Gregory Brew
@gbrew24
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Senior Analyst, Iran and Energy @EurasiaGroup. Formerly @ISSYale. Author of "The Struggle for Iran" and "Petroleum and Progress in Iran." Views my own.
Joined October 2012
New pinned tweet, as the links broke for the old one: "Petroleum and Progress in #Iran: Oil, Development, and the Cold War." https://t.co/jeVAp8VXbz "The Struggle for #Iran: Oil, Autocracy, and the Cold War, 1951-1954." https://t.co/WIet3Z6z3e
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Another amazing Light Sweet Crude show. Donโt take it from me, listen to @TheStalwart: โpeople should post more photos of usโ
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Dallas has this reputation for being corporate and concrete-y, and it is these things, but it's also very neon and a thriving fashion/filmmaking scene. Great food. The freeways will kill you. Virtually no green space.
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New Years is really something, they shoot fireworks out of the golf ball.
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"If Hamas proceeds with this action, steps will be taken to protect Gaza residents and preserve the integrity of the ceasefire."
๐จืืฉืจื ืืืืฅ ืืืืจืืงื ื: ืดืืจืฆืืช ืืืจืืช ืืืืืขื ืืืืื ืืช ืืขืจืืืช ืืืกืื ืืฉืืื ืืขืื ืขื ืืืืืืื ืืืืื ืื ืืืฆืืืขืื ืขื ืืืื ื ืืืืืืช ืืืคืจ ืืช ืืคืกืงืช ืืืฉ ืืฆื ืืืืก ื ืื ืชืืฉืื ืขืืืด ๐จืืฉืจื ืืืืฅ ืืืืจืืงื ื: ืดืืชืงืคื ืืชืืื ื ืช ืื ื ืื ืืืจืืื ืคืืกืืื ืื ืชืืืื ืืคืจื ืืฉืืจื ืืืืืจื ืฉื ืชื ืื ืืคืกืงืช ืืืฉ ืืชืขืจืขืจ ืืช ืืืชืงืืืืช
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First documented Fatah-1 ballistic missile in an OPERATIONAL Iranian missile site.
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Early efforts to restart dialogue over Iran's nuclear program. Egypt's foreign minister holds separate calls with Araghchi, Grossi, and Witkoff.
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"A Houthi defence ministry official said the group had no connection to the incident, according to the Houthi-run Saba news agency."
reuters.com
A Cameroon-flagged tanker issued a distress call on Saturday after an explosion onboard as it passed about 60 nautical miles south of Yemen's Ahwar, British maritime security firm Ambrey said.
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Today's attack in the Red Sea doesn't look like Houthi handiwork (unless their targeting was off, which has happened in the past). This is the second tanker carrying Iranian LPG that has been struck in recent months.
The LPG tanker FALCON (9014432), which caught fire today in the Gulf of Aden, was laden with Iranian LPG from Assaluyeh after loading there on 2025-09-25. She was most likely heading to Ras Isa, Yemen; to supply the Houthis. This vessel was detained in January 2025 in Istanbul
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Notably, the account Witkoff gives--where he learned of Israel's strike on Doha after it had happened--is at odds with the account sourced from officials in the admin (and, I believe, corroborated by Trump himself), where Witkoff knew but not in time to stop it.
Exclusive: Jared Kushner, President Trumpโs son-in-law, and special envoy Steve Witkoff give a behind-the-scenes look at the tense moments leading up to the ceasefire and hostage deal after an Israeli bombing threatened to derail the agreement. โ[Trump] felt like the Israelis
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4yo spent all morning asking about distillation towers, I showed her pictures of Whiting and Motiva, now she's drawing a refinery. Proud dad moment.
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No ceasefire, then?
OIL TANKER FLYING THE FLAG OF CAMEROON ISSUED A DISTRESS CALL FOLLOWING AN EXPLOSION ON BOARD APPROXIMATELY 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFF YEMEN - MARITIME SECURITY AGENCY
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We at @EurasiaGroup saw it coming and noted it in #TopRisks2025.
From @EurasiaGroup's #TopRisks2025 report published in January: Prices this year will fall "to or below $60," based in part on OPEC's shift in strategy, from market management to capturing market share.
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"Zelensky hoped to leave Washington with commitments around new weapons for Ukraine, but found Trump in a totally different state of mind a day after he held a lengthy call with Russian president Vlaidmir Putin."
axios.com
One source said the meeting "was not easy." Another simply said "it was bad."
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Trump now seems to favor a mutual ceasefire frozen at the current front line. "Let both claim victory, let history decide!"
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An answer that obscures what, exactly, the US is trying to get from Maduro.
.@POTUS on Maduro: "He has offered everything, you're right. You know why? Because he doesn't want to fuck around with the United States." ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
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Confirms the postwar new normal is "NPT in name only." Iran may dangle cooperation with IAEA as part of some broader deal, but is unlikely to return to prewar cooperation without a suitable incentive. More attacks will likely only stiffen this attitude.
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Araghchi: "Iran will remain bound solely to its rights and obligations under the [NPT]. This includes no limits whatsoever on the scale of its nuclear program, and cooperation with the IAEA only within the framework of the Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement."
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Again, they're not trying for subtlety.
Figurative sculpture of โThe Battle of Rostam, Rakhsh, and the Dragon,โ was unveiled in Isfahan.
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