Errant Elk
@errantelk
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american explorer of hinterlands: bitcoin, monero, conservatism, austrian, macro, behavioral econ, carbon fuels, gold, silver, geopolitics
Joined June 2014
Grayscale says 'real growing' effort is under way to move activity away from #China, which dominates digital coin #mining. The world's biggest #cryptocurrency asset manager said on Tuesday that it was seeing efforts to shift #bitcoin production to North America from China.
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I just published an update to this note, where I developed an absurdly simple model of how I'd show "Progress in the War against Coronavirus!". It predicts the DAILY reported death rates with ridiculous accuracy. They're. Not. Even. Pretending. Anymore. https://t.co/GeJazNuB7Q
epsilontheory.com
China is fighting nCov2019 exactly like the US fought North Vietnam ... with policy driven more by narrative control than by what's best to win the war. That was a disastrous strategic mistake for...
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*** Update: my 2 sats on #bitcoin price: - 2020: btc stays above $8200 (so we are NOT dropping to $6k or $4k levels that others are predicting now) - May 2020 halving: will be above $10k - 2021: bull run starts after the halving and tops $100k before Dec 2021 #NotFinancialAdvice
My 2 cents on #bitcoin price: - 2019: btc stays above 200-week moving average (now $3200 and historically never declining) - 2020 halving: will be around $8000 (blue), on trend-line like 2012 & 2016 - 2021: bull run starts after the halving (red) and tops $100k in 2021 (orange)
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#Bitcoin mining: Estimated Next Difficulty: 5,681,238,052,684 (-14.61%)
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The best way to peacefully protest is to use your voice + money to exit the system oppressing you. #BuyBitcoin #parisprotests
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the system is self-crediting; it encourages individuals to participate and provide infrastructure and liquidity, even utility to it.
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the price swings grow in force over time but generally in ever decreasing magnitude.
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this yo-yo effect (yin-yang) moves but in multiple dimensions, along multiple axes.
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