RT @mrsiipa: dude how tf did we take sand and make it into 3nm chips that can do numerical computations billions of times per second, and w….

an ipython notebook exploring these simulations more (includes data) is available here.

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the underlying model is a baysian one based off of fantasy consensus/betting lines and works pretty well -- here are the distribution of actual scores from the 1-5 ranked RB the past few years (blue line) vs the model's projections for these players

or put in a list of players you're thinking about starting and run through all the scenarios . (note WRONG is probability one of your backups outscores your starter, LOSE is probability you lose your matchup because of it)

can put in your matchup and get full team projections --

-- the site where I simulate/calculate full, projected fantasy point distributions (that are correlated with each other) is now live

RT @fantasycalc1: I created a new methodology to run a performance analysis of 2023 draft rankings against FantasyCalc values. FantasyCalc….

RT @Anthony_Bonato: Simone Biles is now the most decorated US Olympics gymnast, so here is a thread of her as functions. y = x https://t.co….

RT @SteveStuWill: According to biologists, the function of zebras' stripes is to ward off insects. Based on that idea, a team of scientists….

RT @tangotiger: A terrific resource to get into Python + SQL and apply it to baseball. Ive self-taught both of these: it made it FAR easier….

RT @g_leech_: Breakthroughs of 2023.

RT @lefineder: Aristotle's book "Problems" contains 900 questions about the natural world that the ancient Greeks in the school of Aristotl….

RT @george__mack: The speed of light visualized. Wild.

RT @robinhanson: "reason I'm skeptical about AI doom because we're already living among … "non-aligned" … capitalism … impossible to stop….

new post: what does @elonmusk mean when he says "money is a database for natural resource allocation"

Just added a FAQ at the bottom too.

RT @RyanMc23: Someone made a Championship Pot Split Calculator. Pretty nice option if you are planning to split your league's pot. https….

Due to unfortunate events in BUF-CIN game, made a week 17 championship pot-splitting calculator. Uses the @fantasymath_ff model. Put in current scores, who's left to play, payouts and get a fair, expected-value sound split —.

RT @george__mack: How to have a psychedelic trip without doing drugs: . Step 1: Watch these videos. No other steps 🤠 .

RT @patrickc: There may be a wide distribution of views on the merits of occult services, but we think those adjudications can be effective….