
Tom Holden
@t_holden
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Researcher, macroeconomist, Bundesbank. All views are my own personal opinions and do not reflect the opinion of the Bundesbank, the Eurosystem, or its staff.
Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Joined June 2009
I'm not going to be cool about this. This is a huge deal for me. I still can't believe it's real. I've somehow rolled this Trojan horse of a paper past the gates of the Top 5. Under its nerdy exterior hides answers to some of the most fundamental question of monetary econ. 1/.
With a standard monetary rule & heterogeneous households, beliefs of a coming recession can become self-fulfilling. Monetary rules responding 1 for 1 to the real rate observed in TIPS markets prevent this & give near perfect control of inflation. @t_holden
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RT @robin_j_brooks: @joehas The moral superiority of the EU over the US is painful to watch. Russia is able to keep fighting in Ukraine bec….
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This is less easy than you might think. Like most people in Germany, I rent, which means I cannot make the holes in the wall necessary to install proper AC. And, since our windows open inwards (rather than sliding up and down as in the US), nor can I install window AC units.
an upper-middle class western European can easily buy an A/C. an upper-middle class American (outside of NYC/DC) cannot easily buy a functioning mass transit network or walkable cities.
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For a country like Germany that already has joint taxation of couples, getting public support for the following seems possible:. 1) Kids are treated like adults in the tax system, in particular they have the full tax free allowance. 2) Any group of people residing at the same.
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The thread below is extremely clear on the reasons for AI growth scepticism, but the original @EpochAIResearch paper is better than you might have expected. AI is meaningfully different to previous general purpose technologies, as it has the potential to increase research output.
1/@EpochAIResearch doubles down on preiction AI will drive 20%+ annual GDP growth. Economists remain skeptical. This is the defining debate of today: AI builders see infinite prosperity ahead. Economists see the same limits that constrained every technological revolution.🧵 1/13
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