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Pacemaker.Global

@pacemakerglobal

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Financial stability solutions for multi-currency economies

Joined June 2021
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@KrishanGopaul
Krishan Gopaul
2 years
We've just published our latest central bank #gold statistics for July. Central banks bought 55 tonnes of gold during the month, with China, Poland and Turkey the biggest buyers. You can read more about this, and link through to the data, here: https://t.co/O1Zc89j2Yp
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
2 years
We resized the business model assumptions today for https://t.co/f9xHZKq5BL. A bit surprised to find Triparty Repo has grown to $18 Trillion outstanding secured interbank credit. I drafted the first Triparty Repo as an addendum to GMRA when we innovated the market in the 1990s.
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
I'm not sure Pettis has it right. If international settlements are in mercantilist gold, then China won't need to open the current and trade accounts to grow cross-border mercantilist finance and trade.
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
FT: The new reforms . . unify issuance rules across China’s bond markets, streamline registration and account opening for issuers, and allow issuers to engage in derivatives trading with local financial groups to mitigate foreign exchange risk. Good plumbing grows markets.
@michaelxpettis
Michael Pettis
3 years
1/4 "The Deutsche bond is the first issued under new rules for renminbi debt issuance by foreign entities announced late last year by SAFE, which permit proceeds raised domestically in China to be used offshore for the first time." https://t.co/VPLfV4QwUP
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
In attempting to decouple from a China integrated with the rest of the world, the US will find itself decoupling from the world. Latin American trade with China is multiples of trade with the US, and growing more rapidly. As usual, Mahbubani expresses the US dilemma clearly.
@Zhou_Li_CHN
Zhou Li周莉
3 years
"A #decoupling between #US and #China may mean the decoupling between US and the world." Kishore Mahbubani
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
A mega-gloomy outlook from Dr Doom. He called time on RMBS from about 2005, so we have about 2 or 3 years until the end of the world, if he's still on form.
@Nouriel
Nouriel Roubini
3 years
I predicted the 2008 crash – these are the global 'megathreats' I can see now. Life as we know it is under threat, as short-term-thinking politicians ignore the signs that point to a dystopian future | @Nouriel Nouriel Roubini
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@Brad_Setser
Brad Setser
3 years
There is renewed interest in how Japanese flows impact US markets. The Fed has adjusted its valuation adjusted data on monthly bond flows into the US through August. Japanese demand for Treasuries had disappeared even before the MoF started selling in September. 1/x
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
2022 may have seen the peak in global foreign exchange reserves as central banks sold more than $1 trillion of bonds while buying $400 billion in gold in Q3 alone. #CentralBanks #reserves #GOLD https://t.co/qD2GPDBcs7
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pacemaker.global
Exploring the reasons that global accumulation of official foreign exchange reserves may have peaked.
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
UK doesn't need more gilts or Sterling instability, but if Rishi Sunak is determined to alienate China, we may get more turbulent markets. https://t.co/ftB1sU2JKf #centralbanks #gilts #Sterling #GBP
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pacemaker.global
Continuing to antagonise one of the world's largest creditors is unwise while the gilts market remains vulnerable.
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@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
3 years
I’m also 5’7. Can I have a country?
@tomgara
Tom Gara
3 years
A brief Googling suggests Rishi Sunak, Emmanuel Macron, Olof Scholz, Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky are all 5'7, it's an unprecedented consolidation of European power in the hands of short kings
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
35 years ago the 1987 market crash (the first Greenspan put) taught me the lessons the 2022 gilts crisis teaches again today. https://t.co/RiPwED7iiB
pacemaker.global
1987 market crash compared to 2022 market vulnerabilities
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
The pound and gilts crisis may have started with the decision to expropriate Central Bank of Venezuela monetary and gold reserves in 2019. Sanctions on Russia this year speeded divestment. #centralbanks #gold #reserves https://t.co/v2cUODe8xl
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pacemaker.global
Expropriation of Venezuelan gold reserves started the crisis sell-off in gilts
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@ByDonkeys
Led By Donkeys
3 years
This is Brexit
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@elerianm
Mohamed A. El-Erian
3 years
Extremely sad and tragic news out of Japan. The assassination of Shinzo Abe, Japan's former and longest-serving Prime Minister, robs the country and globe of a world-class leader. He leaves a legacy of bold policies, courage, and dedication to the welfare of his people May he RIP
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
#Centralbanks are no longer viewed as infallible, independent, or generally competent. That is a big problem for the social construct of '#Currency', and our need to finance economies with debt. https://t.co/3eSSI262Jb
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omfif.org
Public investors will have to work harder to preserve capital
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
3 years
We predicted in February at the first talk of #Sanctions that the German and Italian industrial economies would collapse from the blowback and bring the #Euro into peril. We take no satisfaction in being right.
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omfif.org
Terms of trade in Europe set to suffer from higher energy prices
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@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
3 years
OK, one more shock: the assassination of Japan's former Prime Minister Abe. I have zero to say about what might lie behind it and what it means. But I can talk about my meeting with Abe in 2016; he was a complicated and interesting leader, not easy to characterize 1/
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
4 years
Better data for better policy, exemplified in this time series animation of the US Treasuries yield curve over time. https://t.co/9umUXPAVPq #dataviz #centralbanks #monetarypolicy
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@pacemakerglobal
Pacemaker.Global
4 years
Recognising the 'helpers': India, UAE, Qatar and Saudi, for their aid to neighbours Sri Lanka and Egypt, two economies destabilised by the crisis re-pricing of energy and food. https://t.co/ogFRXTaO6r
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