Joel Smyth
@fantasysmyth
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Writer 📝 @NFLResearch @NFLFantasy Follow the Tok & Tube↘️
Indy ➡️ LA
Joined July 2012
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D’Andre Swift
Week 13: 14 carries, led RBs in snaps
Week 14 1st half: 1 carry, 3 yards
I hate fantasy
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Hey
@mcuban
! I work with IU’s Dance Marathon and we’re throwing our first ever virtual Gala for thousands across the country. If you have a minute to make a quick video in support of Riley Hospital for us to show we would love you forever, THANK YOU
#GoHoosiers
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85
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Taylor Heinicke vs Bucs
306 yards 1 TD/1 INT
Patrick Mahomes tonight
270 yards 0 TD/ 2 INT
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Deshaun Watson since week 4
(Bill O’Brien fired/taking out Browns wind game)
300 yards-2 TDs-20.9 Fantasy Points
359-3-24.7
335-4-32
309-2-24
281-2-24.2
334-2-31.2
318-4-33
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23
180
*Justin Herbert loses two yards on a batted ball by catching it*
Fantasy managers: yay 0.8 points
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The Kyle Pitts Experience:
8 tgt, 2 rec, 28 yds (118 air yds)
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5
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Breakout Age is flawed. Here’s how I worked to fix it and increase the odds of a Hit purely from BOA from 7% up to 18%💥
Adjusted Breakout Age*
62 WRs from 2016-2020 Classes (Rounds 1-3)
⬇️ *Thread 1/4* ⬇️
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38
118
Keaton Mitchell
25% Explosive Run Rate (1st)
CIN
32nd vs Explosive Runs
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Here’s proof that Michael Penix Jr. would win the Heisman if he was right handed
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The world found out tonight why LT is the 2nd highest paid position 🥶
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Russell Wilson got ruled out and Courtland Sutton’s projection went up
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Dynasty Stash of the Week
Quez Watkins - WR -
#Eagles
🟢⚪️🟢
▫️6’0” 193 lbs
▫️22.6 yrs old
The rookie speedster has flashed w/ fellow rookie Jalen Hurts taking over the Eagles. The 6th rounder has raw talent that provides unique upside in the modern day NFL
⬇️*Thread* (1/10)⬇️
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The Lions after drafting 21 yr old D’Andre Swift 12th overall instead of paying 24 yr old D’Andre Swift $3M/yr
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With the fantasy season complete, it’s time for some end of the year polls for some
@NFLFantasy
research!!
Help out and vote below ⬇️ 🏈🧵
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Joe Burrow now has 4 rushing TD over the last 5 games
He is 2nd among QB in rushing TD behind only Jalen Hurts
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Dynasty Stash of the Week🚨
Championship Weekend Edition
Tyler Johnson-WR-TB Buccaneers 🔴🟤
▫️6’2” 206 lbs
▫️22.5 years old
The rookie has had a solid, consistent year with his low usage. What if the 5th rounder’s breakout happened in the NFC Championship?
⬇️*Thread*(1/8)⬇️
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You’re 2021 Rookies Adjusted Breakout Age🤓
Tons of movement ❤️
Terrace Marshall Jr. 19.2–>18.2⭐️
Amon-Ra St. Brown 18.9 —> 18.4
Ja’Marr Chase 19.5 —> 18.5💥
Seth Williams 19.4 —> 18.9
Anthony Schwartz 20 —> 19.5
DeVonta Smith 20.8 —> 19.8 🤭
Amari Rodgers 21 —> 20
Continued ...
Breakout Age is flawed. Here’s how I worked to fix it and increase the odds of a Hit purely from BOA from 7% up to 18%💥
Adjusted Breakout Age*
62 WRs from 2016-2020 Classes (Rounds 1-3)
⬇️ *Thread 1/4* ⬇️
8
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118
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Stick with us. Tonight is not what this team will be remembered for
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Dynasty Stash of the Week
Donald Parham Jr. - TE - LAC 🟡🔵🟡
▫️6’8” 240 lbs
▫️23 years old
The Stetson college turned Dallas Renegade XFL Star has a 7 foot wingspan and may be the Chargers’ future at TE
1/6
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62
2021 RB Class 🏈
▫️College Dominator
▫️Yards per carry
▫️Target Share
Check how they all stack up⬇️
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Dynasty Stash of the Week -
Salvon Ahmed (RB, Miami Dolphins🐬)
5’11” 196 lbs.
21 years old
Last week: 7 car 38 yards
This week: 21 car 85 yards 1 TD
Snap %: 76%
Carry %: 84%
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2021 Rookie WRs 🏈
▫️College Dominator
▫️Yards per Reception
▫️College Target Share
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Some of my friends are going to the Marines, some go to the tanning salon every week, and some do both ...
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Mister McRobbie I don’t care about classes but pls let us have IUDM meetings still
🥺
👉👈
👟🧦
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Dynasty Stash of the Week (*Thread*)
Collin Johnson🏈🐆
Jacksonville Jaguars WR
#19
5th Round 2020 Draft Pick (Texas-Age 23)
6’6” 220 lbs
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Excited to announce I’ll be working as a National Sports Columnist for the
@idsnews
this semester at IU! Can’t wait to begin writing articles about all things sports for this great publication 🔴⚪️
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DFS Playoffs! (
#DraftKings
)
(Thread 1/5)⬇️
Core Players of the Week🔒💸
QB:
Patrick Mahomes $8000(CLE)
RB:
Nick Chubb $6600(KC)
Cam Akers $5700(GB)
WR:
Michael Thomas $6700(TB)
Jarvis Landry $5600(KC)
TE:
Travis Kelce $7800(CLE)
Me putting Kelce Stacks in every lineup💥
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The “never draft an OSU quarterback” crowd is absolutely ridiculous and presents no case to not draft Justin Fields
Since 2000, ONE Ohio State quarterback has been drafted to be the starting quarterback, the rest 4th round - undrafted
Fields ≠ Haskins
Thread ⬇️
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Special Edition of the Dynasty Stash of the Week
Quintez Cephus -WR-
#Lions
🔵⚪️🔵
▫️6’1” 208 lbs
▫️22.8 years old
Check the end of season rankings of the Dynasty Stashes of the Week at the bottom of the thread🌟
⬇️*Thread* (1/9)⬇️
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BREAKING: After reports of Jaylen Waddle returning for the National Championship across from DeVonta Smith, Ohio State has activated two new walk-ons in Denzel Cord and Marshon Battimore
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Cam Akers 1st Quarter:
10 touches 100 yards 🔥
Being used as a 3rd down passing back consistently for the first time
It’s officially Cam Akers Szn 🚨 (btw, he’s only 21)
1
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The 1st 18 picks are set for the
#NFLDraft
! Here’s my very early mock draft🏈
By Conference:
SEC: 6
Big 10: 5
ACC: 4
Outside P5: 2
Pac 12: 1
Big 12: 0
Positions:
5 QB, 3 WR, 3 OL, 2 LB, 2 CB, 2 DL, 1 TE
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Dynasty Stash - Isaiah Coulter - HOU WR
6’2 198 lbs
Junior out of Rhode Island
5th round pick 2020
(*Thread*)
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Me:
*finishing a bachelors degree*
*applies to 20 sports jobs in 2 days*
Life:
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Just published my 1st Superflex Rankings for
@DynastyNerds
!
Deshaun Watson QB2📈
Lamar Jackson QB9📉
Antonio Gibson RB10📈
Aaron Jones RB14📉
Tee Higgins WR12📈
Mike Evans WR25📉
Comment below 2 players and I’ll reply with which one I have ranked higher
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Another BIG week in
#DFS
7th / 30,000 in the top tourney
Another Cash Lineup ✅
(13/18 now on the year)
Follow for more free $$
#DFS
Plays Wildcard Weekend (
#DraftKings
)
(Thread 1/5)⬇️
Core Players of the Week🔒💸
QB:
Josh Allen $7500 (IND)
RB:
Jonathan Taylor $7900 (BUF)
WR:
Stefon Diggs $7700 (IND)
Diontae Johnson $6200 (CLE)
TE:
Logan Thomas $4900 (TB)
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Jalen Hurts Breakdown v DAL
21/39 - 53.8%
342 Passing Yards
1 TD - 2 INT
9 Carries - 69 Yards
The good & bad, Film Breakdown ⬇️
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Lastly here’s the adjusted hit rate based on round drafted...
If this seems valuable I’ll dive into the 2021 rookie class ✅
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Rookie Player Comp Thread 🏈
Javonte Williams- RB - UNC
🔁
David Montgomery 🐻
*Thread* (1/4)⬇️
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My latest article is the best to date
My top 50 Dynasty WRs compared by Volume and Efficiency metrics w/ Top 10 lists & analysis
Check out the whole article to see where your favorite players land ✏️ 🏈
🆕
@FF_Smyth
uses WOPR, Catch Rate, and Off Target Rate to determine the Wide Receivers with the greatest opportunity for long term success.
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Football is the greatest sport in the world. Incredibly thankful for the chance to play the game with the best coaches & brothers @ Fishers
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Dynasty Stash of the Week
J.J. Taylor - RB - New England Patriots 🔴🔵🔴
▫️5’6” 185 lbs
▫️23.0 years old
Small but mighty. This short king can catch out of the backfield & either flip or run over defenders. Can he be the next in a long line of Belichick gems?
⬇️*Thread* (1/7)⬇️
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RB Volume and Efficiency article is out! Calculates the volume based on the value of each touch and how efficient each RB has been in 2020. Check out the article for top 10 lists and analysis🏈✍️
🆕
@FF_Smyth
uses the value of targets, carries and red zone work to determine the volume and efficiency of all your favorite Running Backs.
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Joe Burrows incredible season normalized a 6 td performance in a national championship game against the
#1
Defense in the country ...
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First group of graphs for the 2021 WR Class 🏈
Estimated* 40 Times 🏃♂️
BMI 📏
Age 👴🏿
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In one game w/ Aidan O’Connell:
Tgt Share -
Davante: 33%
Jakobi: 10%
Please…
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As the NFL Season comes to the end I would love any of your support for my future job hunt📋
0
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March Madness Thread 🏀💰🚨
I take 5 metrics from all 68 teams in the field in order to predict
▫️Upsets
▫️The Champion
▫️Best Bets
Let’s dive in ⬇️
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Deejay Dallas looking good with the opportunities he’s had ... no idea why he’s not playing over Scarbrough
#Seahawks
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Working 40 hours a week this summer somebody give me a wife and kids to provide for
1
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Dynasty Stash ✍️
Marquez Callaway needs to be rostered in all leagues
10 Targets
8 Rec
75 Yards
27% Target Share
👇Full Thread on Callaway 👇
6
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The 2021 RB class🏈
How do they compare to each other in BMI & Age?
Jermar Jefferson and the UNC Men sure do stick out 📈
3
18
37
Dynasty Stash - Auden Tate - WR CIN
6’5” 225 lbs
23 years old
(*thread*)
Warning ⚠️ If you watch Tate’s 2019 tape below you will immediately add him to your roster
10
9
32
My 2020 Rookie Rankings before the season ——> Rookie Rankings Now
Who’s climbed the highest for you?
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35
Another article, another model. Check out some Dynasty WRs to buy and sell based off of their WOPR volume compared to Quarterback accuracy!🏈
Check the reply tweet for a sneak peek Top 10⬇️
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Imagine if this Colts team had an elite quarterback like Andrew Luck
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#DFS
Plays Wildcard Weekend (
#DraftKings
)
(Thread 1/5)⬇️
Core Players of the Week🔒💸
QB:
Josh Allen $7500 (IND)
RB:
Jonathan Taylor $7900 (BUF)
WR:
Stefon Diggs $7700 (IND)
Diontae Johnson $6200 (CLE)
TE:
Logan Thomas $4900 (TB)
7
18
31
All four years of high school it's been Fishers @ Carmel for the sectional championship 🏈 Round 4 next Friday ‼️
1
4
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DFS Plays Week 16 (DK) feat. the new Lineup Optimizer🔥
(*Thread 1/5*)
Core Players of the Week🔒💸
QB:
Patrick Mahomes $8500 (ATL)
RB:
David Montgomery $7700 (JAX)
Miles Sanders $6900 (DAL)
WR:
Tyreek Hill $9000 (ATL)
Amari Cooper $5700 (DAL)
TE:
Dallas Goedert $3600 (DAL)
1
16
29
Curtis Samuel’s 30 touches leads all NFL WRs
Week 1 Tgt Share: 26.8% (led team)
Week 2 Tgt Share: 20.5% (led team)
Week 3 Tgt Share: 23.8% (led team)
18.4 PPG. He’s legit
#HTTC
0
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Hse kids should start to rethink their class when youre chanting d2 all star in the last minute of a mans basketball life
2
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26
Won't see one of my best pals til December. I'll miss you buddy I hope you name your K9 after me ❤️🇺🇸
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Dynasty Stash of the Week
KeeSean Johnson - WR - ARI 🔴⚪️🔴
▫️6’1 201 lbs
▫️24.2 years old
The 1st pick in the 2019 6th Round has now passed both WRs drafted ahead of him on the depth chart and is patiently waiting to breakout 💥
*Thread* (1/6)
@JohnsonKeesean
3
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CBS scoreboard the perfect example of bland modern minimalism in sports
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Back for another week of DFS Plays & Research for Week 6:
QB:
Matthew Stafford $6300 (JAX)
RB:
Alexander Mattison $7200 (ATL)
David Montgomery $5800 (CAR)
WR:
Adam Thielen $7300 (ATL)
Kenny Golladay $6200 (JAX)
Jamison Crowder $6100 (MIA)
TE:
Jonnu Smith $5200 (HOU)
(THREAD)
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The Citadel:
TCU hasn’t had a bye week since 9/17. Sonny Dykes pointed out they weren’t fortunate enough to get a November noncon game like in the SEC.
“You’re not gonna catch The Citadel in Week 10. We caught Texas.”
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139
2K
0
1
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DFS Plays Week 14 (DraftKings)
(1/4)
Core Players of the Week🔒💸
QB:
Russell Wilson $7900 (NYJ)
RB:
Aaron Jones $7600 (DET)
Myles Gaskin $560 (KC)
WR:
AJ Brown $7300 (JAX)
Allen Robinson $6800 (HOU)
TE:
Dalton Schultz $3500 (CIN)
5
13
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Shoutout to all the seniors that came to an Away Scrimmage 🏈 you the realist
0
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Good morning,
Jahmyr Gibbs is your RB12 in PPG
(Ahead of 9/13 RBs drafted before him)
1
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DFS Championship Weekend! (
#DraftKings
)
(Thread 1/5)⬇️
Core Players of the Week🔒💸
QB:
Josh Allen $7600
RB:
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $5000
Ronald Jones $4600
WR:
Davante Adams $8000
Stefon Diggs $7000
Chris Godwin $5400
TE:
Travis Kelce $8000
1
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With the Jets win, Darnold may be staying in NY
The 23 year old could have a brighter future w/
▫️No Adam Gase
▫️5 Picks in the 1st 3 rounds
▫️Mims and Becton📈
Still, a new team would be the better option, but Darnold just had a 99.8 Passer Rating vs the Rams
#1
Pass Defense
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Gabriel Davis the past 4 starts⬇️
He’s not a stash, he’s a star(ter) ⭐️
▫️4-70-1
▫️3-79-1
▫️3-68-1
▫️3-19-1 (so far- mid 3rd)
>16 PPG 🏈
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