Javier Turén R
@javier_turen
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Assistant professor at @IE_UC , PUC -Chile. PhD in economics @EconUCL
Santiago, Chile
Joined December 2014
📢📊Can professional forecasters be "Rationally Inactive"? Along with the great @isaacbaley we wrote a VOXEU Column to discuss the main findings of our recent paper "Lumpy Forecasts".
cepr.org
Forecasts from professionals (economists, analysts, brokers, academics) are a key input into economic decision-making. This column highlights that professional forecasts are ‘lumpy’, often remaining...
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Amigos en México, los invito a la presentación de mi nuevo libro "The Data Economy" en el @ITAM_mx 🗓️ Viernes 19 de sep, 10-11am, Sala de Maestros (PB) Como @ExITAM de @EconomiaITAM_ y @MatematicasITAM, es un honor volver a mi alma máter! Más info: https://t.co/0cEvUyAEBu
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We just completed a comprehensive replication kit for our paper "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks: A Natural Language Approach" with Boragan Aruoba It allows you to carry out all NLP and machine learning steps of our method (in R) Access via dropbox: https://t.co/VJpPVqUnwN
dropbox.com
Shared with Dropbox
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Great paper, great data, great message. And it is all about Chile. Congrats to the authors Pablo Munoz @cristobalotero and Chile's academia which has managed in recent years to produce many high impact research.
Forthcoming in the AER: "Managers and Public Hospital Performance" by Pablo Muñoz and Cristóbal Otero.
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Forthcoming in the AER: "Managers and Public Hospital Performance" by Pablo Muñoz and Cristóbal Otero.
aeaweb.org
(Forthcoming Article) - We study whether the quality of managers can affect public service provision in the context of public health. Using novel data from public hospitals in Chile, we show how the...
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Monetary policy shocks affect more cities with low income per capita, both in prices and income. Just Accepted new paper by Juan Herreño Bluesky: https://t.co/1FdoXCm4xa and Mathieu Pedemonte @mathpedemonte
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lol you can see very clearly that Economists are using ChatGPT to help write their abstracts.
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Direct link to the updated version of my paper:
New (updated) working paper: The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges by @PfaeutiEcon. Link to the paper as well as other working papers of our center: https://t.co/HaErMbACm8
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Households often use stimulus checks to repay their debt. How does this fact change the effectiveness and design of fiscal policy? Check out the @FacultiNet video where we discuss our joint work with @davide_melc, @pilossopher, and @DavidWiczer: https://t.co/j3HLALjORP
faculti.net
If most households use stimulus checks to repay debt, what does that mean for how we design economic policy? The views, opinions, findings, and conclusions a...
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Super interesting! Check it out 👇
Many households used stimulus checks to repay their debts. How does this affect the effectiveness and design of fiscal policy? We discuss our research on the latest @FacultiNet video, based on work with @gizemkosar @DavidWiczer @pilossopher
https://t.co/1gCAa7DnnD
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New paper with @InaHajdini, Saten, Samreen, and Jordan. Using an RCT, we show that firms communicate within their IO network, influencing connected firms’ expectations, uncertainty and actions. We then illustrate the relevance for shock transmission and inflation in a NK model
New Working Paper: Supply Chain Networks and the Macroeconomic Expectations of Firms
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It's humbling to get a prize, but the @ICAE_UCM Best Seminar Award 2024/25 is next level! Honored to share it with @CarrilloTudela and @FontenaySbasti1. Thank you for the kind recognition and for what might be the most prestigious red T-shirt in economics :)
The symbolic prize for the @ICAE_UCM BSA is a jazzy red t-shirt! We'll send them to winners’ offices @U_of_Essex , @econ_empresaUPF , @UAHes respectively. When you receive it please wear it and share a picture with @ICAE_UCM on X, to induce colleagues pride & envy at once! :) 5/6
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It’s true! We’ll be hosting a monthly series of technical monetary economics papers. So even if you don’t have access to a regular monetary seminar in your own institution, this should give you a good insight into what the top researchers in the field are working on now.
Starting Sept 2025: CEPR & @sffed launch a monthly Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics. Focus: central bank goals, policy design, transmission, & international dimensions. 🗓 First session: 4 Sept | 5PM CET Details 👉 https://t.co/B3WvniaNb0 Organisers: @michaelbauer_hh
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The CfP of Sixth Joint BoC – ECB – New York Fed Conference on Expectations Surveys is out. Submit your papers!
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Happy to see my research paper about the economic consequences of political pressure on the Fed mentioned by @Reuters @ReutersJamie Reuters story here: https://t.co/EDRiGHNijJ Link to the paper: https://t.co/dQQoG0KJsN Story mentions great research by @DavideRomelli as well!
reuters.com
If U.S. President Donald Trump's public attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have achieved one thing, it has been to thrust the issue of central bank independence firmly into the spotlight....
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Nuestros resultados ofrecen nueva evidencia empírica sobre la propagación global de las sorpresas económicas en economías grandes, tales como China, a través de los mercados financieros. Por @camigutir, @javier_turen y @ale_vicondoa
https://t.co/cmjNKFW80N
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How News about the US Economy Drives Global Financial Conditions New blog post by Chris Boehm and @KronerNiklas (UT graduate @UTAustinEcon 🤟) based on paper recently published in @RevEconStudies. Short summary below ⬇️
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De vuelta en Chile luego de cursar Time Series Models for Macroeconomic Analysis II (de @ricco_giovanni) en @bse_barcelona Estudiamos métodos avanzados de series tiempo para estimar relaciones macro e identificar shocks, incluyendo tambien clases prácticas de Matlab. Tremendo!
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Former graduate student Carlos Rondon Moreno and our colleague Christiane Baumeister catching up at a Central Bank of Chile conference:
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📢 If you are attending the #CEF2025 conference, don't miss the special session sponsored by #LACEA on applications to LATAM. Also, right after, I'll be presenting a new paper on how Lumpy professional forecasters behave during volatile times (w/ @isaacbaley), further details 👇
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Don’t miss it !!!
Join us this Thursday, July 3, for the VASSEM (Virtual Asian Seminar Series on Expectations in Macroeconomics) (8 PM China | 2 PM Barcelona | 8 AM New York) I'll be presenting "Lumpy Forecasts", new paper with the fantastic @javier_turen Sign up here: https://t.co/OUzYqknbWu
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