Pratyush
@pratyushbuddiga
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This was probably the hardest thing I've ever had to write.
It's the story of how I torched my net worth by 90% (2x).
It's the story of how I chased after money, status, and glory.
It's the story of how I finally found freedom + redemption in Jesus.
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The coolest thing about Twitter is if you follow the right people you can get a sneak preview of what the experts will finally admit is correct about 6-18 months before everyone else.
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Feels like a true gloves-off moment from elite media w/the ongoing false narratives in the SBF and
@elonmusk
coverage.
Could argue it’s always been this way, but this time there feels like there’s an added layer of “there’s nothing you can do about it” while they lie brazenly.
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Like there’s no pretense of “journalism” anymore, just we’re going to print absolutely whatever things that someone on our team/audience can read once and download as a cached thought to use in arguments at the Thanksgiving table.
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When people see the removal of gifted programs or algebra in middle school, they ask "why are high-achieving kids being punished?"
The reason is the main goal of education policymakers these days is to "close gaps."
By their very nature, high-achieving kids increase gaps.
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Every year or so, Boston Dynamics shares an update that makes people go “Skynet is imminent!!”
Meanwhile, the company has been passed around like a bad White Elephant gift for over a decade and the only PMF it’s found is viral YouTube videos.
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Bill Gurley's comment on a recent podcast that if the average Wall Street investor's understanding of finance is an 8.5/10, the average Silicon Valley investor's understanding is a 2/10 really seems prescient in light of the last few weeks.
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*Car shopping with my wife*
Her: “Why do you keep asking about what software they use at the dealership instead of about the car?”
Me: “…Did you not read my vertical SaaS article?”
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Generalized observation:
In SF, people have hobbies to escape and decompress from work: hiking, yoga, endurance sports, etc.
In Austin, people have hobbies they want to excel in and are just as important as work: high-end cooking, making their own crafts, team sports, etc.
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People love to hate on non-STEM degrees but the goat VCs all majored in something “useless”:
Thiel (philosophy)
Fenton (philosophy)
Moritz (history)
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Unless others have had different experiences, getting your credit card stolen is basically zero consequences. You’re not liable for any fraudulent transactions and never have to pay.
Conversely, if you get your crypto wallet hacked, there’s zero recourse and that money is gone.
Its 2021 and the “security code” for your credit card is a 3 digit number printed on the back of your card.
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From "When Genius Failed"
All it takes is a rumour for wounded and insolvent to mean the same thing.
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It informs everything I do: how I think about life, my family, and my career.
I once was broken and now I'm free.
I hope you enjoy reading.
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How many VC narrative mirages are driven by revenge/regret for missing a power law company?
Scooters > missed Uber/Lyft
10-min grocery > missed DoorDash
TradFi VCs fomoing into Web3 at $100m pre-product > missed Uniswap/Solana/OpenSea
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Lots of people trying to sell picks and shovels these days, less who want to do the digging.
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Yes, the idea of mass uprising is fake. It’s always led and organized by a rising counter-elite.
All history is the dialectic of elite vs counter-elite
True tension has never been rich vs poor, or majority vs minority, but rather aristocratic+merchant vs bureaucratic
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Two years ago, I asked a pretty Singaporean girl to marry me at Sentosa Island.
It was the culmination of an idea I’d had for 10+ years.
But the story of how it happened was truly God-orchestrated and nothing short of a miracle…
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Spelling
What is your most useless skill, or perhaps not 'useless' just skill you love that the market simply doesn't value. Bonus points if you share a picture or video of you doing it. Quote RT or reply let's see the best ones.
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Thanksgiving is always a special holiday for me as I’m reminded of all the things I’m grateful for like Jesus, my wife, America, and my job.
Today’s an extra special one though as it’s my first as a father of a six day old daughter.
Psalms 127:3-5
Happy Thanksgiving to all!
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Investing in founders at seed is similar to NFL QB strategy:
You want either Brock Purdy (unproven young gun at a low price) or Patrick Mahomes (repeat world-class founder at a high price).
The mistakes happen in the middle when you pay the market rate for Kirk Cousins.
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Four years ago, I “celebrated” my birthday by eating cold veggie sandwiches and half the day asleep in a drunken stupor.
This year, celebrated with a beautiful wife and newborn daughter. Life has never been better or more full.
What changed? Jesus rescued me. I’m grateful.
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Jobs once said: “Apple invented the compact laser jet printer. We made fundamental advances in optical physics. Did we say that? No, we printed the paper. Then we held it up and we said, do you want this?”
I was talking about web3 back in the day but applies here too: lots of people trying to sell picks and shovels, less who want to do the actual digging.
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Watching my amazing wife the last few months, it’s clear that being a stay-at-home mom is the most difficult (and thankless) job in modern society.
No one values you besides your family, everyone asks “when are you going ‘back’ to work” as if you’re not working your tail off.
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Tech has its mojo back.
There was a period post-2016 where tech seemed to have its tail between its legs - best typified by Zuckerberg nervously sipping water.
American Dynamism, e/acc, a jacked Zuck doing product reviews of AVP are all examples of this newfound confidence.
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If I had to bet on a VC trend over the next 18 months, it's going to be American Dynamism-style startups.
It's charismatic, but importantly also less well-understood with lots of room for building a reputation for yourself.
Those dynamics make it very similar to web3 in 2021.
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I wrote a new article about decision-making to go along with this announcement. Would love feedback even if it's a bit painful to rewind to 2017 😂
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After the speculative frenzy in crypto of 2021, a lot of investors have sobered up and are wondering about use cases.
Our view is that while a lot of 'web3' use cases weren't real, the concept of non-custodial, permissionless finance and digital assets remains very interesting.
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We knew it would play out like this but still breathtaking to behold.
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Part of your job as a husband is working out hard enough that you can eat 70% of whatever desserts/sweets your wife wants to try while remaining in shape
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Living in San Francisco is where your Singaporean Chinese wife (who lived in Singapore for 32 years until last June) gets corrected by a kid for calling it "Chinese New Year."
Apparently, the "correct" term here is "Lunar New Year."
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People are hating on this, but what I love about rationalists is they reveal the limits of modern secularism by taking it to the end of its logical conclusions.
Marriage, stripped of an eternal covenantal promise under the eyes of God, is exactly what Eliezer describes.
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My current view on play-to-earn crypto gaming. Anyone disagree or have major pushback/thoughts?
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Going to start something new.
There are 31 Proverbs chapters for 31 days. I'm going to share my favorite verse from that chapter from the day.
Today's from Proverbs 1:7
"The fear of the Lord is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and instruction."
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What an amazing testimony. God is good.
So happy to have another brother.
I went from thinking the Bible was the most boring book ever to seeing the magic in it.
Years ago, I realized that the Bible is the foundational book of Western civilization. If I was going to be an educated person, I needed to know what it said. Though I was motivated to learn
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One of the most common incorrect diagnoses around male unhappiness or depression is that it always stems from a lack of love.
Far more likely is a lack of respect from others and ownership over his world.
If he can find that, everything turns around.
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One of the biggest things I've changed since I joined VC is the value of investing in SaaS companies.
I wrote a new article about it, particularly focused on the opportunity for vertical SaaS companies selling to SMBs.
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This thread is great.
So many of the best and most interesting venture investments are bets against experts.
@mateosfo
@realpauleverton
yes yes yes, the academics have solved all the world's problems. markets are efficient, humans are rational, traffic academics are geniuses and social studies experiments are replicable
there's no way the team that brought us reusable rockets knows something you don't?
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Grateful for God, an amazing wife, family, friends, and the best job in the world.
Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃
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Bison meatball shakshouka and homemade garlic bread.
Elite.
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This is obv seems extreme, but he’s only saying out loud what many high-achieving people reveal they believe with their actions.
Becoming great without losing everything is really, really hard.
We admire Elon, Gates, + Bezos, but their personal lives are extremely messy.
You may lose your wife, you may lose your dog, your mother may hate you. None of those things matter. What matters is that you achieve success and become free. Then you can do whatever you like.
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12HL vs 4HL
let’s all be honest—working during COVID sucked. a lot.
get your ass back in an office and rediscover what it feels like to love your work, and work with a team you love
not too many other life hacks out there that are this easy
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Excited to join this awesome team! Working with awesome founders who are advancing humanity with technological innovation is a dream come true.
We are so excited to finally announce that
@pratyushbuddiga
has joined the Susa Family! He will be working closely with
@lpolovets
and is already a highly valued member of our team. 🦍
Welcome,
@pratyushbuddiga
! 👋
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The biggest advantage legitimate crypto projects have vs mainstream tech incumbents is that the majority of their teams actually believe in what they're doing as opposed to seeing it as a paycheck they're collecting while remaining ironically detached from it.
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After a wild week that included a stressful stay at the hospital, grateful to God to celebrate Father’s Day at home with healthy, beautiful baby girl and an amazing wife who loves me.
Psalms 128:1-4
Pictured: the 8.5 lb leg of lamb my wife cooked to celebrate
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Meeting
@PraxisSociety
members be like...
Me: "What are your respective roles at the company?"
Them: "When you think back to the first Greek city-states..."
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My new article is out on the future of education:
The TL;DR
1) Most people in SV misunderstand the source of college's defensibility
2) A future of College-for-All is more likely than no college
3) Power will shift to those outside traditional education
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Seed investing is about investing in N-of-1 companies three years before there's a "category" around them or people with a lot of time on their hands are making "market maps."
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Matthew 6:1-4:
“Be careful not to practice your righteousness in front of others to be seen by them. If you do, you will have no reward from your Father in heaven. So when you give to the needy, do not announce it with trumpets, as the hypocrites do in the synagogues...
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If 40 hours a week is the standard workweek for 4HLers, wouldn't most be happier doing 4 days/10 hours a day (8-6 every day) with 3 day weekends?
Did I just solve modern work?
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Seed investors be like "we're people-driven" then spend all their time speculating on the market and product.
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This was one of the best examples of
@robkhenderson
’s classic essay on luxury beliefs: despite all the commentary and signaling in prestige media, most affluent people get married.
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For a large percentage of American parents, their goal is to raise good college students, not necessarily functioning adults. Hence the piano lessons, community service, obscure athletics, etc.
How do I know did a good job as a mom/dad? My kid got into a great college.
I’m just starting to come to terms with how much pressure I felt in my teen years to dedicate all of my available effort to getting into college, and how unreasonable it all was?
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It's funny how excited traditional VCs get about all the "talent moving to web3" because an engineer who's worked at FAANG for 2 years is joining a crypto startup.
Crypto ppl built a $2T industry from zero in 12 years, I think they've done a pretty good job of scaling so far.
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Hot take: the times in my life where I've most optimized my sleep have been the least productive times of my life.
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Me hearing they use different software for financing and for CRM…
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My wife just asked my mom what I would eat when I was toddler (1 year old or so).
Mom: “Chicken and goat meat, no vegetables.”
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Yup,
@arjunblj
had it right a few years ago.
Can still make argument on the libertarian front, but the modal outcome is losing your shirt just like most retail investors did on NFTs, SPACs, and ICOs.
Get rid of accredited investor rules, but I don't think it would make a positive impact
Angel investing ties up $ for a long time (most of the time you lose $). Angel who might need the $ for something else shouldn't invest.
SPAC's and ICO's both allow anyone to invest 😬
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Proverbs 1:33
“But whoever listens to me will live in safety and be at ease, without fear of harm.”
Going to start something new.
There are 31 Proverbs chapters for 31 days. I'm going to share my favorite verse from that chapter from the day.
Today's from Proverbs 1:7
"The fear of the Lord is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and instruction."
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Founder I’m grabbing lunch with just said: “I don’t drink tap water actually” when we’re ordering drinks.
Should I just send the wire now?
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Being your own bank has many advantages and features, but this feels like a pithy tweet rather than a true advantage.
Could CCs do better? Sure. But if I got stopped on the street and someone demanded my card, I’d hand it over with zero concerns.
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Interesting insight I heard recently: as work has become the most sacred thing in our culture (replacing faith), society naturally builds an implicit caste system.
You see this most explicitly in places like SF where the first question is always "What do you do?"
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It’s interesting how much preference VCs have for cofounders vs single founders when the majority of enduring, iconic companies are the output of a singular person’s vision and purpose in the world.
Apple, SpaceX, Facebook, Snap, Microsoft, Amazon, Disney, Wal-Mart, etc.
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The people who love "prediction markets" the most have never bet on anything in their lives.
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Wonderful thread I look forward to every year. Along with his Easter threads, these are one of the many signposts that led me to Christ a couple years ago. Always thankful.
Merry Christmas to all and Hallelujah!
When I was an atheist, I thought Christmas was safely pleasant. Baby born in a manger tells us to be kind.
Yawn and pass the fudge.
Christmas is anything but safe. It's crushing and wondrous. When understood, it will change your life.
If that's confusing, let me explain…
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1000000%
I lost my AirPods a few weeks ago which was the catalyst for finally turning off all inputs, allowing me to just think and flow while walking, working out, etc.
Info-maxxing is overrated, I now only listen to podcasts if it’s active listening, never as background
If you want to be more creative, you have to ignore the advice of basically every productivity and optimization guru.
It’s amazing how many really creative people share the same experience: they don’t “generate” ideas, they receive them as transmissions from the universe. Like
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No status, no prestige, just either people ignoring you to ask about your baby or people wondering when you’re going to contribute to GDP again.
If you’re wondering why fertility rates are dropping in wealthy societies its because of this.
Impossible unless you can hire help.
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@heyitsJP3
doubt is normal and natural. It's not a coincidence that "Israel" means "wrestling with God."
Part of true faith is contending with difficult questions and living in the tension and paradox that can sometimes happen when you're dealing with these types of questions.
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Wrote an article about applicable lessons from 7 years of playing poker that have translated to VC as I come up on my 3rd year.
Almost everybody has heard of the made-up phrase of “resulting” that no one in poker ever used, but there are a few that just as useful.
Link in bio
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America is going to be the strangest country in the world in 18 months.
Half the country will be on their 3rd/4th booster shot living in 90%+ vaccinated cities, while the other half lives in low-vax areas, maskless, and saying COVID is a myth.
Choose your own adventure.
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VCs love to talk about founder-market fit as a heuristic, but honestly 95% of founders probably have it.
Conversely, some of the most iconic/interesting companies had zero FMF:
@elonmusk
(Tesla, SpaceX)
@PalmerLuckey
(Anduril)
Bezos (Amazon)
Thiel/Musk/Levchin (PayPal)
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I became a father two months ago.
It's been a time of joy, but also one of fear.
Fear that I won't be a great father or husband.
Fear that the only way to massively succeed is by giving up family life.
I wrote about it here:
Conversation welcomed.
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This is correct.
1KYAE.
The reason people think there’s no such thing as “American culture” is that American culture is so omnipresent it does not register with them as “American culture”
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Even when indulging in dessert, you must reject seed oils.
Behold, a blood orange olive oil cake.
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Guy comes up to me at party: “You’re the dude who tweets about meat and startups right?”
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One other thing
@MikeMcDonald89
might be right about: the 2010-2020 era of "cushy tech jobs" was probably an anomaly of zero interest rates, rather than a new paradigm.
Will still be a great white-collar job but companies can't hire extra headcount to sit around and do nothing
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The answer is, of course, they would never do this. These organizations thrive on a lack of accountability while people feel like they're "making a difference."
Even better, they get to validate themselves as morally superior.
It's the ultimate racket.
@DrEliDavid
If WFP can describe on this Twitter thread exactly how $6B will solve world hunger, I will sell Tesla stock right now and do it.
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@DougPolkVids
hey man, thanks. I really enjoyed it too. I disagree with the latter part, but obviously not going to argue about it here :) Maybe we can hang out sometime and do it after some wine or dinner.
Hope you and Kaitlin are well.
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My pastor in Singapore had this concept of making sure you’re a private success as well as a public success.
This always stuck with me as a good prioritization framework.
Or as Jesus better put it: “What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world and loses his soul?”
Bill Gates: Divorced
Jeff Bezos: Divorced
Elon Musk: Divorced 3x
The secret to becoming a billionaire is getting divorced.
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100%. When thinking about joining Susa, common advice I got was that it was better to go work at a company for a few more yrs before VC.
But
@chadbyers
made a great point to me: "Don't do a job just to get to the next job. If you already know what you want to do, just do it."
Most of my career advice boils down to “what do you actually want to do and what are the fewest possible steps *required* to get there”. Rarely in tech do these steps *require* extra degrees, things that preserve “optionality”, or many years doing an irrelevant job.
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VCs love to say “A down economy is the best time to start a company” to convince themselves not to be too scared to invest.
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1KYAE
One nice nugget fell victim to the Mail subs. Nearly a fifth (19%) of Americans have never heard of Boris Johnson, rising to 24% among women, 27% among the under-30s, and 34% among African Americans. Just 2% of Britons have never heard of Joe Biden.
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This tweet is it.
Elon got it done.
That's why all the theories of the academic world cannot account for what happens when determined, high-agency people act upon the world.
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Bone-in New York strip with jalapeño mashed potatoes and green beans.
Ignore those who claim healthy food can’t be delicious.
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Bread + butter is so good, no idea how I was doing low-carb for so long.
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Calm is a classic 'SV filter bubble' company like Beyond Meat or Oatly. If you live in coastal cities, everyone is meditating, eating fake meat, and drinking alt-milk.
Once you penetrate that market, growth is over.
You can build a decent company, but not a generational one.
Every one of these layoff stories leaves you with the same question, in this case , what are 400 employees doing on a meditation app?
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A popular VC strategy is to fund operators from hot companies in the hopes of finding the next PayPal mafia.
There’s not much alpha and even what little alpha there is has a short half-life.
But perhaps most importantly, these founders are often the equivalent of system QBs.
Investing in founders at seed is similar to NFL QB strategy:
You want either Brock Purdy (unproven young gun at a low price) or Patrick Mahomes (repeat world-class founder at a high price).
The mistakes happen in the middle when you pay the market rate for Kirk Cousins.
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“There is no greater distance known to man than the single footfall that separates a CEO from a founder. CEOs are, for the most part, products of educational and institutional breeding. Founders, or at least the very best of them, are unstoppable forces of nature.” - Mike Moritz
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Listening to old Tim Ferriss podcasts (the Waitzkin episodes), it's kind of crazy how much sharper Tim was back then. He would spar with A+ guests, go off-script, provide interesting insights, etc.
I have my theories why it's fallen off so much but just kinda sad to see.
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@eade_bengard
no one is comfortable talking about how much people's emotions/worldview is driven by envy
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