Jaymes Monte
@ArabAnalytics
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Senior Analyst at @StatsBomb .
Dundee
Joined November 2019
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The one you've all been waiting for...
Penalties conceded versus Touches in the Box (against)....
*Runs for cover*
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I've been playing around with some
@StatsBomb
360 data to try and identify different types of forwards.
Can clearly see the differences between a Messi who likes to drop deep and receive the ball in space, versus a Giroud who will play on shoulder of last defender, for example.
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🗣PERSONAL ANNOUNCEMENT🚩
Delighted to say that I have recently taken up a role as Pro Services Analyst with
@StatsBomb
.
With the lack of anything profound or funny to say, that concludes this announcement.
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I’ve thoroughly enjoyed my first 6 weeks at
@StatsBomb
, and already learned a lot from the people here. But if I’m honest, the real reason I took the job was to get my hands on nutmeg data for the Scottish Prem…
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I used
@StatsBomb
's 360 data to take a look at Everton's out-of-possession shape, and you can see numerous examples of three Everton defenders protecting "the V" when Arsenal have the ball in wide areas - as Dyche discusses in his Coaches Voice video.
Listen to Sean Dyche, and then watch the clip from earlier today.
Already, Everton mastering the protection of "the V"
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Dundee might be going down, but they do lead the way when it comes to nutmegs, so there is that…
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Extremely proud to have played a (very) small part in Scotland's Euro 2024 qualification campaign by working on opposition data reports, post-match data analysis and general data-led support to the analysis team at the Scottish FA. 🏴
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Where do teams shoot from in the Scottish Premiership?
Celtic suffering from what future generations will know as the Ryan Christie-effect.
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A little later than I'd hoped, but one last analysis of the Euros (from me), this time looking at progressive carries into the channels...
No surprise to see Spinazzola and Mæhle leading the way, but Grealish featuring in the top 12 is impressive considering this is NOT 'per90'.
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Looking at the Scottish Premiership's most "press resistant" midfielders...
Early days but Ylber Ramadani looking like a top, top piece of recruitment from Aberdeen (not just because of this).
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Since losing to Queen of South on 19/10/19, United have been behind for just 33 of 990 minutes of football played.
Just over HALF AN HOUR in over 2-and-a-half months (11 games) of football.
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Quickly switching play from one flank to the other can open up attacking lanes and create space for wide players to exploit...
Here's a look at which teams did that most often in the opening round of
#EURO2020
fixtures...
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I did some work with
@StatsBomb
’s 360 data, along with
@olivermpw_
, to look at some teams that are generating a high xG from corners, and how they line up their attackers in the box…
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The moment you've all been waiting for... the final Scottish Premiership 2021/22
@StatsBomb
Nutmeg Table.
Dundee might be going down, but they do so with their heads held high as they top the Nutmeg table with the most Nutmegs AND the best Nutmeg Difference. 👏
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I did some work on identifying quick passers using data, and then looked at how these players:
▪️ found teammates in space,
▪️ advanced the ball,
▪️ completion rate of said passes.
You can read about it on the
@StatsBomb
blog here
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Penalty to Rangers!
In an attempt to stay relevant and bait some cheap interaction…
Rangers do get slightly more pens than avg (relative to touches in box) but not significantly so.
Aberdeen also above the avg line.
Celtic, Hibs, Killie, Dundee have right to feel aggrieved.
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United's shot map from tonight (that's all shots, not just on target).... does anymore need to be said?
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Looking at where crosses are attempted from in the Scottish Prem, and how often they are converted (a goal is scored) this season...
Further analysis to follow on why higher volume of crosses from right, but lower conv rate %.
(Inspired by
@Worville
’s recent piece on crosses.)
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How do team's passing intentions change dependant on game state?
Added some more context, different plots for different managers, and ironed out a bug in the code from when I previously posted this.
Calculated using
@StatsBomb
xPass data.
(1/2)
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I decide to look at cutback passes in the Scottish Premiership…
Celtic way out in front on the p90 numbers, with 2 goals coming directly from them.
Rangers, Hibs, St. J & Dundee with considerably more action from right compared to left.
Really not a feature of United’s game.
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In an attempt to determine which defenders are best at transitioning play from defence to attack I calculated how often a pass starting in the defensive 3rd led to that player's team having possession in the final 3rd of the pitch. And then how those players start that build up.
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Looking at how often, and where, teams regain possession due to a successful tackle, in the Scottish Premiership this season...
▪️ Celtic at the bottom of the pile is probably quite telling.
▪️ 3 of the top 6 feature in the top 4 for most possession regains from a tackle.
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When I made this viz for the 1st round of games it was on the working assumption that switching flanks quickly was a good thing (I still, ultimately, believe that it is), but it’s quite damning that in the 2nd round of games, the four teams that switched most, all failed to win…
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Trying out a new viz using
@StatsBomb
xPass metric to get a proxy towards team/player passing style/quality
How to read
▪️Passes split into 5 equal sized (by vol.) buckets for league
▪️+ve bar represents a pass bucket where player completes pass more often than expected
(1/2)
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Pass Network | Average positions for all 12 teams from most recent round of Scottish Premiership fixtures...
All plotted up to the time of the relevant team’s fist substitution. Very brief analysis below. (1/5)
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One of the highlights of yesterday’s game for me (which I don’t think has been spoken about much) was
@declanglass10
decision NOT to shoot in build up to
@RyanEdwards_5
goal.
The temptation for most would have been ‘put their foot through’ this one. 👌
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New piece on the
@StatsBomb
blog. ✏️
I've used xPass to give a proxy towards team style, how that changes depending on whether a team is winning, losing or drawing, and why that information might be useful to those working at football clubs. 👇
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Some further analysis of Goal Kicks in the Scottish Prem, this time looking at the last 6 games for each team.
-OF both preferring short
-Livi *NEVER* short, strongly favour long & right
-Aberdeen, Hamilton, St J, Killie almost always long
-Motherwell & St Mirren mix it up.
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I had a suspicion that top teams are playing more cutbacks than they used to.
So I looked at the data.
They aren't.
I was wrong.
But I did the research and made a viz, so you're getting it anyway, enjoy...
(data from
@StatsBomb
)
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I haven’t tweeted in a while, and, well…. Billy Gilmour.
Can’t overstate just how good he is and how important he is to Scotland.
Particularly effective in getting Scotland forward on the right in the Austria game.
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I ran the
@StatsBomb
360 viz in this article for other teams to see if there was anything of interest*, incl. for Rangers, Celtic, Liverpool, Man C & Arsenal....
A thread 🧵...
*teams change their routines regularly - more focussed analysis required to gain actionable insight.
I did some work with
@StatsBomb
’s 360 data, along with
@olivermpw_
, to look at some teams that are generating a high xG from corners, and how they line up their attackers in the box…
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Quick switches of play are great and all that, but what do teams do with the ball after that at
#EURO2020
?
Italy and Belgium generally 'turn back' and recycle possession infield.
Spain and Ukraine (particularly from L to R) use it as a springboard to progress play forwards.
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Whilst we all wait for the post-split fixtures (*nudge nudge
@spfl
), here's a look at the only table that really matters.
It's tight at the top between Hearts and Aberdeen, while Celtic have a bit of work to do to get off the bottom of the table with only five games to go...
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Thought it was a solid defensive performance from
@Mark5Connolly
▪️ 6/6 Defensive duels won
▪️ 10 interceptions
▪️ 73 passes made (more than any other Utd player)
▪️ 84% pass accuracy
▪️ 40 passes received (= 3rd most)
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I wrote about how you can use data to identify Attacking Overloads, and then measuring what a team does in the proceeding passage of play... it also includes an insight into my thought process for creating new metrics which hopefully gives others ideas towards doing similar...
NEW | Identifying Attacking Overloads And Measuring Their Impact
Senior Analyst
@ArabAnalytics
digs into our StatsBomb 360 data to define and identify attacking overloads, and which teams utilise them most often 🔽
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What's changed in the Scottish Premiership from last season to this season?
▪️Utd have improved defensively, but not a lot of change in chance creation.
▪️Livi and St J on the slide on both sides of the ball.
▪️Celtic improved in both.
▪️Ross C improved defensively.
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🥁🥁🥁🥁.....
... it's time for the important stuff, the Nutmeg league tables...
Head to the capital if you want entertainment. Hibs and Hearts games seeing 24 and 23 nutmegs, respectively, this season so far!!
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Didn't think I'd do this without looking at Scottish Prem, did ya?
@connorbarron8_
, the Scottish Rodri? 😃
I did some work on identifying quick passers using data, and then looked at how these players:
▪️ found teammates in space,
▪️ advanced the ball,
▪️ completion rate of said passes.
You can read about it on the
@StatsBomb
blog here
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Correlation does not imply causation, and all that jazz, but six of the eight teams that didn't qualify for the last 16 were amongst the 10 teams that switched play from one side of the pitch to the other in one or two passes least often...
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Play it out from the back?
A breakdown of where each Scottish Premiership side targeted with every pass from their defensive 3rd over the course of the 20/21 season... (note this includes successful and unsuccessful passes).
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Routine win for Scotland in the end, but standout performances from Tierney at LCB and McTominay at RCB.
Tierney causing all sorts of problems with the positions he took up, and McTominay likewise with his range of passing.
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50.6% of United’s passes were deemed as ‘forward passes’ against Ross County yesterday.
That’s the highest percentage of forward passes in any United game this season (league games only).
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A look at where Scottish Premiership teams shoot from this season, broken down by key areas...
▪️Rangers with the highest % from the most threatening central area.
▪️ United with lowest % from this area.
▪️St Mirren with highest % outside box and highest avg distance.
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Not many positives from yesterday, but Declan Glass picking up the ball here, with his back to goal and 9 players between him and the goal, before going on to score was something special…
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I takes two, baby...
▪️Cut off Morelos, you cut off ~27% of Rangers' progressions.
▪️No Celtic combo in top 50 of highest % combos (despite ranking 1st overall for total team progressive passes).
▪️Stop McGinn, you stop a big chunk (~14%) of Hibs' progressions.
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Playing about with
@StatsBomb
's new(ish) Pass Clusters you can start to get an idea of different team styles across a league;
◾️Hibs quite obvious in their desire to switch play from left-right.
◾️Motherwell with a clear right side bias in their play.
(1/2)
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Dundee United player pass maps for today's game against Hamilton.
Powers the standout with 63 passes and 82% success rate. Not one of Clark's better games.
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Rebooted this and seems to be working fine again, if anyone wants to have a little look at how
@ScotlandNT
set up and their passing networks in any game (can also filter to look at specific periods within a fixture), of the WC qualification campaign.
🏴👉
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Here’s where Dundee United players have taken shots from this season, ordered by total number of shots (headers and penalties excluded)...
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Is this interesting? I'm not sure...
I plotted all Goal Kicks from this weekend's Scottish Premiership games.
-Hibs and Ross County exclusively long and left
-Celtic exclusively short and to the right
-Livingston favouring the right hand side
-Motherwell mixing up length
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Germany and England lead the way in passes back to the 'keeper so far in
#EURO2020
. Both with almost identical average starting points of those passes, but with England passing it quite notably deeper...
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Want to get chances in the Scottish Premiership? Play on the last line of the defence...
And you better be adept at receiving in tight spaces.
Henderson the only one (Nisbet doesn't make the 900 min cut off) here that receives the ball deep.
(Created using
@StatsBomb
360 data)
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Archie Meekison with more than twice the xThreat (a metric that measure's the difference between a goal being scored at start and end point of a completed pass), than any other United player tonight... and he only played 30 minutes.
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With all this chitter chatter around xPass, I ran off a 23/24 viz from my blog on the subject earlier this year.
Small sample but Brighton, City, Arsenal, Spurs, Brentford all sticking to their guns, regardless of game state.
Strong trend towards top teams having lower xPass.
"Last season, Raya outperformed Ramsdale on both safe and risky passes. Ramsdale outperformed Raya in the medium-risk range, but Raya still performed above expectation there too"
StatsBomb Release New Models: Expected Pass (xPass) and Pass Clustering 🔽
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Here's how the Scottish Premiership's most prolific shooters convert (%) their shots from different areas...
▪️ Shankland the most lethal of strikers in central area.
▪️ Edouard with high conv rate from outside box.
(Note number of shots in brackets underneath %)
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A very solid start to
@powerhour5
's Dundee United career with an 85% pass success rate (47/40) and 11 ball recoveries, 6 of which were int he opposition half.
Heat map below.
👏 Congratulations to
@KilmarnockFC
's
@Burkeman29
, who has been named as the Star Man in our Team of the Week! 🌟
He notched all 6⃣ assists in Killie's
@ScottishCup
win over Queen's Park!
Read it 👉
#SPFL
|
#TOTW
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I made a little
@streamlit
app showing Passing Networks & Avg. Positions for all of
@ScotlandNT
WC qualifiers. You can adjust to show only specific periods of the match using the filter (default is set to time of 1st sub) and flick between fixtures.
👉
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Thoughts on this as a visual? Too small to make any sense of?
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Looks like Rangers picked up a good 'un here. Intrigued to see how this one pans out...
Fantastic move for Dio, great player, great lad
Finding him was one of my best days in 20 years of scouting... a perfect day, a unique pitch, buzzing atmosphere, a u11s team playing magic football, his technique and desire to standout
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I went through United's fixtures this season and categorised them by whether we played 5 or 4 at the back, then plotted the outputs to compare.
Note this is based only on the starting set-up of each game and doesn't account for changes made midway through a match.
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Penalty box entries in the Scottish Premiership.
▪️ Celtic & Rangers do it best (no surprise), and both do it better from the right.
▪️ Livi struggle for quantity, but are at least unpredictable in where they do enter from.
▪️ St. Johnstone do very little through the middle.
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Which players were most involved in the final stages of creating chances?
Measured by passes that lead to a shot on goal in the next 5 actions.
And does the diff between the top performer and 2nd top performer in this area tell us how reliant teams are on one particular player?
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Sporle very good today too.
◾️Responsible for 50% (5/10) of all Utds interceptions.
◾️More blocks (4) than any other Utd player.
◾️More touches (64) than any Utd player outside of the back 4.
◾️=most dribbles (2).
◾️More tackles (6) than any other Utd player.
Heatmap below.
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Delighted to see Brentford get promoted. A win for joined-up thinking within a football club, sticking to your guns and trusting the process.
I believe they hire a few analysts too. Not sure that’ll ever catch on though. 👀
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Looking at how often Scotland got the ball to Scott McTominay and John McGinn in the game against Czech Rep, and then how each of them progressed the ball when they did have it...
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As it's
@StatsBomb
Nutmeg day, here are the numbers for the Scottish Premiership.
▪️ Hearts take the title.
▪️ Kent and Armstrong share the... Golden Nut.
▪️ Did Ange's Celtic team really entertain if they finished bottom of the Nutmeg league?
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I wrote about why it’s important for a team to establish their own style and the data that backs up this theory in the Scottish Premiership this season.
For
@AnalyticsFC
using data from
@ModernFitba
.
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Goals scored per game compared with xG per game (
@ModernFitba
model), for the season so far.
Teams with a longer green bar are scoring more than expected, teams with a longer blue bar aren't scoring as many as expected.
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I’ve been working on something a little different lately; pass clusters.
The theory is that by grouping together similar passes we can identify trends in teams/players.
It still needs some work, some of them reveal little, others quite telling.
This one looks at Key Passes...
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The story of last night's game in a viz... Scotland largely on top for the most part and had the better of the chances up until 70-minute mark, then...🫠
Plenty of reasons to be +ve and arguably the best all round performance (up until 70') against a top 10 nation for some time.
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Ian Harkes (white) has consistently achieved a high percentage of successful passes for Dundee United this season, only twice dipping below the overall team % and recording a season average of 83.57% (Dundee United team average = 75.77%)
@DUSF2017
@arabtrust1909
@dundeeunitedfc
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How important is Nicky Clark in getting the best out of Shankland? The below is a summary of how Shankland has performed in games with Clark and w/o.
(Games 'with' are determined as those in which Clark played 60 mins or more, 'w/o' are all others).
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I’ve taken a look at the starting point of all passes that are followed by a goal within the next 6 actions...
-Utd most threatening from right half space
-Killie threat comes from wide right (crosses)
-Aberdeen most dangerous from left.
-Ross Co do a lot from deep (long balls)
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Here’s a look at where teams are most vulnerable to to quick transitions...start point of all passes where a goal is scored in the next 6 actions..
-Aberdeen vulnerable down their left
-Celtic and Killie both weak on the right
-Livi with lots coming from directly in front of box
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Ian Harkes gets plenty of stick from United fans on here (often with good reason), but credit where it's due. This pass was inch perfect, and played into an extremely narrow area where Shankland could run onto it without breaking stride.
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More shots 18-15
More passes 513-257
More touches 746-469
More possession 67%-33%
More dribbles 14-7
Higher pass accuracy 81%-69%
Not enough quality in the final third.
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Here's a look at where the Scottish Premiership's most frequent crossers (players) cross from...
▪️ Nicky Devlin with 30 crosses from the high conv. yellow area, but yet to register an assist.
▪️ Tavernier, Barisic and Burke also putting up high numbers from this area.
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I haven't written a blog post for a while so decided to take a 'Deep Dive' into
@LiviFCOfficial
's recent success and pick out what's made them so good of late and what I believe opponents can look to do in an attempt to halt them -
Feedback welcome.
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The half-spaces are seen as an area of the pitch from which you can create more dangerous chances; here's a look at how often Scottish Premiership teams successfully pass the ball into these areas as a percentage of their total passes...
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Scottish Championship scorer/assist combination table for the season so far.
No surprises to see Shankland feature heavily, but the 7 assists from McMullan is notably high.
No two players have combined for more goals in any league in Scotland or England this season.
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I thought this might be something interesting to look at, and it errr… kind of is.
The answer to the question posed is 🤷🏻♂️
There’s too many unknowns in the 30-seconds in between, and it very much has a “good teams in top right” feel. But maybe there’s something…
@StatsBomb
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Delved a little deeper into my analysis of Rangers.
By excluding passes in the defensive 3rd we can get a better idea of how they shape up in attack.
Full backs play just as high as forwards. Generally good connectivity between all forwards/midfielders.
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What type of passes do Scottish Premiership teams use to progress the ball (anywhere on the pitch and specifically into the final 3rd)?
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How are Scottish Premiership's goalkeepers performing this season?
▪️ Craig Gordon has conceded 6 fewer goals than expected this season.
▪️ Dundee Utd have suffered most at the hands of oppo. goalkeepers having a stormer.
▪️ Ross County games see 'keepers struggle at both ends.
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Ryan Gauld! 😍
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Watching final game of the season from a pub in York. One last push to get top 4, but European football regardless. Proud to have contributed in a (very) small way to what
@dundeeunitedfc
have achieved this season.
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Shankland's touchmap (shooting left to right) showing that he brings much more to the team than just goals.
More than willing to drop deep and/or go out wide to get on the ball.
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@PureFitbaw
@ScotlandNT
Agree it doesn't look great, but it probably needs a bit more context before warranting any outrage?
What sort of training is he involved in? I'm no expert, but I assume there's a difference between being match fit and fit enough to do some training.
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Quite interesting to see the impact that Powers had when introduced today.
Clear (forward) shift in average position of the team after he came on as sub, versus the first 50 mins (before he came on), with Powers the centre pin of the passing network.
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@LiamHamilton91
@Alan_Morrison67
@JimSpenceDundee
Nah, he’s rubbish. Don’t bother looking, you wouldn’t want him.
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I wrote some words about ball progression for the StatsBomb blog, you can read them here... 👇
NEW | The Art of Progression: An Analysis of Passing vs. Ball Carrying
What proportion of all ball progression do you think comes from passing vs. ball carrying?
StatsBomb Senior Analyst Jaymes Monte (
@ArabAnalytics
) investigates 🔽
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One of the biggest differences with Dundee United in recent weeks has been
@32watto
’s performances.
Liam Fox is playing him in a central role and he’s having a much more significant impact in front of goal.
(
@StatsBomb
data)
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Best 45 minutes of the season. Could have been 4- or 5-0.
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I rate Nathan Patterson, but he played 236 minutes and started TWO games in the Scottish Premiership this season.
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And we wonder why some football fans don’t take to data analysis! 🤦🏻♂️
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