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Modern Fitba

@ModernFitba

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In-depth statistical and tactical analysis of Scottish football.

Scotland, United Kingdom
Joined February 2018
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@ModernFitba
Modern Fitba
5 years
We'll Meet Again, Don't Know Where, Don't Know When Modern Fitba says goodbye for now. https://t.co/IDYFprji1a
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@TheBackpassRule
The Backpass Rule
2 years
So I've been in the #ggplot2 lab, trying something my fellow @ModernFitba-er @fitbainscotland did for us at MF with xG graphs. Instead of the a line graph, Jamie used bar graphs. Trying it out again here. xG bar graphs and shot maps for @CelticFC's 3-0 win at @LiviFCOfficial
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @KilmarnockFC comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. On Matchday 14 (Oct 29th), Killie lost to St Johnstone 1-0 on a 4th minute own goal by Ash Taylor. They had earned only 29% of available points. Two weeks later they were in last
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @dundeeunitedfc comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected Each of the 3 managers tenures are marked The model mirrored the actual results all season long - basically the team was as bad as their underlying numbers said they were
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @RossCounty comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. Not much to say here...the model NEVER strayed more than 3 points away from Ross County's final point total of 34 points & the team's actual pace was just as consistent since January
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @StJohnstone comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. For most of 6 months, the model had them within 3 points of its final total. A bad April dragged the projections down. Only 1 loss after the split spurred the team back to 43 pts
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @LiviFCOfficial comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. Interestingly, despite a good start to the season...the model rarely projected beyond 3 points of their eventual point total of 46, while the actual pt rate fluctuated for months
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @MotherwellFC comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. Stuart Kettlewell took over following matchday 26. While the results & underlying numbers did improve, it wasn't until after the split that they actually outpaced earlier results
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Quick thread on @RangersFC season
@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @RangersFC comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected After a 4-1 win over Aberdeen in Matchday 12, Gio's Rangers were on pace for 92 points & had earned 81% of the available points. The model suggested they should have only earned 72%
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Presented without (much) comment...here's the season review for Celtic comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Thread looking at @HibernianFC
@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Season review for @HibernianFC comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected On Nov 12th (matchday 16), they lost 1-0 to Killie & had lost 6 of their last 7 At that point they'd earned 42% of the available points The model suggested they should've earned 53%
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Thread from earlier…this one looking at @saintmirrenfc
@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Here's a look back at season for @saintmirrenfc On October 22nd (matchday 11), they celebrated a 2-1 win over @dundeeunitedfc & sat 4th in the table. They had earned 58% of the possible points...but my model suggested they should have only earned 42% of the points @DJ_Nicol
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Updated Projected League Table Only 3 clubs have seen a 4 point or more shift in their projected points since the World Cup break. @JamTarts +5.19 @RangersFC +4.93 @AberdeenFC -7.72 Other notables: Celtic +1.05 @dundeeunitedfc +3.24 @RossCounty -3.92 @KilmarnockFC +0.69 😏
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@TheGersReport
Rangers Report
3 years
Updated Projected League Table The margins at the bottom of the table are starting to get smaller for that automatic relegation spot between @RossCounty & @dundeeunitedfc It will also be interesting to see if the model's belief in @HibernianFC actually comes to fruition.
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@TheBackpassRule
The Backpass Rule
3 years
Please keep a lookout for Michael if you’re in Scotland.
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@TheBackpassRule
The Backpass Rule
3 years
@spfl @FotMob Previous version didn't exclude penalties, here is the shot maps with non-penalty xG (and smaller hexbins).
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@TheBackpassRule
The Backpass Rule
3 years
Shot locations hexbins for @SPFL Premiership Clubs five matches into the season. The lighter the color of the hexbin, the more shots your favorite team has taken there.
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@TheBackpassRule
The Backpass Rule
3 years
Expected Goals for the @SPFL Premiership thus far.
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@TheBackpassRule
The Backpass Rule
3 years
Shot maps for the top 12 in expected goals in the @spfl Premiership this season so far.
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@ModernFitba
Modern Fitba
3 years
Thanks for finding our work interesting Chris. Good luck heading back to France.
@Chri6ViF
Chris Jullien..
5 years
@ModernFitba @fitbainscotland Interesting 😉
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@KroneBall
KroneBall
3 years
Chart mapping where each @eliteserien club has gotten open play shots this season. The lighter the fill of the hexbin, the more shots from that area for each club. @vikingfotball lead #eliteserien in xG for and are getting plenty of opportunities in the middle of the box.
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