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2023 WR Leaders by Hero Catches
1. Courtland Sutton (10)
2. Drake London (7)
3. Puka Nacua (6)
3. Chris Olave (6)
5. Nico Collins (5)
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown (5)
Hero Catch = plays in which a WR made an extraordinary catch
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Jared Goff [2022-2023]
in a dome:
+ 19.5 FPG (~QB6)
+ 104.6 passer rating (~QB3)
outdoors:
+ 13.0 FPG (~QB28)
+ 86.5 passer rating ( ~QB25)
Bit unlucky for
#Lions
fantasy players. Only have three games outside all season.
But two of them are in Week 16 and 17:
Semifinals: at CHI
Finals: at SF
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Top-10 QBs by most yards lost to drops:
1. Patrick Mahomes
2. Lamar Jackson
3. Tua Tagovailoa
4. Jordan Love
5. Matthew Stafford
6. Bryce Young 🤔
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2023 First-Read Target Share leaders
[+ on 3rd/4th downs only]
1. D.J. Moore
2. Tyreek Hill
3. Keenan Allen
...
10. Jaxon Smith-Njigba? 👀
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@SleeperNFL
And yet Daniel Jones ranked dead-last in deep throw rate
I wonder if he might benefit from the additions of Parris Campbell (4.31 40-yard-dash) and Jalin Hyatt (4.40)
🤔
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8 Key Coverage Shell Matchups for Week 15
THREAD 👇🧵
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Introducing Stat Spotlight! 🔍
What does the data say about
#FlyEaglesFly
TE Dallas Goedert?
@callmesteveo7
takes a look 👇
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Highest rates of designed targets, 2023
Five players entering Year 2 make up the top-5... will all these coaching staffs continue drawing up plays just for them?
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In 2023, no RB received more rushing attempts off the read option than D'Andre Swift - more than double that of Saquon Barkley.
Saquon Barkley on all carries: 3.9 YPC
On the read option: 5.0 YPC (6th-best)
If this continues under Kellen Moore, it's great for Barkley.
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Air Yards Lost on Drops [2023]
@FantasyPtsData
1. Patrick Mahomes (385)
2. Lamar Jackson (285)
3. Tua Tagovailoa (281)
4. Jordan Love (269)
5. Matthew Stafford (252)
6. Bryce Young (231)
Wild stat from
@KeeganAbdoo
at
@NextGenStats
: Patrick Mahomes lost 363 expected yards to drops this season.
No other QB lost over 300.
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2K
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Eagles WRs (Week 2)
A.J. Brown: 5 first-read targets, 29 receiving yards
DeVonta Smith: 4 first-read targets, 131 receiving yards
Up by 2 touchdowns and AJ Brown is on the sideline whining about not getting the ball. Gotta love a team player. This is the kind of thing that keeps a team from winning it all. Selfish
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1K
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First downs per route run leaders against two high coverage
[+min. 100 routes, 2023]
Drake London with competent QB play could be electrifying.
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Who do teams throw to when afforded single high coverage?
The league's best outside alpha WRs, of course.
First-read target share against single high coverage looks, 2023:
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Highest explosive run rates with 7+ defenders in the box
Bottom-five:
5th-worst - A.J. Dillon
4th-worst - Tyler Allgeier
3rd-worst - Rhamondre Stevenson
2nd-worst - Dameon Pierce
Worst - Ezekiel Elliott
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Week 12 XFP Report
Left: Week 12
Right: Weeks 1-12
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Who are the NFL's go-to deep ball WRs?
First-read target share leaders
[on attempts traveling 20+ yards downfield]
George Pickens showing out 👀
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2023 Yards per Route Run Leaders
[Against two high coverage looks]
In a league where two-high is only becoming more common, it's pretty clear which offensive minds have adjusted well.
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Zay Flowers first-read target share
On all plays: 27.8% (24th)
Plays with pre-snap motion: 37.6% (9th)
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Yards per Target leaders when removing UNCATCHABLE throws
George Pickens was a monster when given the chance to make a play.
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Highest RB target shares with four minutes or less remaining in the half
Who's ready for Bo Nix garbage time checkdowns to Samaje Perine?
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RB leaders in Yards After Contact per Touch
[+min 100 touches, 2023]
- James Conner hangs with the explosive rookies
- Does 👑 Henry still have it?
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They keep on comin'‼️
@GrahamBarfield
is back with another data-filled Off-Season Stat-Pack, this time focusing on the AFC North! 🏈
#RavensFlock
#RuleTheJungle
#Browns
#HereWeGo
Check it out!👇
Full Article --->
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First downs per route run leaders out of the slot, 2023
Jakobi Meyers ran fewer than 30% of his routes from the slot, but he's one of the game's best.
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Our guy
@fball_insights
been putting on a masterclass of all the cool charts you could come up with using
@FantasyPtsData
!
Turnover-worthy throw vs actual interception rates. Above the line means “unlucky”, vice versa for names below
Will Levis chucking rocks into the ocean
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RB Fantasy Points per Game leaders while trailing
Kamara is fed in the passing game like nobody else in the league when the Saints are behind.
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The
@FantasyPtsData
suite is no longer free for all to access
But it's still 75% off at only $50. And you can cancel at any time within the first 6 days for a free money-back guarantee
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2023 Catchable Target Leaders
[On plays the receiver had at least a step of separation]
Evan Engram had an underrated connection with Trevor Lawrence.
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With an ADP hovering around WR36 (ADP 89 overall), are you in or out on the
#Seahawks
wideout without Russell Wilson?
@callmesteveo7
tells the tale of the data 👇
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2023 Targets per Route Run Leaders
[+ on plays the QB is pressured]
Sam LaPorta and David Njoku are the ultimate security-blanket TEs
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Has
@FantasyPtsData
lived up to the hype?
You can check for yourself and access for free on desktop now:
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Does your QB make mistakes in the face of pressure?
Highest turnover-worthy throw rates on pressured dropbacks
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This is cool, but imagine if there was a tool that did all of this research for you 🤔🤫
The Cardinals play Cover 4 at more than 2X the league-average rate (33.9%, 2nd-most)
Texans WR/TEs PPR per route run against Cover 4:
Tank Dell: 7th-best of 135 qualifiers
Dalton Schultz: 8th-best
...
Robert Woods: 32nd-worst
Noah Brown: 21st-worst
Nico Collins: 8th-worst
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Tuesday Stat Spotlight from
@callmesteveo7
centers around
#RedSea
& Kyler Murray... is there a disturbing trend already in the Kliff Kingsbury offense?
#ScoreMore
#FantasyPoints
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2023 explosive run rate leaders
[with 7+ men in the box]
Isiah Pacheco still has no serious backfield competition.
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Our
@FantasyPtsData
staff is on the ground from the
@seniorbowl
in Mobile, Alabama getting first-hand impressions for dynasty players.
@BGWhitefield
has his observations from Day 1 of practices, in both written and podcast form with
@ChrisWechtFF
.
FREE!
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Yards per CATCHABLE Target Leaders
[+on throws 10-19 yards downfield]
Incredibly satisfying to see Diontae Johnson at the top of a stat filtered for catchable targets.
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New Updates to the Data Suite!
- Our OL/DL Matchups Tool is LIVE
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Highest Hero Throw Rates when Pressured
Will Levis also led the NFL in turnover-worthy throw rate while pressured.
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All the advanced data from the early slate yesterday is LIVE in the Data Suite!
The rest of the Sunday games will follow soon!
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Fantasy Points per Route Run Leaders
[When the play includes pre-snap motion]
One day we'll find an efficiency stat Tyreek Hill doesn't lead the NFL in
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How much of an upgrade is Matt Ryan over Carson Wentz for the Colts?
@callmesteveo7
isn't expecting the world, but expects a boosted offense with the former Falcon at the helm
#ColtsNation
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All the advanced data from the Week 5 slate is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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Several WRs who ranked top-12 in air yards share have new QBs in 2024.
Will Garrett Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins, and Diontae Johnson have major bounce-backs?
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See which QBs target RBs, TEs, slot receivers, and outside receivers the most and the least & why it matters for fantasy in
@JakeTribbey
's latest article🏈
QB Positional Target Tendencies article👉
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Red zone pass rate leaders, 2023
Could the Vikings top the chart again with J.J. McCarthy in 2024?
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Both Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill rank into the Top 3 Targets Per Route Run so far in 2022!
#FinsUp
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How about a little data wakeup from
@callmesteveo7
?
We're talkin Brandon Aiyuk this morning 👇
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Week 4 Monday Night Football advanced data has been added Data Suite
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@ScottBarrettDFB
Sir, if I may... I'd recommend consulting with
@FantasyPtsData
before tweeting.
If you had, in this instance, you might have known that backfield targets don't really move the needle for fantasy WRs. Only one WR had more than 3 receptions lined up out of the backfield last year
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This masterpiece, brought to you exclusively by
@FantasyPtsData
This will be the single most important article I'll write for the remainder of this season
Here is everything, seriously EVERYTHING you need to to know from Week 1
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To be a consistent fantasy RB, it's important to remain involved even when the team is playing from behind.
2023 RB route share leaders while trailing:
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.
@GrahamBarfield
dissects the offenses of every AFC East team, breaking them down position-by-position in his latest Off-Season Stat Pack🏈
#FinsUp
#TakeFlight
#ForeverNE
#BillsMafia
Check it out for notable 2021 player/team stats, '22 insights & more!👉
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Fantasy points per game leaders in wins:
Breece Hall on a competent offense could light the league on fire.
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Highest % of team carries inside the five-yard line
[When the game is within two scores]
The league's most trusted goal-line RBs last year included Kareem Hunt and Gus Edwards
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All advanced data from Week 9 is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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Missed Tackles Forced/Attempt leaders
[with 7+ defenders in the box]
Mattison and Pierce look like funny inclusions, but both have always been high-MTF players. They just have deficiencies elsewhere.
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% of yards coming out of the backfield, on jet sweeps, crossing routes, post routes, and screens
Mecole Hardman: 69%
Lynn Bowden: 65%
Laviska Shenault: 50%
Trey Palmer: 21%
Mike Evans: 21%
Chris Godwin: 20%
Panthers HC Dave Canales on what jumped out when watching Xavier Legette
"Out of the backfield. Jet sweeps. Short crossers. Perimeter screens. Down the field posts. There really isn't much else we do with receivers.
He has done it all."
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The start of
@GrahamBarfield
's Stat-Pack series! Notable statistics & reflections at each position for each team 🏈
First up...
#DaBears
#OnePride
#GoPackGo
#Skol
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TE First-read target shares when lined up in the slot or out wide
Aside from their teams really locking onto Kelce, Engram, and McBride...
the Giants tried very hard to make the Darren Waller experiment work.
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WR Fantasy Points per Game leaders, Weeks 10-18
It's easy to anchor to early-season results even months later.
Names like Deebo Samuel, Jayden Reed, and Davante Adams were WR1s down the stretch.
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All Sunday game data is LIVE in the Data Suite!
We appreciate the patience as we get ramped up and anticipate we will have all the data up faster each week!
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Hey
#OnePride
! Will Amon-Ra St. Brown continue his tear from the end of last year?
@callmesteveo7
with the data 👇
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ALL advanced data from Week 7 has been added to the Data Suite!
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Passing Yards per Game Leaders
[+on plays with pre-snap motion]
In 2023, Jalen Hurts ranked 27th of 28 qualifying QBs.
New Eagles OC Kellen Moore's QBs have ranked 2nd and 7th over the past two seasons...
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This tweet started a war in our Discord (DFS channel)
The Washington Commanders throw the ball on a league-high 74.3% of their passes while trailing by at least a touchdown (from
@FantasyPtsData
).
Currently 9.5-point dogs in the highest-total game of the week.
Every lineup this week starts with Sam Howell, or how to beat him.
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HOLY SHIT....THE
@FantasyPtsData
Data SUITE is absolutely and totally RIDICULOUS.
@BGWhitefield
&
@ChrisWechtFF
have crushed this. Their data will provide a layer of context and analysis that WILL ABSOLUTELY give you an edge weekly.
My LORD it's beautiful.
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All Week 12 advanced data is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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All advanced data for the Sunday games is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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Rushing rate leaders when leading by 7+ points in 2023
Kyler aside, if the team improves, there may be more volume for Trey Benson than expected.
0
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If you've enjoyed this thread, consider RTing. Or giving me (
@callmesteveo7
) and
@FantasyPtsData
a follow.
8 Key Coverage Shell Matchups for Week 15
THREAD 👇🧵
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0
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2. Since Mike White took over for the
#Jets
, Garrett Wilson ranks 2nd-best among all qualifying WRs in YPRR against Cover 1 (4.8).
The Lions play Cover 1 at the league's 6th highest rate (27%).
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Yards after contact/attempt leaders
[with 7+ defenders in box, min. 100 carries]
This is your stat, Derrick Henry believers.
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First downs per route run leaders
[on 3rd/4th downs only]
Chris Godwin and Sam LaPorta are notable risers when filtering for high-leverage downs.
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Early slate advanced data for Week 5 has been added to the Data Suite
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All advanced data from the 1PM slate games is LIVE in the Data Suite
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All Week 4 advanced data is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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Could
#DirtyBirds
' Kyle Pitts become the TE1 this season?
@callmesteveo7
dives into the stats behind the sophomore TE's NFL performance so far & how he could shoot up the rankings this season as he'll likely see a ton of action🏈👇
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All early slate advanced data from Week 6 has been added to the Data Suite
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Other minor improvements include the following:
- BASIC RUSHING
- Added weighted opportunity and WO/G
- Added 1+%, 3+%, 5+%, etc. runs from Advanced
Rushing
- Added i5, i10, i20 carry shares
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Read the first word of each of our tweets from today 👀📊🔥
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We're continuing our massive data dump from
@GrahamBarfield
, with an in-depth look at the NFC South, team by team and position by position
#Saints
#GoBucs
#KeepPounding
#RiseUp
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#DirtyBirds
' multi-threat RB/WR Cordarrelle Patterson put up some impressive fantasy numbers before injuring his ankle last season...
When healthy, can Patterson put up the same type of fantasy numbers in 2022?🤔👇
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#RamsHouse
v
#BillsMafia
... what a way to start Week 1!
@callmesteveo7
takes a look at the Rams Offense and Bills Defense in 11 personnel in the latest FPDR Stat Spotlight 👇
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All Week 15 advanced data is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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All Week 17 advanced data is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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All data from Week 1 is now LIVE in the Data Suite!
Time to go find some dank stats!
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I just looked this up and WHAT THE EFFFFF 🤯
Fun with
@FantasyPtsData
...
Can you guess the RB (minimum 25 carries) who has the highest explosive run rate -- percentage of carries to go 15 or more yards?
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Worst stuff rates on zone run concepts
[min. 50 attempts, 2023]
Could Josh Jacobs have problems in the Packers' offense, which ran zone at a top-10 rate in 2023?
(Aaron Jones was stuffed the least often of any qualifying RB)
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1.
#Broncos
WR Jerry Jeudy leads all WRs in YPRR against Cover 1. Against all other coverage shells, he averages just 1.01 YPRR (~WR115).
Unfortunately for him, Arizona plays Cover 1 at the league’s lowest rate (8.9%).
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6.
#Eagles
QB Jalen Hurts has the league's 4th-best passer rating against Cover 1 (112.3). The Bears play Cover 1 at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL (23%).
His favorite receiver against Cover 1 has been A.J. Brown who averages 3.76 YPRR (6th-best among all WRs).
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Yards per Screen Target Leaders, 2023
[min. 10 receptions]
Derrick Henry and Tyjae Spears each averaged 7.00+ YPT and ranked top-10.
Tony Pollard: just 3.93 YPT (bottom-3 among qualifiers)
A new coaching staff, but wouldn't be surprised to see Spears retain passing down work.
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All Week 13 advanced data is LIVE in the Data Suite!
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