice28
has the details.
#9News
"NSW is going to need tougher restrictions, something more akin to Stage 4 in Victoria to get this [Delta outbreak] back to zero in a reasonable timeframe, acc to new modelling,"
@CrabbBrendan
told
@normanswan
@abc730
. Modelling on .
Opening up with high
#COVID
-19 numbers and an overwhelmed contract tracing system will be a dangerous prospect even with 70-80 per cent vaccination rates
@AllanSaul7
tells
@RevBillCrews
@2GB873
NSW COVID: The “assumption” in Burnet’s released modelling was that restrictions currently in place would be maintained. “If restrictions ease, that will affect the [model]”
@CrabbBrendan
said.
“Keeping numbers low; that is critical.” 1/2
BREAKING: latest research from
@KnowC19_Burnet
team - Victoria’s response to a resurgence of COVID-19 has averted 9,000-37,000 cases in July 2020 | The Medical Journal of Australia - on
@abc730
tonight
@normanswan
@VictorianCHO
Compulsory isolation is an important part of the COVID response and useful when cases are low to safeguard against the next wave of infections,
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@stephaniiimedia
. He described the move away from compulsory isolation as "illogical".
"As we go into (new) waves of infection, that's when we will see the impact of the removal of isolation rules. It means more cases, more hospitalisations and a proportion of people go on and get long COVID,"
@MargaretHellard
tells
@PatsKarvelas
"The blind spot we've had is based on not appreciating fully the importance of airborne transmission. This is a crisis. We're having these 'escapes' every 11 days. I hope for a national standard that takes aerosol transmission really seriously,"
@CrabbBrendan
told
@PatsKarvelas
.
At a time when global cases are rising sharply, the scrapping of mandatory isolation puts Australia at greater risk of more cases and more long COVID
@profmiketoole
tells ABC Illawarra Drive in a broad interview that starts 1h:6m into today's program
To defeat
#COVID
we need to acknowledge it's still here and commit to the development of new tools
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@normanswan
in a broad ranging discussion on the state of the pandemic. "With the will and the tools we can see the end of it."
After a severe headache Thursday, I was diagnosed with a brain tumour. I will now be on a month's sick leave from UNSW and WHO. Thank you media for helping me spread knowledge. Now it is time with my family.
Best wishes to you all.
Professor Crabb's top four recommendations are:
1⃣ Acknowledge the issue
2⃣ Prevent infection (which is very achievable)
3⃣ Do more for people with long COVID
4⃣ Research our way out of this, both for current and future people with
#longCOVID
Australia continues to release the pandemic brakes, sending a strong signal of 'mission accomplished' ... in contradiction to what the numbers say about widespread infection, suffering and disruption.
@CrabbBrendan
and
@profmiketoole
write for
@theage
Authorities could more strongly recommend the wearing of masks to build public support
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@JoshButler
"Nobody wants to go into lockdown or do anything restrictive ... but we need to say, 'here are the tools, we’d like you to use them'."
1 in 41 infected cases in 🇦🇺
#COVID19
hotel quarantine since 1 May 2021 has resulted in a breach. Compares to 1 in 106 before then
#DeltaVariant
is far more infectious and needs to be treated as such with national hotel quarantine standards. Full analysis:
"'BA.5 is worse than the one earlier in the year and looks like continuing. So we as a leadership group have decided we're going to change tack.' Until we get that mea culpa I don't think we can get that mindset shift that we need to turn things around."
@RealOzSAGE
New Burnet study shows how mandatory
#mask
use turned around Melbourne's COVID-19 second wave.
#Delta
's emergence means that masks are even more important now. "The key finding from this study is that masks work".
@CrabbBrendan
@normanswan
@KnowC19_Burnet
“We’re in the middle of a wave, and I don’t think we should keep sending signal after signal to the public that it’s all over because it’s not,”
@profmiketoole
tells
@GeraetsNell
as COVID-positive players cleared for Australian Open
As
#COVID19
cases increase across 🇦🇺🇵🇬🇲🇲 many people are asking what can I do to help my families and friends have a safe[r] festive season?
10 THINGS TO CONSIDER from our public health experts. Share ⬇️. More ➡️ .
How will Victoria respond to the ongoing threat of
#COVID19
from NSW?
@CrabbBrendan
said: “If NSW won’t do a ring of steel to protect … Australia, what will happen? I’m very worried. We have six months of this realistically, in my view.”
"When you have such a lethal virus out there we need to have some rules in place so that we can protect each other,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@normanswan
"It’s the message that is the big problem, not the rule. The message that COVID is over says we can relax, and we can’t relax."
Last week, National Cabinet agreed to drop mandatory isolation for people testing positive to COVID-19. It's a decision which has not been well received by some experts.
@normanswan
reports.
#abc730
“It's not just up to WA, SA and Qld to protect themselves. The onus is on those of us with COVID to do what we can to protect them while they get vaccinated.”
@CrabbBrendan
says Vic and NSW must help keep the rest of 🇦🇺
#COVIDZero
@TheAusInstitute
webinar
"We're seeing our leaders wear masks now which is fantastic, but it needs much more. It needs our leaders to say 'the strategy we took in January, February this year, which was pretty casual about infection, we thought Omicron was going to be OK, that turned out to be wrong ...
Vaccines alone are not enough to release the brakes. Restrictions will need to be maintained until
#COVID
-19 case numbers are low to allow effective testing and tracing
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@TheTodayShow
"It's not ending suddenly."
@9NewsSyd
@9NewsMelb
Victorian lockdown to end 21 October: updated
@BurnetInstitute
modelling released by
@VicGovDH
shows Melbourne's COVID-19 outbreak estimated to peak between 15-27 Oct, lower hospitalisation and ICU rates due to ⬆️ ⬆️ vaccination rates. Modelling avail .
[The Doherty] modelling is based on an outbreak of just 30 cases.
“If NSW is reporting 1000 cases a day, it won’t work. 80% of adults is only 40% of the population. We know kids are getting it and spreading it – 900 of the currently active cases are kids,”
@profmiketoole
said.
"We can bring down the peak by 20, 30, 40 percent if we do things like vaccines and masks,"
@MargaretHellard
tells
@msanto92
@9NewsMelb
"Know the secret, you're doing a bigger job than you think you are by wearing that mask."
Omicron's latest peak will hit Melbourne in five weeks.
The modelling is in, and according to the Burnet Institute, infections will spike in August - but won't be as bad as they were in January.
@msanto92
#9News
Don't drop your guard on masks outdoors, yet. The Victorian Government points to a
@BurnetInstitute
study reinforcing the vital role
#Masks
played in slowing the spread of the virus in Victoria's second lockdown last year. via
@ballaratcourier
To turn around
#COVID19
in 🇦🇺 we need to focus on 3 things
@CrabbBrendan
told
@NatarshaBelling
:
- getting vaccinated
- breathing clean air & wearing well-fitted mask if you can't
- getting tested if you have symptoms or know you've been exposed
Omicron five times more more likely to reinfect than Delta and shown no sign of being milder than Delta, an
@imperialcollege
London study showed, as cases soar across Europe and threaten year-end festivities.
@AAMRI_Aus
The COVID deaths no one is stopping | We speak to a woman still struggling to comprehend the loss of a loved one and an epidemiologist about how Australia went from a world leader in controlling the disease to the bottom of the pack. via
@ABCaustralia
Stage 3 restrictions are working and have saved many lives in Sydney
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@karlstefanovic
but
#Delta
is too big a challenge. Burnet modelling shows this is not enough to bring this back to zero and stage 4 is needed to bring this to an end in a month or so.
Sydney is on the brink of four more weeks of lockdown with calls for stricter Stage 4 restrictions in order to flatten the curve.
An announcement from the premier expected in just hours.
#9Today
Wearing a mask, staying up to date with vaccinations & ensuring indoor areas are well ventilated are all steps we can take to manage COVID-19 risk. Pleased to be announcing 3.5 million free N95 & KN95 masks will be distributed across Vic.
COVID-19 is rapidly changing genetically via mutations, so it’s able to avoid gained immunity.
@CrabbBrendan
and
@profmiketoole
point out this is leading to reinfections becoming increasingly common and not necessarily milder than the initial infection.
The latest data suggests COVID-19 cases and deaths in Australia are among the highest in the world on a per capita basis. Epidemiologists suggest a number of factors are responsible, including lagging vaccine rates and non-compliance with mask mandates.
The article quoted a medical researcher/PhD student from UNSW and an “anonymous” researcher as the sources questioning the study findings. Burnet Institute stands by our paper. We accept that not everyone has to agree with our work and are welcome to their views.
"We care a lot about hotel quarantine, but seem to have this blind spot when it comes to airborne transmission that is preventing an unambiguous statement of its significance and preventing tough national guidelines
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@LaTrioli
on
@abcmelbourne
Yes, our Facebook page is blocked! Professor Brendan Crabb AC said: "Any sudden change to quality health information flow at any time, but most especially in the midst of a health crisis, is deeply unethical and damaging. It should be met with the sustained contempt it deserves."
"And we should postpone removing the isolation period until we can get the Reff figure way down below one. The other thing about vaccination is children. Globally we have a very low rate of vaccination in children.
BOOM! 12-15s can get the💉
Today the three of us who run
@covidbaseau
, Jack, Wesley and Darcy, had our first dose of the Moderna vaccine.🎉
Thought this would be a good time to share who we really are.😄
Thrilled that we will finally be included in our data!
Until indoor air quality is prioritised and regulated, "COVID-19, and other airborne pathogen transmission will remain an ongoing challenge in health and aged care settings, resulting in preventable illness and death,"
@CrabbBrendan
tells
@JenniferDoggett
“The strategy can’t work with high vax rates only, it has to be high vax rates plus,”
@CrabbBrendan
said. Plus includes testing, tracing, isolation and quarantine, improved ventilation face masks. “For months, perhaps for years.”