Samuel Cardillo
@samcllo
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Founder of @sbreakintl | Space has eyes | Views are my own
United Arab Emirates
Joined September 2021
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For tech related tweets:
@CardilloSamuel
This account is mainly related to official & intelligence monitoring.
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@Tauren_neruaT
@ElMathmajo
@L_ThinkTank
Pendant le mandat de Trump, l'influence americaine a reduit les conflits et n'a pas demarrer de guerre. Meme la Coree du Nord etait moins aggressive.
Mais je suis desole si t'as souffert, en tant que Francais, d'avoir Trump en tant que president americain.
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@no_itsmyturn
The fact that the US sends deescalation messages after having soldiers killed is mind boggling. No wonder why the enemies are allowing themselves such freedom of action.
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@michaelh992
And I think you're wrong, heavily. The amount of intelligence leak, the ability for every airspaces of neighboring countries to close etc... shows very much this was a symbolic attack else they would have needed much more drones and missiles.
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@Tauren_neruaT
@ElMathmajo
@L_ThinkTank
Pendant le mandat de Trump, l'influence americaine a reduit les conflits et n'a pas demarrer de guerre. Meme la Coree du Nord etait moins aggressive.
Mais je suis desole si t'as souffert, en tant que Francais, d'avoir Trump en tant que president americain.
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@investmedtech
@ElMathmajo
@L_ThinkTank
Je ne penses pas que tu comprenne beaucoup de chose a la geopolitique de guerre et a la strategie de deterrence.
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Careful what you read on the internet. The best source of information about Samuel Cardillo is Samuel Cardillo.
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@SuppressedNws
Sorry to burst your bubble but that’s a failed rocket launch, you can tell by watching less than a second of the video.
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Highly disagree. Those targeted eliminations won’t have any consequences other than fueling anger.
For deterrence to work properly with Iran, it needs to be a real show of force. A demonstration of weaponry and delivery systems which impact Iranian proxies in a dramatic way.
Finally,
#Biden
corrected his mistake from last week's weak strikes by heeding advice from the Middle East. In a significant operation, a US drone has just successfully eliminated
#Hezbollah
leaders Abu Baqer Al-Saidi and Arkan Al-Aliyawi in
#Iraq
, figures akin to
#Hamas
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It has begun. ShadowBreak Intl will be collecting imagery, through our partners, of the strike sites.
May as many civilian lifes be preserved.
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Anyone who says this was not a symbolic attack should put their geopolitical knowledge and experience in question.
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The level of noise about a coalition strike against the Houthis makes me believe that it won’t happen tonight but we’re instead witnessing a pre-emptive psyops and an intelligence operation.
Maybe I am wrong! Let see what happens.
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If this is really the Iranian retaliation, then they've really hit the North Korean level of useless threats.
Sources told the Saudi Al-Hadath network that "Iran chose to respond to the assassination of the commander of the Quds Force in Lebanon and Syria by hijacking the Portuguese ship."
- Israel HaYom
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I can confirm, through our intelligence acquisition, that no Israeli sites were destructed nor rendered out of service. The Iranian regime is just spreading lies to its own audience, it is part of their show.
Iranian Chief of Staff: Our attack led to the destruction of two important military sites in Israel
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A deal of such sort would confirm that Israel has lost the war, unable to neutralize Sinwar. Potentially, the haste might come from the regional tensions which are growing faster than anticipated, therefore requiring more troops in the north of the country.
The deal, should Hamas accept:
45 days of respite for 35 abductees in the first stage
100-250 terrorists per abductee, including serious murderers - ie 4000-5000 released in total, the highest number in the history of the conflict.
Significant "humanitarian" aid
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I am safe and sound in Japan and it seems that there is no heavy damages reported in my house. But my heart goes with the people who are having bigger issues from the heavy rain within Dubai and the neighbouring emirates! Please stay safe and take care!
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Iran just boosted Israeli defense economy by providing a real-life scenario of mass interception & now footage of an exoatmospheric interception (aka interception IN SPACE) made by the Arrow 3.
Very unique footage showing an exoatmospheric interception amid the Iranian ballistic missile attack, likely by the Arrow 3 air defense system.
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Israeli news continuously producing fake news needs to stop or controlled at some point. Few weeks ago, it was Ynet falsely announcing the UAE stopped diplomatic ties with Israel.
This is literally harming national diplomacy and bringing an unwanted fog of information.
ALERT:
Please note that there is no such report that says Princess Salma shot down Iranian missiles over Jordan.
Somebody forged a screenshot and then Israel's Channel 13 did a whole segment on it. And now people are confused. So let me clarify: it's fake news.
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@NiohBerg
This is regrettable to read. The UAE is much more than that, but I guess you did not visit nor met locals. It is a new country (30 years old), it did not set the right example all the time, but it is getting there.
In Israel, we did a lot of BS as well when the country got
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The UAE & Saudis were way ahead of the curve by considering the Houthis as a terrorist organization. Same with the UK which only banned Hizb ut-Tahrir now.
BIG: US announced the designation of Ansarallah, also known as the Houthis, as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist - Jake Sullivan, U.S. National Security Advisor
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Yet again Israeli media spreading fake news. The amount of damages it is doing to Israel is immense.
Anyone can explain me what makes Israeli journalists so bad?
Earlier I posted an I24 report that 50 survivors of the Nova festival have committed suicide. Since then, I have been informed that the report is incorrect. So I took it down.
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Evening meeting before flying to Asia tomorrow!
The timing of this meeting is going to give some cool conversations!
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@RedeemedRinger
He is not tanking the economy, this is a result of his predecessors. Factually, since he came in power, lot of absolutely good things are happening and the economy is projected to raise again within few years.
Destroying years of corruption takes time.
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I predict that Iran retaliation will be low in intensity in order to avoid triggering a massive response from the Israeli army, BUT will be impressive. They have to put out a show in order to keep face within their ranks and amongst their allies.
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The Middle East is changing. Hidden alliances are starting to become visible.
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Following the (predictable) nature of the Iranian attack, Israel will probably retaliate in a symbolic way and target infrastructure with minimal to no casualties. The only major difference is that we might see a strike done within Iran.
The Israeli War Cabinet will hold a Meeting a 3:30pm with Prime Minister Netanyahu to discuss and likely decide on a Final Response to last night’s “Unprecedented Iranian Attack” against Israel.
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In addition to this, there was 36 cruise missiles & 110 surface-to-surface missiles launched by Iran.
So far, it is exactly what I thought: a show. No significant damages, no casualties. It is now in the hands of Israel to either calm it down or take it up a notch.
IRAN ATTACK ON ISRAEL
- Iran launched over 200 drones and missiles at Israel, overwhelming majority intercepted before entering Israeli airspace.
- US and British air forces participated in neutralizing threats before entering Israeli airspace.
- Minor damage sustained at
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I wanted to say things but I decided not to.
Instead, I am just going to retweet this and let everyone draw their own conclusions. I'll sit as an observer, watching the world security fail a little bit more everyday thanks to the US inability to act.
🚨🚨🚨
A statement released by Iran-backed militias confirming the targeting of Harir Base in northern Iraq, where US troops are stationed.
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@marlaceresne
@NiohBerg
The Emirates actually helped Jews during pogroms. Without entering details, some of them even have passports and are now considered locals. Get your facts straight please.
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Okay then! I might have been wrong about the Israeli retaliation going to be a non-event. Maybe it will be. Maybe they want to seize the opportunity to *finally* strike the IRI.
Israel's war cabinet meeting has concluded. Per the leaks, the following was discussed:
- Majority of the cabinet was in favor of striking Iran.
- Strike Iran in a "big way" or via a limited/measured response.
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@sami7amod
@NiohBerg
Thank you, finally something good to read. I am at awe reading the amount of uneducated replies to this post. All it take is one visit, meet a local and understand that the country is new.
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@monty5stars
I fully agree, and that's why there are such important talks right now within Israel and the international community. Internally, there is quite a lot of call on Israel to "use this moment" to finally end the IRI. But it all come down to the leadership. And it will also be ugly.
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Seems like Shahed drones (sounds like it at least) are on the way.
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Are we surprised?
The US inability to quickly answer to the killing of its own soldiers is echoing within the whole world. Enemies are taking notes: you can kill Americans and the consequence will be airstrikes 1 week later on empty places.
The world order will be affected.
Just to make things clear before the US air campaign begins.
According to my sources, all PMF and Iran-backed proxies HQs and positions were cleared days ago.
All Iran-backed senior commanders are in their hideouts and some of them are currently in civilian neighborhoods in
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Facts.
My response to all the negativity being thrown at Dubai / UAE regarding the floods. Let’s keep it real team
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The humiliation is *only* for the people with critical thinking.
The hardcore terror supporters and the IRGC fellows are celebrating, believing the lies they’re making themselves (e.g. Ben Gurion airport was hit, Nevatim AFB is out of service, etc)
Its a win for the IRGC.
Hundreds of drones + tens of cruise missiles + tens of ballistic missiles were simultaneously fired on Israel.
0% success. All were intercepted.
A humiliation of epic proportions...
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US deterrence is at their all time low and every enemies of democracy are taking notes. You can attack and kill US soldiers without any retaliation.
The consequences of this are extremely deep.
It has now been 24 Hours since U.S. Forces at Al-Asad Air Base in Western Iraq were Attacked by Iranian-Backed Groups with Rockets and Ballistic Missiles, Crossing at least 1 “Red Line” set by the Biden Administration against these Groups, and causing at least 2 American
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@NiohBerg
We had the kidnapping by the state of Yemenite Jews (), the castration of Ethiopian Jews () and many other things I won't expose within the 50 first years of Israel existence.
Every countries do shit when they get created.
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Extremely important thread showing how the current Israeli administration has helped to empower Hamas throughout the years. It is the duty of every Israelis to denounce this.
As the main Western donor countries freeze their funding due to growing accusations of collaboration of UNRWA local staff with Gaza armed groups, it is important to understand who are UNRWAs main partners in the region and why ? The main partners will be revealed in this thread:
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@monty5stars
When it comes to the Iranian regime, there is no master plan when it comes to this. They got struck on Syria, they had to answer, they put on a show for their internal audience, and they wish for the best.
If Israel answers in a "limited" way (aka doesn't impact the lies that
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@ValenFarcas
Israel announcing a retaliation and taking 3 days to do is a bit ridiculous at this point. They’re loosing momentum and getting more damages.
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The more the US waits to retaliate, the less the retaliation will be impactful. It has now been 3+ days that "strikes are coming".
This incapacity to deliver fast reaction, especially after your soldiers got killed, is a very bad message to the world.
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@grumpynotes
@NiohBerg
The UAE is a new country, the infrastructure is not yet fully made, but 99% of it has sewer. Israel, older than the UAE, also have sewer issue ()
So please, get your facts straight instead of dunking on allies.
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@Senseix91
Inflation is plummeting month after month since Milei took power. So far, his politics are helping the country and Argentinian (I have family there) are extremely happy but it will still take time: getting rid of years of corruption isn't easy.
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@TCrecy
@michaelh992
This kind of misinformation is not surprising tho, this is exactly what the IRI leadership count on when making this kind of show. That's the strategy: talk a lot and make a firework that's just good enough to get the supporters happy but not enough to trigger a fullscale war.
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@sunnyjim4
@EmmanuelMacron
Israel did not attack Iran tho. Israel struck a position in SYRIA which hosted people who helped crafting the 7th of October attack. Some of those people were Iranian generals.
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@TCrecy
@michaelh992
That's just pure misinformation. Also, none of the "2 targets" were properly hit. Only Nevatim was hit in its surroundings, our satellite imagery confirms this.
So far, the IRI attack killed 3 Jordanians and 1 Palestinian kid in the north.
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@brianoflondon
Big chances that they ain’t striking tonight and that’s just a pre-emptive psyops and intel ops to see where the ground activity is.
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As I thought, the Iranian regime retaliation was small enough to make Israel allies influence the Israeli leadership in no retaliation. I would still expect something like a cyberattack, but nothing more.
But something will be done, secretly and later, that's for sure.
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No one within the US government, beside the Commander in Chief, believe deterrence is working because everyone knows there is no deterrence strategy in place - hence why they would not answer.
Note-
@PentagonPresSec
did NOT answer my question of whether the Pentagon believes deterrence is working, and he did not let me finish my follow up pointing that out.
Thank you, USNI's Heather for following up for me.
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Kataib Hezbollah suspending its attacks against the US might come from backchannels threats; or the understanding that the US, this time, isn’t joking.
Now, if the US response is not big enough, then Iran and its proxies will be heavily empowered.
What will they do, you think?
US will strike
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US won’t strike
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@desertxskye
You really have an extremely limited knowledge of the Middle East geopolitics, do you? Even your last tweet claiming Iran hadn't attacked another country in 240 years, while the IRI is only around since 1979.
Oof.
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@Senseix91
@ZubyMusic
Its because the West gov are heavily engaged in disinformation about the UAE & such, since they know that as soon as they visit, they understand that Europe is falling.
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@Senseix91
Problem doesn’t come from being a Jew or not being a Jew. It comes with stereotypes and lack of education. I visited Saudi Arabia, as a Jew, and I loved every parts of it.
Your country stance is crystal clear - and logical. But for that logic to be understood, tons of
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Enough is enough, the White House needs to immediately allow taking the gloves off! The lack of serious response to both Iran and its proxy's belligerence is driving the world to a more unstable condition.
Iranian-backed Militants Attack Al-Assad Airbase, Iraq
At approximately 6:30 p.m. (Baghdad time) time Jan. 20, multiple ballistic missiles and rockets were launched by Iranian-backed militants in Western Iraq targeting al-Assad Airbase. Most of the missiles were intercepted by
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@AndrewMg29329
@no_itsmyturn
Your nickname tell me everything I need to know about your geopolitical stance. No need to enter a rhetoric.
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@aniii722
@michaelh992
They did the same in the retaliation for Soleimani, but it doesn't matter: internally, they won. The regime supporters and low IQ extremists are celebrating, no matter what, for them, it was a success and for the Iranian regime leadership as well.
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@RedeemedRinger
Option 1 and 2 are heavily unlikely. Option 3 is more realistic but also unlikely - or at least in the near future.
Also, I would take the China part out of the equation, none of the current international actors are taking them into consideration for now.
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@RedeemedRinger
The alliances are known by powers. No one, beside civilians, is surprised by Jordan & Saudi helping out Israel. But I can't get into details!
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@sahouraxo
What are you missing in the facts that it is the Houthis being bombed, not Yemen itself. The Houthis are doing more damages to Yemenite than coalition airstrikes AND the reason there is strikes in the 1st place is because the Houthis are attacking countries around too.
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@grumpynotes
@igal_n
@NiohBerg
One hundred percent, some cutting around the edges, has been done to develop things faster since the economy of Dubai is mainly tourism, and they don't want to depend on loans from Abu Dhabi. The recent flood clearly highlighted the issue with that - now things will improve.
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Iran just put out a show for his own internal audience. That's all it is about. The IRGC won't be able to sustain a full-scale war against anyone, including Israel, because their own population would revolt.
Now, everything is in the hands of Israel on what's next.
Iranian state TV showing “aftermath” of Iranian attack on Israel, but it’s actually just footage from Texas wildfires. - BNO
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@SaraNajmaii
If you believe thar what Iran is doing is for the Palestinians, then you’re really mistaken. The Iranian regime uses the Palestinian cause, they don’t care about them.
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