Cygnal Polling & Analytics
@cygnal
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Polling firm. Pioneer of multi-mode research. Creating intelligence for action by understanding opinions, hearts, and minds.
Washington, DC
Joined April 2013
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Pinned Tweet
"The biggest motivator in politics is human emotion. Strong emotions around anger and enthusiasm are key drivers in fundraising."
@brentbuc
joined Neil Cavuto to discuss why Trump's numbers are up and Biden is still spending $ on persuading voters.
via
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170
"Currently, no data suggests a scenario where Trump endures multiple upsets ahead of Super Tuesday. Iowa is the first state to give us an indication of how things will shakeout..." Read
@MitchBrown_GOP
's full op-ed here:
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808
BUCHANAN: Voters Are Clearly Telling Republicans How To Win Them Over via
@dailycaller
@brentbuc
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76
509
Check out this article by
@RebeccaRoseGold
which includes our latest
#nationalpoll
on how Americans feel about the Hamas terrorist attacks on
#Israel
and the rise of anti-Semitism in the U.S.
⚠️⚠️⚠️
Rashida Tlaib Featured in Pro-Hamas Ad Calling on Muslims to Withhold Support
23
106
404
ICYMI, our latest national
#poll
, conducted by
@MitchBrown_GOP
, revealed some interesting numbers on how voters feel about
#abortion
, especially as GOP presidential candidates look to distinguish themselves ahead of next week's debate.
via
@townhallcom
18
61
383
“We’ve seen the majority of voter sentiment related to LGBTQ issues move toward a belief that the movement has become too extreme, mostly due to recent advocacy of children transitioning from their biological sex,” said
@MitchBrown_GOP
“The White House’s display is just the
11
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242
New national poll on Israel attacks and antisemitism in the U.S.:
@BenShapiro
sharing his thoughts of new Cygnal data on "The Ben Shapiro Show"
Audio Source:
@realDailyWire
Youtube
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238
"The main factor here, again, is this election is coming down to 45,000 voters spread across 4 to 5 states..." -
@MitchBrown_GOP
Listen to the full radio interview on our website now:
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Congratulations to our first-ever 30 Under Thirty group of rising stars! These individuals are recognized by their peers as a rising generation of ambitious and talented professionals working in government, politics, or advocacy groups. Full list here:
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Great article by
@guypbenson
on some of the alarming polling numbers coming out on this issue.
Here's the Good News, and the Scary News, About Polling on Israel and Hamas via
@townhallcom
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In our Ohio tracking survey, higher daily gas prices have been linked directly with a higher Republican vote share. Pain at the pump translates to pain at the polls for the President's party.
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"These base groups are problematic for Biden. Black voters, Hispanic voters, and young voters are all showing really anomalistically negative opinions for a Democratic president." LISTEN now to our latest Pulse Pod ep. with
@brockmccleary
&
@rudnicknoah
:
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9
71
How exactly does
@RobertKennedyJr
's independent bid affect a head to head matchup with Hispanics in FL, TX, NV, and AZ? Check out this article by
@stephanie_murr
to learn more on our recent
#poll
:
0
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@ProudElephantUS
@IAPolls2022
It's not weird, it's transparent. And to be clear: this is NOT an internal poll for Vivek nor did his campaign pay for it. Vivek's pollster is on our team but was not involved in this national poll. The lead pollster for this was
@ChrisLaneMA
. Again, facts matter.
10
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NEW CYGNAL POLL:
@TTuberville
is up 14 points in the Alabama Senate race over incumbent
@SenDougJones
.
“With a two-touchdown lead and the election deep in the fourth quarter, Coach Tuberville is set to become Senator Tuberville." –
@RosenKratz
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"Republicans have to seize this moment. Our nation is at a crossroads to stop the invasion at our southern border, and voters want action and believe that Republicans are the party best suited to do so. Will our leaders answer this call?"
@MitchBrown_GOP
6
11
62
It's that time of year again! 🎄🎁 For the 2nd year in a row, we've asked Americans a very important question... what classic Christmas movie stands above the rest? And the results ARE IN:
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This is just in:
@joekent16jan19
is making considerable headway with voters.
@MitchBrown_GOP
has the data and insights.
Poll: Joe Kent Positioned to Advance from WA-03 Jungle Primary According to ’22 Voters via
@cygnal
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Check out Cygnal's recent National Voter Trends Panel with Founder & President Brent Buchanan and Data Expert Noah Whyof-Rudnick!
Watch here:
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@nickrader99
@IAPolls2022
This is NOT an internal poll for Vivek nor did his campaign pay for it. Vivek's pollster is on our team was not involved in this national poll. The lead pollster for this was
@ChrisLaneMA
. Facts matter folks.
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Ambrosia = Cancelled! In 5 out of 6 regions of the country, it's the LEAST favorite side dish. How would you have voted on this poll?
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"This article attempts to answer the question of why the polls show good numbers for Republicans that don’t always bear out in final results and why current polling might be off." New blog post Are Dems In Disarray? It Depends When You Poll💻
@rudnicknoah
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"We all have been in that political conversation. The one where we feel like there’s almost zero benefit in getting into your actual perspective — and desperately seeking the path of least resistance to its conclusion." by Cygnal Pollster
@ChrisLaneMA
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@Monie625
@Politics_Polls
Sounds like you're not familiar with multimode polling. We have a ton of info on our website about it which should help bring you up to speed. And you can find the age breakdown of respondents with the link below.
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CYGNAL POLL: MI likely 2022 general election voters ticked off at direction of the state and Governor Whitmer specifically. “Heck, only 41% believe Whitmer should be re-elected. That’s a rough place to be seventeen months from Election Day.” -
@brentbuc
1
4
20
Tomorrow's the last NVT Live of the year w/
@brockmccleary
and
@rudnicknoah
at 3p ET. Join or listen in on Zoom to discover where
#voters
stand politically just before the holidays! Sign up for free here:
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🎉 Exciting news🎉 Cygnal received an A in
@fivethirtyeight
's new pollster ratings - make us the 🚨 most ACCURATE 🚨 private polling firm! Our mission is to disrupt the industry creating intelligence for action - as 538 just validated we're doing well.
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A new GOP candidate rises in our latest national poll -
@VivekGRamaswamy
(11%) overtakes
@RonDeSantis
(10%) at 2nd. 📈
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Key voter groups that led to GOP victories in VA and NJ in 2021 are continuing their shift towards GOP. Republicans only lost women by 9 points in Virginia last year. That number has shrunk to 3 points in our latest national poll, pointing to a stronger GOP wave coming in 2022.
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@Politics_Polls
Quick reminder: "generic" means any Republican, not a specific, named one. It provides an anchor by which to compare a named ballot (like Trump v Biden). Not meant to describe the type of Republican.
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The Cygnal team is growing! Get to know the newest Cyngalers. First up, Noah Rudnick our Director of Research and Election Data Junkie.
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Want to know what Ukrainians, Europeans, Brits, and Americans think about the War, global institutions, and world leaders? We just finished a joint multi-national, ten-language poll to find out what Westerners and Ukrainians believe. Get the FIRST LOOK!
0
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Are you invested in
#crypto
? Voters differ by age on whether they own or are interested in it. Over 40% of those under 35 own or are considering owning some cryptocurrency but the over 65 crowd is uninterested…oh, and watch out for Big Gov’t…they’re trying to regulate it!
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@CClarkNMSPress
@Politics_Polls
Cory - feel free to dig into the data with the link below. Slide 46 may be useful to start. You can then cross reference with other polls you research.
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Check out Cygnal Pollster
@ChrisLaneMA
's new op-ed on
#schoolchoice
in
#GA
in
@JAMESOnlineGA
out TODAY!
From The Forum: Here is what the data says about parental school choice in Georgia
#gapol
#schoolchoice
#education
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In our latest blog post, in-depth analysis explores new results that reveals President Trump was able to gain more net votes in the 2020 election from half the counties that typically lean left than in 2016.
Want to learn more? Visit our website:
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If you like
#election
#data
as much as we do, you are going to love our latest blog post. Our resident election data junkie,
@rudnicknoah
, has created an interactive graphic that shows the presidential election margin in all 435 seats broken out by year.
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"We are seeing the shift in the political class breakdown in America right now. Republicans are no longer the Republicans of 2000 or 2004 (...) The biggest breakdown indicator of how you vote is now education level and income." Listen to
@MitchBrown_GOP
:
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🎉 We're thrilled to share that
@cygnal
has been named a Finalist for
@C_and_E
's 2023 Reed Awards! Thanks to our amazing team and leaders who always go above and beyond. Next stop: Vegas!
#ReedAwards
#teamwork
0
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A majority, including 63% of Independents, disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President, with 43% saying they strongly disapprove. Want to see more key data like this? Sign up for our panel this Thursday to discover more insights from this month:
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As
@taylorswift13
and
@tkelce
rumors have circled throughout the entertainment and sports worlds, Swifties have taken to social media to share their own thoughts on this new potential romance. But who exactly considers themself a true "Swifty?"
1
6
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Check out our 2022 Polling Retrospective blog for 🔑 insights on how women's political preferences evolved in 2022 (especially after the Dobbs decision). Cygnal saw state-by-state differences & trends that a national poll didn't pick up! 👀👇
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Big thanks to City & State PA for letting the world know what Brock's clients and coworkers have been saying for years: "He's the best pollster in Republican politics."
Congratulations,
@brockmccleary
!
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Join our NVT Live panel THIS THURSDAY (8/10) at 1p ET for an in-depth analysis on our new national polling data 📊 and more led by
@ChrisLaneMA
and
@rudnicknoah
. Secure your spot here:
1
5
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Blue Wave? A lot more likely after what we've seen the last 2 days with voters <50. Even in AL, voters <50 showed a jump in intensity; they're D+11. Races tightened; overall generic ballot dropped for GOP by 4 pts. If this holds, could be a bad night for GOP across the country.
1
11
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You may have been hearing about "density polarization" to refer to the new
#political
#realignment
. But is that really what is predicting realignment? Cygnal dug deep and found that it is not. What is? Find out in our newest blog post.
0
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📈 📈 A growing trend we’ve been seeing in our monthly national voter survey: More Independent male voters are shifting their stance to a Republican who will be a check-and-balance to Biden's policies. (+10 since last June)
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U.S. STAGFLATION: With GDP growth slowing to 1.6% in Q1, inflation high and holding steady, and prices still soaring at the pump, grocery stores, etc, it's no surprise that 91% of voters continue to be concerned for their households – particularly young women and parents.
0
4
10
Cygnal Poll: Ukrainians view of UK, US, EU
Net Favorability
UK: +56
US: +33
EU: +42
"Prime Minister Boris Johnson offered an extra £100million in aid earlier this week, taking the UK's total offer of support to the current crisis to around £400million."
1
2
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In our brand new national
#poll
,
#Independent
voters drive the economic concerns of
#inflation
and the economy (27%) while GOP voters drive illegal
#immigration
(25%), making them the top two issues for voters in April.
0
4
10
Our team is honored to receive the 2022 Reed Award for Innovation in Survey Research for our service Momentum! We especially want to congratulate Cygnaler
@rudnicknoah
who led the development of this groundbreaking methodology. Check out Momentum here:
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4
10
🚨 Cygnal Poll in the News 🚨
A new Cygnal
#poll
, conducted for Civitas Institute &
@JohnLockeNC
reveals that
#Biden
's approval rating sits at just 42% among Carolinians, while Gov. Roy Cooper's job approval drops to 45%.
0
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@ChrisLaneMA
never wanted to work for a
#political
vendor. He is now Cygnal's newest Director of Client Strategy. What made him change his mind? Find out in our latest blog post.
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As inflation hits a new 40-year-high, economic concerns from voters continue to soar. 58% of female voters believe the economy is getting worse, up 15 points from last summer according to Cygnal data.
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Congrats to our AMAZING team! We were thrilled to receive the 2023 Reed Award for 'Innovation in Survey Research' last night. For us, what happens in Vegas won't just stay in Vegas - we are ready to continue disrupting the industry with our multi-national team of innovators!🏆🎉
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The result of the Kansas abortion rights referendum reinforced what we saw in our July National Voter Survey where enthusiasm among moderate women was up 7 points from June.
0
4
9
March Battlegrounds Poll: 230 days until Election Day, and 56% of voters strongly disapprove of the job
@JoeBiden
has done in office. 57% have a unfavorable view of VP
@KamalaHarris
. Another month of poor numbers for the Biden administration...
0
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@Politics_Polls
We appreciate some of the more informed comments here and if anyone would actually like to dig into the data, including the partisan breakdown of respondents and exact questions we asked, you can find everything in the link below.
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Join
@ChrisLaneMA
&
@rudnicknoah
in just ONE week for our first NVT Live of the 2024
#election
year. New national data hot off the press🔥 + ask our experts questions LIVE. Sign up here:
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"Republicans need to stop complaining about slim majorities and deliver on the policy front to gain a bigger advantage on the political one." - Cygnal President & Founder
@brentbuc
in The Ripon Forum
@RiponSociety
1
5
8
CYGNAL INTERNATIONAL POLL: "A broad majority of Western respondents support their countries providing financial aid to Ukraine, with 69.8% in the U.S., 79.5% in the U.K. and 75.3% in the EU approving the move."
0
4
8
Excited to change the game in this election year? Join
@brentbuc
at "Election Year Advocacy: Tools, Tactics, and Best Practices" webinar on April 11 at 2p ET. Learn how to focus your advocacy efforts for maximum influence! 🗓️
#Election2024
Sign up here:
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TUNE IN: New November national polling data out now.
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🎙️Just two days away from the South Carolina primary, our latest national poll shows
@realDonaldTrump
at 76%, with
@NikkiHaley
at 18% on the GOP prez primary ballot... Listen to our NEW Pulse Pod ep. here:
@ChrisLaneMA
@rudnicknoah
0
5
8
Our newest Cygnal Pulse Pod is out now! Our guest this week is Nick Everhart, Founder and President of Content Creative Media. What advice does Nick have for current and future candidates?
Listen to the full podcast:
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5
8
"We need to touch back in on what really drives people. Yes, people care about the economy, but it's not what's deciding their vote. I think this is coming back to
#immigration
for this election."
@MitchBrown_GOP
on
@AlexGPodcast
:
@AlexGNYC1
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8
WATCH
@brentbuc
on
@RealAmVoice
discuss who these "ticked-off working class voters" are and what Trump, Biden, and RFK must do to win them over: (2:50)
0
3
8
Our own
@RosenKratz
led a great panel on The Business of the Business at the 55th Annual
@OfficialIAPC
conference in London. He of course had people laughing in addition to leading a brilliant discussion.
0
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As we celebrate our freedom today, don’t forget those who sacrificed their lives protecting it.
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According to our most recent nationwide survey, Democrats favorability continues to slide as concerns about the direction of the country continue to rise. 60% of Independents say they have an unfavorable view of the party.
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Cygnal data shows voters continue to be dissatisfied with Biden's job in office... with an increase of unhappy middle class voters at 54%.
0
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7
In the first few months of '24, Cygnal has welcomed 11 new & returning team members: Paulina, Fred, Patrizia, Alexa, Angelyn, Mike, Ramoncito, Rizza, Carlisle, Ronald, and Jan Andrew. We are excited to continue to see them grow! Learn more about our team:
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Cygnal is proud to announce that the International Association of Political Consultants (IAPC) elects CEO, Brent Buchanan, to the Board of Directors as Treasurer!
0
3
8
Founder and CEO, Brent Buchanan, was featured on
@C_and_E
's Firm Founders where he talks about the evolution of online panel research, why phone polling can no longer stand on its own, and why Cygnal budgets for experimentation. Check out the interview!
0
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8
🚨 News Flash: $4.65/gallon average is still NOT affordable for many people across our country, and the Biden administration has no answers. That's why the inflation issue continues to remain at the top every month for voters. Discover
@rudnicknoah
's insight on this top issue ⬇️
0
5
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Only 2 days away - our next Battleground Zoom Presentation with VP of Polling
@brockmccleary
... Sign up today to get your link to this upcoming Zoom + a chance to win some awesome Cygnal swag 🧢. Sign up here:
0
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Exciting news! NVT Live is back next week with
@MitchBrown_GOP
&
@rudnicknoah
sharing the latest data trends and analysis. Make sure to sign up for the free Zoom call here: - see you there!
0
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NEW SENATE POLL:
@BillHagertyTN
up by 20 points in Tennessee. "Hagerty has consolidated the Republican vote and he’s up 4 points among Independents—that’s a huge cushion that assures he’ll become the next Senator from Tennessee.” —
@brentbuc
#tnsen
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Our founder and CEO, Brent Buchanan, never stops! Yesterday, he spoke at
@C_and_E
's 2021 Reed Awards/Conference. The event embodies the celebration of excellence in political
#campaigning
, political consulting, and design. Brent spoke on company growth and acquisition.
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🎄What an awesome celebration with the Cygnal team last week at our company meeting & Christmas party in Washington, D.C.!
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And... this online panel is FREE! Secure your spot here:
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This Memorial Day, we remember and honor the incredible men and women who have sacrificed so much to keep this great nation free.
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