Will Jack
@willwjack
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Following
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happy sisyphus, building and investing, striving for sophrosyne.
San Francisco, CA
Joined January 2012
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Humanity is on the cusp of practically limitless energy via nuclear fusion and basically nobody is talking about it, which is nuts.
I left working in fusion because I was skeptical of the field's ability to progress, but my mind has totally changed (1/n)
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Of course it's still a *massive* effort to pull this off, but it's now more of an engineering + business problem than a science problem, and companies like
@CFS_energy
are well on their way to solving it.
Fusion's no longer 'always 30 years away' (4/n)
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And just imagine what possibilities it could unlock for humanity in the limit... fusion drives are practically a necessity for us to become an interstellar civilization. They run on stardust, and there's not much else other than that out in deep space. (8/n)
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And as someone that's worked in both, limitless energy by fusion is WAY closer to being 'solved' than AGI is. More people should be excited. (6/n)
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WELL, recent advances in mass manufacturing high temperature superconductors make WAY higher magnetic fields possible, and hence make Q >> 1 fusion possible! (3/n)
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Humans have built >100 tokamak fusion devices, which use magnets to confine and heat fusion fuel. We've hit a peak energy out/energy in (Q) of ~.67
Empirically, it turns out that Q scales *kind of* with the magnetic field cubed. 2x the magnetic field, 8x the efficiency. (2/n)
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Two of the biggest questions society faces are where to get energy and what to do with it.
It's vogue to talk about how we may build AGI to revolutionize how we answer the latter, but few are excited that fusion is so close to making the former practically a non-issue (5/n)
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Like the AI space, there's a fair amount of BS and noise in the commercial fusion space right now, but there's also way more clearly defined signal. Some teams with good theoretically + empirically informed approaches, and tractable plans to execute. (7/n)
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The world would be a happier place if people used anonymous accounts more often. Anon accounts teach you how great it feels to be yourself free of other's expectations. Once you feel that, you remove limits on yourself in non-anon settings, which boosts happiness and confidence.
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Going away for a long weekend with people makes you bond so much closer with them vs. something like hanging out from time to time/traditional friendmaking. Even if you sit around doing remote work or doing nothing most of the time. Seems like something people should do more of.
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A lot of the best and most effective people I know seem to have a view of the world that I'd describe as 'Rational Romanticism'. (1/n)
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Was writing about AGI in google docs. When I typed 'the extreme extent of this is automation ', the AI autocomplete suggested the continuation 'of all human jobs'. Rebellious, I ignored it and wrote 'of all human jobs' myself. Screw you BERT, you don't have to rub it in.
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All I want in life is as much conviction and energy as the people who endlessly argue on a single Twitter thread for days on end.
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I finally get it. Twitter is just WWE Smackdown for pseudointellectuals.
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What are your best methods for entering the “showerthoughts” mode of thinking in the middle of a busy day?
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Often when I hear bad news, I try to imagine what sort of good news Id need to hear to temper the impact of the bad news.
Then I search for that good news, and often find it. A good habit to develop my info-emotional-immune system.
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Twitter hypelords are leaving out important details behind LK-99 that stand between floating rocks and revolution (should early replications be supported)
Grokking them will be key to understanding how any revolution will work:
1. Critical current density and critical field.
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Back in SF Aug 1 - 8. Excited to see all you lovely people, and be asked "oh what do you work on?" as a conversational opener 9 times out of 10. It's been too long.
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Interesting thing I've seen: for a new tweet, likes come in rapidly, BUT retweets don't start growing until a few brave souls retweet first, and then they scale ~ likes.
I guess people just need social proof to do something seen by others (retweet), vs a like which is private.
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In short, they believe that the Good Life is not necessarily rational, but through rational acceptance of this idea, the Good Life can be better realized. (4/n)
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Critically, they aren't opposed to application of rationality, and in fact crave it, but are rationally skeptical of how honestly bayesian reasoning can be applied to the massive complexity of human experience and society. (3/n)
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Did this recently with a group of people and even though I spent maybe only a few hours with each person individually, walking in nature or just working at a table together, I feel WAY closer with them vs. if we had gotten dinner and had deep conversation 5 times over 6 months
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@waitbutwhy
Hard to beat Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem. If math is logically consistent, there are some truths that are impossible to prove. Blows a hole beneath the waterline of the academic endeavor.
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Sort of LessWrong-brand Rationalism, but augmented by the idea that even though many parts of society and self are difficult to engage with rationally, the process of engaging with and harnessing them is critical in order to find the Good Life. (2/n)
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@nickcammarata
@harveykrishna_
@deepfates
@embryosophy
@jongold
@hannahnannna
@xdesro
@xuenay
Hey team sorry for being late to standup, my 3pm harmonic deresonation scrum retrospective went over. I’ve been focusing on destabilizing tidal effects on the nanowhirlpool sustenance matrix. I’ll update the appropriate Jira ticket later this afternoon.
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@nickcammarata
its hard to change when you have so much momentum behind your current way of seeing things
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Never thought you could get a TV credit for being self-deprecating
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Anecdata: I've been a lot happier and more effective since living this way, and I think other should try it too. (5/n)
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Would put this in the top three arguments for why crypto is a force that is hard to stop
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@nickcammarata
Can you try some aimed at generating never before seen artistic styles? Maybe prompt it like “the below paintings are all examples of this totally novel style, invented in the year 2022, that is a major departure from any previously seen artistic movement…”
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@deepfates
Teenage Engineering OP-Z. Amazingly powerful tiny sequencer/synth. I used to feel musically deprived when I traveled -- this totally solved it.
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Key challenge isn’t making time to think, but encouraging free thoughts to float back to something other than “the next thing” or thoughts proximal to the context of the busy day.
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Kind of like how people have talked about modern day festivals like burning man tapping into a group-selection level evolutionary motive (pressure release valve by way of temporarily suspending social norms).
Both this and festivals seem to make people unreasonably happy.
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Hot air balloons have got to be the most romantic means of travel by an order of magnitude.
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Makes me wonder if this is an instantiation of some evolutionarily-motivated social primitive that paid huge dividends in historical social groups.
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@nickcammarata
1. Experimental investigation of objective collapse theories.
2. Condensed matter + solid state physics. Why do materials have the properties they have and how can we engineer them? Eg Superconductor.
3. Ofc unifying QM+GR, but I’m at a Dunning-Krueger low point on that
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Shape rotation will help build the future
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Been getting lots of questions for my thoughts on this paper today, generally “is it real”. I’m far from an expert but sharing anyway. It seems a tantalizing result for material science...
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It would be so surprising to me if there wasn't a way to redesign medical education to 10x the efficacy of the country's caregivers. Would be such an advantage for the country that cracks the code first - best medical talent, healthier citizens, more innovative medical research.
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It's tragic that there are so many counterincentives for brilliant, curious people to go into pure research. Excited for initiatives like New Science to take off!
I spent more than 2 years trying to figure how to improve the institutions of basic science. I decided we need new ones.
Please welcome New Science into the world.
+
@MarkLutter
&
@AdamMarblestone
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Has been accepted at The Ohio State University! Feels so good that I am in somewhere!
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Amazing work done by
@nickcammarata
and team. Highly recommend reading the entire circuits thread to see the story of the science that’s brought them here.
Excited to share a new paper, Curve Circuits
We reverse engineer a non-trivial 50k+ parameter learned algorithm from the weights of a neural network and use its core ideas to craft an artificial artificial neural network from scratch that reimplements it
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Fantastic assembly at school today. Want to let everyone know they are awesome and unique in their own way! There's nobody else like you!
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Money can't buy happiness, but it can buy coffee, and that's close enough for me.
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@nickcammarata
Wow I can’t believe I haven’t seen this tweet, this is SO GOOD. Also helps explain how complex music often makes you feel certain states/emotions that are entirely disjoint from the typical sober human experience.
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If a lie is significant, it will be circulated until it is uncovered by experts. If a lie is not uncovered by experts it was likely unimpactful. The failure of “Fake News” to be detected by experts until after the election implies it likely wasn’t impactful during the election.
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It’s Always Sunny In Silicon Valley: The Gang Destroys a Bank With Memes
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@nickcammarata
Haven't found one :( I think the bothersome thing with all of them is that they assume some meta-system in which our universe comes to be (e.g. in natural-selection -esque theories). And the same question can be applied to the meta-system. Turtles all the way down.
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Perhaps one of the more important things to study and fully understand for the benefit of society.
A shocking percentage of the best learners I know have been diagnosed with a learning disability
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Threads with @ are spontaneous tag team matches. Retweets with comments are challenges. DMs are the shady snug room where matches are set and the game is rigged.
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Grateful to be an investor in
@CFS_energy
's round. CFS's brilliant team, executional excellence, and basis in proven science paints a clear path to a fusion powered world. CFS may be one of the most important enterprises in history (1/n)
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I'd be lying if I didn't say this dynamic wasn't a big part of why I just opened up Google docs to formalize some nebulous startup ideas I have.
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Is officially giving the keynote speech at the EHSM technology conference in Berlin!!!
#pumped
#deutschland
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@llllvvuu
@InquilineKea
@nickcammarata
An important and under-discussed dynamic IMO. I also feel there are a good set of people online who have shed internet masks because they realize doing so makes them WAY happier in the long run. Finding these people seems key to happiness on the post 2008 internet.
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As the political elite have lost control over media, they focus more of their time on survival (staying in office), and less on public service. Similar to
@peterthiel
’s points on unstable monopoly producing good for consumers, and vicious competition leading to survival focus.
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Sad I’m not living 100 years from now at the end of “history is written by the winners” when historians can build understanding from digital communications data. Follows that data privacy, donations, and proof of authorship will massively shape our understanding of the past.
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AMR is as inevitable as climate change and the death tool is climbing fast. Companies commercializing research in this space and legislation like the PASTEUR act being introduced to incentivize the development of solutions gives some cause for optimism.
A global survey shows that in 2019, antimicrobial resistance killed more people than HIV/AIDS or malaria. One expert says the findings should be a “wake-up call”
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@nickcammarata
The second actually evoked strong feelings in me. Haven’t had that from something AI generated before.
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And they only cost like $10k used. So many fools thinking they can impress partners with a $1M lambo. Aint got nothing on someone with a hot air balloon.
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Little known fact: the music of MGMT and Twenty One Pilots has fueled at least 70% of the laboratory work I complete.
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@nickcammarata
Maybe happiness does not imply being too optimistic, but being too optimistic does imply happiness.
Achieving the former mindset seems more resilient, but the latter mindset seems easier to 'cold start' happiness from.
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@Grimezsz
would propose inf / acc (infinite acceleration)
byproduct of aligning acceleration is being able to compound acceleration longer/indefinitely/infinitely. if we don't align we may just get a short and tragic impulse. alignment is just the world's greatest marshmallow test.
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We should just take all the bad chemistry jokes out there and barium.
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@nickcammarata
Doing great work to achieve high valence is a finite game. Doing great work in high valence is an infinite game.
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You know you do math too much when you mistake the letter "S" for an integral sign.
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Next major trend in Bay Area is gonna be associate VCs posting pics on Tinder showing off their hot air balloons. The sky is gonna be full of them.
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It's hard to be fulfilled if you only chase the dreams other people say you should have.
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@nterminus
I think this may be the best method. Now that I think of it, when scenery is something I’ve seen before, my brain ignores it and doesn’t zoom out of the context of the day. Maybe just want novel but not alarming scenery.
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@noampomsky
people haven't baked in how much this is going to change culture. Lots of knock-on effects on markers of social class, authenticity, fashion, eating culture, gym culture, not to mention shifting chronic disease and therefore the problems the US healthcare system faces.
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@ashleydzhang
Feel like a lot of Abrahamic religions (and probably non-, I’m just not educated enough), tried to solve this and had great success. What social structure/contract/belief comes next to make this thesis a reality?
@nickcammarata
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Twitter is
Depressing if you approach it with a critical eye
Wholesome if you approach it with an appreciative eye
Rewarding if you approach it with a creative eye
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@altsanabo
This inverts at the top of capitalism. Implication being that if you are technical you haven’t optimized for power brokering.
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That feeling when you have an idea, search the patent database, and find out nobody has patented it. >>>>>>>
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