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Ryan Monarch Profile
Ryan Monarch

@ryan_monarch

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272
Following
44
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21
Statuses
116

Economist. Views my own, retweets not endorsements.

Syracuse, NY
Joined February 2012
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
3 months
RT @WSJ: Prices of everyday core goods, which haven’t risen in years, now are creeping upward, even before many of President Trump’s threat….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
4 months
RT @Newsweek: Economists point to the confusion and uncertainty over tariffs as the reason for the stock market's recent decline. https://t….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
4 months
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
5 months
RT @Newsweek: Economists say tariffs could get in the way of Trump's promise to make housing more affordable.
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
5 months
It seems that unfortunately the aluminum sector is still struggling even after the tariffs in 2018. I am sure this new round of tariffs will work.
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
5 months
RT @Newsweek: The tariffs are targeting a rule that allows Chinese retailers like Shein and Temu to avoid paying duties on packages worth $….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
7 months
U.S. exports grew in Q3, including in computer parts 
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
7 months
RT @JIntlEcon: JIE is pleased to announce that the 'Dynamic Quantitative Trade' Conference successfully took place in @WIeconomics on Novem….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
8 months
RT @EconChrisClarke: Retaliatory tariffs & global supply chains mean the standard Econ 101 models are too rosey argues @BrianCAlbrecht. It'….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
8 months
RT @BrianCAlbrecht: You, a genius reasoning from accounting identities: “Tariffs raise GDP by reducing imports.”. Me, a humble reader of ec….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
9 months
RT @KClausing: (1/3) Oren Cass had a piece recently in the Atlantic ( that mischaracterizes what we know (and don’t….
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
9 months
Really great piece- economists predict what would happen because they studied what actually happened. It's a social "science" because our conclusions are based on studying data.
@DominicJPino
Dominic Pino
9 months
Economists understand tariffs just fine. @oren_cass does not. New from me @NRO.
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
We know what would happen because we studied what happened! Economists- studying the "real world"- have shown that this tariff policy would be devastating to the US economy. The offered justifications in this opinion piece just don't cut it. END
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
And plenty of economic research has shown that US buyers are the ones who faced higher prices (and thus boosted government revenue) from Trump's tariffs. 11/N
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
As for tariffs boosting government revenue? A 25% tariff means an importer pays the US government 25% of their imported good's value. But since high tariffs reduce imports, revenue will be lower with higher tariffs. If tariffs stop all imports, then there's no revenue. 10/N
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
It is of course also the case that for Trump's earlier "national security" tariffs on metals, military allies such as Canada and the European Union were affected, for which there is no national security justification and led to retaliation. 9/N
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
Next, remember that the proposed policy is a 10-20% tariff on all imports. These are not "targeted tariffs". Making tablecloths and light bulbs more expensive helps "build the military"? 8/N
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
In particular,@Aaronflaaen and Justin Pierce showed: "We find that the 2018 tariffs are associated with relative reductions in manufacturing employment and relative increases in producer prices." 7/N.
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
Economic research has demonstrated that higher imports contributed to job losses and lower wages. However, economic research has also shown that job losses as a result of Trump's tariffs are greater than the number of jobs saved, meaning tariffs worsened the situation. 6/N
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@ryan_monarch
Ryan Monarch
10 months
Nope. This is because, exactly as economists would predict, imports and exports both fell as a result of the tariffs, as shown in recent research by me,@KyleLHandley, and@farihakamal2011. US companies were hurt by US import tariffs, and reduced their exports. 5/N
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