Ryan Jablonski
@ryan_jablonski
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LSE associate professor of political science. @LSEGovernment
London, UK
Joined January 2009
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For advice, thanks especially to @gofosu @RLK1855 @miwahman @a_harris4 @ElliottDGreen @thaliagrz @jandrewharris @GunningJeroen Nandini Patel, our late friend, Francisco Cantú, and many others.
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We conclude by emphasizing the administrative side of election management. In a time of declining democracy assistance and electoral trust, we can’t forget the crucial role that human capacity and training play in making democracy work and ensuring election integrity.
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We identify several exogenous sources of tallying complexity. Leveraging arbitrary registration cutoffs, we show that increases in polling station streams substantially increased rates of edits. Similarly, more complex ballot reconciliation procedures increased edits.
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Alternatively, if human error and administrative capacity were major causes of edits (as claimed by many election officials), we would expect edits to be more common when the complexity of tallying was high.
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We start by noting that patterns of irregularities do not support fraud claims. We code edits in 5,002 polling station results sheets and compare to candidate totals in official and independent tallies. We reject plausible hypotheses about how edits might have facilitated fraud.
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Most election tallies have error, often fuelling accusations of fraud. So how do we distinguish between error and fraud? Johan Ahlbäck and I have a new @BJPolS examining this question in the context of the famously disputed and annulled 2019 Malawi election.
NEW - How to Distinguish Human Error From Election Fraud: Evidence From the 2019 Malawi Election - https://t.co/9LuntNUbGf - Johan Ahlbäck & @ryan_jablonski
#OpenAccess
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🚨 @awaambraseck and I are hiring a full-time predoctoral researcher at HBS, starting July 1, 2025! Our projects focus on development and political economy in Africa and Latin America. Find more details below. Please share and apply: https://t.co/0coqASX2gD
@EGAPTweets @JPAL
awaambraseck.com
Full-time Predoctoral Research Associate 2025-2026 [Application instructions] Description: Professor Garbiras-Díaz and I are seeking a full-time predoctoral research associate for the 2025–2026...
🚨 @NGarbirasDiaz and I are hiring a full-time predoc at HBS starting July 1, 2025! We’ll work on development and political economy — governance, migration, colonial legacies, and more in Africa and Latin America. Please share and apply at: https://t.co/2htyHjB4gt
@econ_ra
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I am profoundly saddened and alarmed by @Columbia University and @PaulWeissLLP law firm's capitulation to the increasingly dictatorial Trump administration.
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Each dot represents 10 people whose lives depend on US foreign aid for HIV prevention & treatment. Without it, 1.6m people could die per year. @charlesjkenny & I were pleased to work with @NickKristof and the NYT data viz team to show the stakes of what’s happening at USAID.
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We are hiring a postdoc in climate politics. The postdoc would be working with me and others on a global effort to collect high-frequency data on adaptation to climate events. Apply or reach out with any questions! https://t.co/vIdk9R3epl
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Over 100 scholars of foreign assistance have signed a letter to Congress expressing our grave concerns about the closure of USAID and the current discourse surrounding U.S. foreign aid ( https://t.co/Up0sT90H99). The letter will be delivered on Thursday.
docs.google.com
Contact: [email protected] To sign the letter click here February 19, 2025 Open Letter to Members of Congress from U.S.-based Scholars of Foreign Affairs Dear Senators John Thune...
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IPOR, in collaboration with the Governance and Local Development Institute (GLD) at the University of Gothenburg and Cornell University, is looking for 8 ethnographic Research Assistants for an exciting project based in Malawi. More details in this link: https://t.co/YAbzh9HhaJ
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Come join us!
🚨 LSE Postdoc Fellow in Political Behaviour 🚨 We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great team @LSEGovernment! Please spread the word and reach out with questions! https://t.co/CyP27esYf7
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What will be the consequences of destroying the U.S. foreign aid infrastructure? I review the evidence about foreign aid and attitudes toward donor countries in a new @goodauth post. https://t.co/Ow24agAh9v
goodauthority.org
U.S. foreign aid is a soft power tool, serving an important diplomatic function. That's what the research shows.
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Over the last decade, there has been a lot of great research on perceptions of foreign aid in aid receiving countries. Here is a 🧵with some relevant references on foreign aid and soft power.
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Find out more about our SPP scholarship available for incoming Master of Public Policy (MPP) students who are ordinarily resident in Africa. Application deadline: 20 January 2025 ➡ Find out more about eligibility to apply and the application process: https://t.co/oh0Ykg3JQz
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We’re excited to announce two Assistant Professor (5-year tenure track) openings in Political Science: 1️⃣ International Relations https://t.co/1Wvl5sH2pV 2️⃣ Comparative Politics https://t.co/Ms8cahwPV3 🗓️ 12 Noon (IST), 8th January 2025 See:
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