David 🇺🇸
@david_eng_mba
Followers
10K
Following
48K
Media
429
Statuses
2K
Managing Partner, Energy Company. Engineer, MBA; USC, CSU, & Stanford
California, USA
Joined October 2013
The most profound human insights often emerge from the intersection of disciplines, where diverse perspectives collide and new ideas are born. This insight highlights the power of blending knowledge from different fields—science, art, technology, or philosophy—to spark innovation
31
8
309
@saylor @dgt10011 @cz_binance @LynAldenContact @GrantCardone @Strategy @MicroStrategy It’s critical to understand who is actually moving the market. ETFs move price only with real cash. Meaningful spot moves require hundreds of millions in inflows. Derivatives use leverage. With ~$5–10M in option premium, a trader can control ~$100M of exposure. The trader
7
1
48
THE $300M GAMMA TRAP: How Dealer Algorithms Are Pinning Bitcoin at $87K Before the Snap 1. The Standoff: Trapped Between Two Walls As of this morning, Bitcoin is trading at $87,378. The price action is not random; it is mechanically trapped in a tight range defined by massive
37
40
327
The Death of the 4-Year Cycle and the Path to the Next $600K Super-Cycle Current Price: $88K Many on X and social media are still echoing a 4-year cycle false narrative. Let’s kill it tonight. Investors wedded to the 4-Year Cycle are selling now for one simple reason: their
59
107
599
THE ETF ILLUSION VS. THE DERIVATIVE REALITY: THE DEC 26 UNLOCK Retail observers often look to ETF volume as the primary driver of price. The data suggests this is currently a mistake. ETF Activity: The flow analysis shows a Neutral direction with low confidence. While IBIT
26
22
221
THE 96-HOUR COIL: Why Bitcoin Is Pinned at $88K and When It Breaks Bitcoin is not “chopping.” It is trapped. Price is being mechanically restrained by option-dealer hedging, not sentiment. This structure is tight, quantifiable, and time-bound. It is likely resolves in 96 hours.
69
134
901
1
0
17
The Physics of Price: Rigorous Mathematical Proof of a $600k Bitcoin Super-Cycle The decade-long Bitcoin narrative of a rigid “4-year halving cycle” is mathematically dead. Markets assumed price peaks arrived like clockwork every four years. That belief is now the main source
40
72
393
BITCOIN IS MATHEMATICALLY COILED FOR $118K+ 16 years of data. 5,636 daily observations. R^2~98%. The Log Periodic Power-Law model (LPPL) has predicted every major cycle peak since 2011. Right now, the math is screaming one thing: The spring is loaded. 1. The Signal: Coiling
58
114
661
THE GREAT UNCOILING: Why Bitcoin’s ~$88k "Prison" is Actually a Launchpad for December 26 You think "buyers and sellers" are controlling this price action. You are wrong. Right now, Bitcoin is not free. It is serving a prison sentence in a cell built by six mathematical Greek
79
158
1K
Pinned at $88k: A Neutral Coil Waiting for the December 26th Gamma Release The Current State: Trapped in the Dealer's Cage Bitcoin is currently trading at $88,153, effectively trapped in a tight "dealer pin" between two massive liquidity walls. The market is in a state of
44
103
586
Bitcoin Resilience at $87K as the Carry Trade Threat Fizzles History Going into December, the historical precedent was terrifying. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) was poised to hike rates to 0.75% the highest level since 1995. For Bitcoiners, "BOJ Hike" had become synonymous with
17
25
210
THE $23.8 BILLION NOTIONAL EXPLOSION: HOW A DECEMBER 26 UNWIND UNLOCKS BITCOIN’S PATH TO $118K Spot Price: ~$85,500 Bitcoin is currently staging the ultimate deception. To the untrained eye, the market looks stagnant, stuck endlessly at $85,000. But the data reveals this is not
95
317
1K
@saylor @MicroStrategy @cz_binance Dealer Gamma forces are currently ~13x stronger than ETF Flows Dealer ~$507.6M ETF ~$38M This is why the market is obeying the technical gamma levels ($85k/$90k) and ignoring the ETF volume.
2
11
174
The $415M Gamma Flush: Why The Next 8 Days Define The Cycle The narrative isn't just about tomorrow. We are staring down the barrel of a "Double-Barreled" Liquidity Event that will wipe 67% of the entire derivatives board clean by December 26th. Bitcoin is trading at $88,752,
153
302
2K
The Great Compression: A Tale of Two Realities, the $118,000 Power Law Magnet is pulling, but a "Gamma Head Lock" is currently holding it back. I. The Sovereign Trend (The Macro) For over a decade, Bitcoin has lived within the Power Law Corridor. Looking at the Log-Log chart,
16
43
210
The $118K Magnet: Bitcoin’s Great Institutional Absorption The market of December 2025 has become a coiled spring, defined by a stark divergence between short-term derivatives suppression and the long-term mathematical gravity of the $118,106 Power Law Trend Value. At a current
6
18
105