James Wilson
@jameswilson
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Economist, data analyst, public policy. Formerly @ausgov @govuk š¦šŗš¬š§ Views my own.
London
Joined November 2007
Itās appalling how long inquiries take in the UK. The inquiry into Sarah Everardās horrendous murder has been going for four years. The Post Office Inquiry took five years. Infected Blood Inquiry took six years. Thereās no kindness or justice in such monstrously long inquiries.
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https://t.co/1m0IV44bAt Rachel Reeves accused of exaggerating gloomy outlook to pave way for tax-raising Budget
ft.com
Office for Budget Responsibility says forecasts for public finances were rosier than chancellor suggested
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The way the British talk about the budget is just bonkers. A Ā£4.2b āsurplusā on Reeveās fiscal target in 2029-30 actually means a budget deficit that is still ~Ā£60b a year! This is crazy. Who gives af about the fiscal rule, look at the actual budget balance!
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Labour in Australia understood this with policies like the 20% cut to all outstanding student loan balances. Brilliant politics. Appeals to voters who otherwise get no govt support but pay lots of tax.
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No one in Australia is looking to MMT. Why? Because debt is low, deficits are low, and the govt has money to make the policy choice that it wants. It hasnāt racked up such vast sums of debt that it now has no good choices available.
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Itās telling that MMT cranks only become popular once govt debt gets so high that the govt has to start making hard, unpleasant, unpopular choices. MMT presents a magic money tree argument that says, āLook! Free money! You donāt have to make any difficult choices ever again!ā
As usual, the pundits are asking the wrong question because they don't understand one simple thing, which is that the government makes all the money it spends, and it is only crass Treasury rules that require it to 'balance the books'.
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This is why Australia must avoid high government debt at all costs. We cannot become enslaved to bond traders, we cannot let debt become a constraint on government action. I never want our government looking over its shoulder like this.
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Itās 2025 and apparently some people still think itās okay to call British politicians Uncle Toms.
Shabana Mahmood is an exemplar of 'white power with a brown face'. She follows in the footsteps of Sajid Javid, Priti Patel, James Cleverly and Suella Braverman ā all chosen to enact the most racist policies imaginable using their ethnic backgrounds as cover.
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This is a good proposal. I remember the NSW Government trialled this exact same thing (when Dom Perrottet was Treasurer) a few years but then abandoned it. Why?
Everyone hates stamp duty. Everyone knows an annual property tax would be better. But no one has come up with a plan that: 1ļøā£ Fully removes stamp duty 2ļøā£ Leaves no one worse off than on the current system 3ļøā£ Raises money for the Treasury from day one Until now. There are a
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No one on the British left is ready to grapple with the reality that a European welfare state can only be paid for with high, broad-based taxation on everyone, including low and middle income earners.
In 2024, the UK had the lowest taxes on an average employee of any G7 country. UK taxes for lower earners were also the lowest in the G7. But the UK's position might change in 2025. Read more š https://t.co/HGUlqiV5kG
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Iām more concerned that itās a DOA attempt to placate climate change denialism on the right.
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No one serious ever said it would but okay. If the result of all this political recalibration on climate change is a greater focus on adaptation (taboo in some circles as a sign of āgiving upā on emissions reduction) then thatās a positive.
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In Australia we talk about a lost decade (now 15 years) of productivity growth. This is the result. We fall further and further behind America. Itās already clear that their economic āproblemsā are of a different order to ours because they are SO much richer.
Look at the scale of America's GDP Per Capita breakaway from its allies. America will be so much richer than them that nothing can make up for it. Frankly, if you're even slightly capable, it already is.
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Walking home from the station. Lady drives up in a Mustang E-Mach. She gets out and dumps several big bags of rubbish next to a bin outside an estate. Gets back in her car and drives away. It was a Motability car.
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Parliament must kill this deal
šØChina is now eyeing a lease of one of the Chagos Islands, Peros Banhos from Mauritius - beside Diego Garcia. The 'deal' hasn't been ratified by the UK Parliament, yet Mauritius, India, and China plan to carve them up. This deal must be scrapped - once and for all.
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PM Albaneseās meeting with Trump at the White House went better than anyone expected. All the superlatives are deserved. A resounding win for Australia š¦šŗ
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It is absolutely diabolical that this logo does not read, āFunded by the UK Governmentā.
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Sensible suggestions from Andy Haldane. Government needs an independent fiscal monitor, but the current OBR model is too inflexible, and too biased towards fiscal constraint and against growth
ft.com
The conservatism of the Office for Budget Responsibility means the current framework is a hindrance to growth
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