Daniel Byman
@dbyman
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Professor @GeorgetownSFS and senior fellow @CSIS. Foreign Policy editor @lawfareblog. Despondent Hoyas basketball fan. RT ≠ etc
Washington, DC
Joined May 2011
Exactly -- there will be outrageous claims without little support, but the goal is clearly intimidation (with Patel seeking to score some points with Trump)
Regarding Bolton raid: the FBI with Trump had requested for a year that he give them the classified info they knew he had. This is pure intimidation on Bolton. But there will be no conviction… it’s the raid that is the message. And nobody will be intimidated by Eyes McGhee
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One Question Looming Over Israel-Hamas Truce Deal—Why Now? https://t.co/4AJo7YmhdJ
foreignpolicy.com
Biden has been pushing for an agreement for more than a year.
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"For too long, the United States and Europe have turned a blind eye to Russia's "ghost fleet" of oil tankers, relying on often late and feckless sanctions to counter Moscow’s illicit economic lifeline," writes @BenjamJensen. Read more:
csis.org
Russia’s ghost fleet is more than an economic lifeline—it’s a covert weapon in hybrid warfare. Through sabotage, sanctions evasion, and undersea disruption, Moscow’s shadowy armada demands bold...
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I put together a post on "Islamic State-Related Arrests In the U.S. In 2024" to hopefully provide some context and show that the New Orleans attack fits with a higher attack plot tempo we saw in 2024 vs. 2023 and with a broader ex-ops picture globally.
jihadologyplus.com
In light of the seemingly IS-related attack in New Orleans on New Years, it is worth exploring the type of arrests, including attack plots there were in the U.S. in the past year
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🧵SYRIA: Sharaa Arabiya interview • News it’s granted to Arabiya • Longest interview yet: Elections cud take 4 yrs,constitution 3 yrs • HTS to dissolve at nat’l conference • Israel was going to enter Syria • Flatters Saudi🇸🇦 • Syrian victory one for Arab Gulf vs Iran 1/3
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"US foreign policy in the region could change on a dime... #Trump has already stated the US should have “nothing to do” with #Syria’s future. But to do nothing would give #ISIS a chance to surge once again." My latest in @nytimes: https://t.co/qyvI5yHndy
nytimes.com
With the fall of al-Assad’s regime, the risk of an ISIS resurgence increases.
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Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s drone unit, the Al-Shaheen Brigade, helped carry the Syrian opposition to Damascus. Reuben Dass assesses their capabilities in the Foreign Policy Essay.
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Excellent analysis (and no, I'm not biased):
foreignpolicy.com
Syria’s ruling family had shaped its security agencies to fend off coups, not uprisings.
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My thoughts in the stunning developments in #Syria:
lawfaremedia.org
The dictator’s demise will be cause for celebration, though it will open up new dangers for the region and for U.S. interests there.
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Russia Plotted to Put Incendiary Devices on Cargo Planes, Officials Say
nytimes.com
Western officials are investigating whether devices planted at shipping hubs in Europe may have been a test run by Russian operatives for placing them on planes bound for the U.S.
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My thoughts on the killing of Sinwar:
foreignpolicy.com
While the Hamas leader’s death represents a political victory for Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel is no closer to a realistic plan for governing Gaza.
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A compact summary in @TheAtlantic of the arguments @PhillipsPOBrien and I have put forth in our recently released @CSIS report on why so much of the analysis of the Russian and Ukrainian militaries before the war was badly off.
theatlantic.com
On questions of war and peace, governments must hear from many types of experts.
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Another sad milestone: 12 years since Austin Tice was abducted in Syria.
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My thoughts on the challenges for Israel in a conflict with Hezbollah:
foreignpolicy.com
The group would remain a threat to Israel even after a war.
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"The leader of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Ziyad al-Nakhalah, was staying next door," Bomb Smuggled Into Tehran Guesthouse Months Ago Killed Hamas Leader
nytimes.com
An explosive device hidden in a heavily guarded complex where Ismail Haniyeh was known to stay in Iran was what killed him, according to a Times investigation.
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Pretty amazing tradecraft: Bomb Smuggled Into Tehran Guesthouse Months Ago Killed Hamas Leader
nytimes.com
An explosive device hidden in a heavily guarded complex where Ismail Haniyeh was known to stay in Iran was what killed him, according to a Times investigation.
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My thoughts with @SethGJones: A Hezbollah War Would Be Israel’s Biggest Challenge in Decades - The militant group is experienced, well-armed, and prepared.
foreignpolicy.com
The militant group is experienced, well-armed, and prepared.
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