Exciting news! My book _Deterrence under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare_ is now out in paperback!

A new @RANDCorporation paper by @sovietologist argues that even the most advanced AGI will be constrained by thermodynamics, information theory, and computational complexity. https://t.co/dPE0TvtBoc

🔥Edward Geist from the RAND Corporation discusses the nuclear strategies of 🇷🇺Russia, the 🇺🇸United States, and 🇨🇳China, as well as the role of nuclear power in the era of artificial intelligence. The interview also covers the nuclear policy that 🇵🇱Poland and 🇺🇦Ukraine should

This spring, the U.S. and China are expected to start talks on AI safety. Expectations are low, says RAND's @sovietologist. But early, "unproductive" talks aren't a total loss—as illustrated by nuclear arms negotiations during the Cold War.

"If I had to pick one single problem that causes me the most anxiety, it's North Korea," RAND's Edward Geist tells @1A. North Korea may build up its arsenal and become "a kind of super rogue" that doesn't play by the same rules as major nuclear powers.

What does today's nuclear landscape look like? How could AI affect nuclear warfare? And what role do scholars play in understanding (and mitigating) ever-changing threats? RAND's @sovietologist discusses on @1A: https://t.co/4p9dyuhTbC (starts at 29:55)

💥📚 I read this #book by Edward Geist a few days ago and it is #excellent. Thank you very much for writing it @sovietologist. 🔴 https://t.co/umYatvMSLX

Uh oh. Edward Geist, “Deterrence Under Uncertainty, Oxford, 2023, p 6

We're looking for the next generation of thought leaders on nuclear security. Applications for the Stanton Nuclear Security Fellows Program are now open. Learn more and apply by January 19:

Sci-fi has convinced us that a Terminator-like Skynet is closer on the horizon than it actually is. It's a great story premise, says analyst Edward Geist. “But it’s also the case that there’s effectively no one who thinks of this as a great idea.” #AI

@RANDCorporation @sovietologist @NPR Great book. Changed my perspective on the most effective use of AI for nuclear deterrence. Highly recommend.

@sovietologist I have my copy!

@nprscottsimon interviewed me about my new book Deterrence under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

I'd like to thank everyone who has bought the book already, as it is currently sold out in the U.S.! Oxford University Press assures me that more copies are being shipped over from the UK

Ahead: @sovietologist on his new book about the effect of AI on nuclear deterrence. And the works of a great, rediscovered surrealist painter, Leonor Fini.

Now out in the U.S.!

I began working on this project in 2017 and I would like to express my gratitude to everyone who helped bring it to fruition, especially the Smith Richardson Foundation for supporting it with a Strategy and Policy Fellowship.

My new book Deterrence under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare is out in the U.S. today!

ICYMI: Ankit Panda and Edward Geist discuss U.S. nuclear force planning and the need to think about adversary perceptions. Listen to the full episode here: https://t.co/k4i1la1514 @nktpnd @sovietologist

I enjoyed this chat with @sovietologist. Separately, his new book on artificial intelligence and nuclear war is the finest thing I've read recently on the subject.