Explicit antisemitic attitudes are now much more common among young voters - 18 year old registered voters are now ~5x more likely to say that they have an unfavorable view of the Jewish people than 65 year olds.

@curcuas @SashaGusevPosts @Aintropy @_alice_evans We’ve seen:. 1) a dramatic short term increase in diagnosed mental illness and N-linked psychometric items first among teenagers and then among young adults.2) highly cohort specific bipartisan support for cold blooded murder mediated by (1).3) A sudden and dramatic shift in

Pew validates another finding that has been floating around in various forms (including analysis by @davidshor) -- a large, disproportionate shift towards Trump in 2024 among naturalized immigrants. Here quantified at +17R (vs the +5R shift among US-born citizens).

Excited to join @ezraklein to talk through what happened in 2024. There's a turnout story this cycle, but not the one we're used to talking about. With less-engaged and less-likely voters becoming more Republican, a larger turnout meant a more GOP electorate.

@ksusys @bhtyson @mattyglesias @cwarshaw Yes - treatment effects are generally proportional to log of length but cost is mostly linear except on the very low end (precisely because of the log). You see this in industry where most of the action has moved to 15 second and even six second ads as measurement has improved.