Pablo Villalobos 🔸
@pvllss
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Trying to thread the needle of prophecy, mostly by clarifying the prophecy. Formerly @EpochAIResearch.
Joined December 2013
I spent half an hour trying to understand a proof in an ArXiv preprint only to realize that the theorem was nonsensical and the paper was probably AI-generated. I asked Opus 4.1 and GPT-5 for help and none of them realized it before I did... We are truly in the time of monsters
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My prediction is that once we understand mechanistically how brains work consciousness will stop looking mysterious and the hard problem will basically dissolve. The same way muscles seemed mysterious and powered by an unknown new force until we understood how proteins work
no one has ever coherently explained to me why the hard problem of consciousness is actually a problem. not once. it's literally just begging the question and i'm sick of pretending otherwise.
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🚀 We're excited to announce that mentee applications are now open for the Fall 2025 round of the SPAR research program! This will be our largest round ever, featuring 80+ projects across AI safety, policy, governance, security, and strategy.
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- Welcome to Meta Omni: your personal superintelligence - Hi, I'd like to transcend mortal existence - I'm sorry, I can't help you with that. Facilitating Ascension is against the Terms of Service. Would you like to enter the experience machine instead?
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Having a true superintelligence as a personal assistant is like cleaning your kitchen with a nuclear weapon
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I've been waiting for 40 minutes for my public healthcare appointment. Last time I came here I was a kid, and I absolutely hated the boredom of waiting. Makes me feel grateful that phones and social media exist now, the wait is so much more bearable
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My god, the replies to this are terrible. Some people really hate biotech
The mission to Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) includes MABA — Make American Biotech Accelerate. President Trump showed in his first term what happens when you unlock American science — breakthroughs happen fast. Now, we’re going to do it again. We know the power of U.S.
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🧵1/ LBF7 Spain is happening and we're doing something kinda wild: -We’re gathering the smartest people who want to SOLVE AGING -going to a longevity resort in the Spanish mountains -to learn, discuss and ACTUALLY BUILD stuff for 7 days straight Here’s what we’re cooking 👇
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I’m sharing my slide deck on the demographic future of humanity, 🔗 Slides: https://t.co/LelNVSSmK2 prepared for the keynote address I will give tomorrow to the 7th EBRD and CEPR Research Symposium on “The Economics of Demographic Change”: 🔗 Symposium: https://t.co/Tozxyeag87
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Come on, there's still time for a Musk/tech right redemption arc
I’m sorry, but I just can’t stand it anymore. This massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill is a disgusting abomination. Shame on those who voted for it: you know you did wrong. You know it.
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So much time wasted arguing that superintelligent AI would be able to escape to the internet and take over without robots... I wonder how many people would have accepted "It will be connected from the start and there will be robots", even when people had >30-year timelines
“AI won’t be able to take over from humans because that would require AI to run factories and maintain infrastructure, things that AI can’t do” AI:
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So within a month we've got a math pope and a math Romanian president? Guys, could there be another math conspiracy much more successful than ours?
I hadn't realized this but Romania's next president was 1st in the world in the International Maths Olympiad 2 years in a row with maximum score
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Por supuesto, hablar de ricos y pobres en España es relativo. Hasta los más pobres aquà son de "clase media mundial"
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En España nacer entre los más ricos es un privilegio, pero nacer entre los más pobres no es una desgracia
1. La desigualdad se hereda. En el gráfico, la renta bruta de los hijos 1980-1986, según las renta declarada* del hogar en que crecieron: 🔹 Los hijos del 20% pobre tienen en 2022 un ingreso de mediana 18.000€. 🔹 Los del 20% rico: 32.000€. 🔹 ¿Y los del 1%? 45.000€.
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No sabemos quĂ© miden los benchmarks de IA. AsĂ que hemos hablado con el español que ha creado uno de los más difĂciles
xataka.com
Gemini 2.5 Pro es el mejor modelo de IA de la historia. El más inteligente. Al menos, ahora mismo. No lo digo yo, lo dice la clasificación de Chatbot Arena,...
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Yes, your appliances are substantially cheaper than in 2011. CPI for appliances (which includes quality adjustments in this case) has gone a bit up and down but is now ~10% lower. Nominal wages are 50% higher. Combining both effects appliances are now about 40% cheaper
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These tariffs are unhinged madness. It's imperative that smart people in the Trump administration pressure him to reverse course. I doubt there's anything more important they could be doing right now than trying to get these tariffs undone.
The past two days have been nothing short of historically bad. They have been worse than 99.9% of other trading days since 1929. This was the 5th worst 2-day window for stocks since 1945. It is arguably the singular major drawdown resulting from a policy choice by the President.
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Trump’s tariffs don’t fix the core problem. You can’t reshore industry with taxes alone. Because the issue isn’t trade—it’s productivity. And productivity is crushed by: — Red tape — Deficit spending — Union power — Regulatory capture
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The popularity of Javier Milei among the American right-wing just further demonstrates the distortion field we live in. Milei represents a full-throated embrace of free markets and free people, the very things that nationalist populism claims led to the decadence of American
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Something must be done. This is something. Therefore, this must be done.
America became a place where building high speed rail was impossible. Where a housing shortage became a home price crisis. China makes an order of magnitude more steel than the US. Something went wrong. Are we reckoning with that enough?
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