CNalysis
@CNalysis
Followers
10,061
Following
9
Media
100
Statuses
872
Your go-to source for nonpartisan state legislative election forecasts and analysis across the country since 2020. Founded by @ChazNuttycombe
Virginia, USA
Joined February 2020
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
連続テレビ小説
• 84448 Tweets
Abema
• 66137 Tweets
AG SPACE LIVE WITH BUILD
• 52253 Tweets
BENVENUTA A CAPRI JENNIE
• 50039 Tweets
BELIFT APOLOGISE TO NEWJEANS
• 35917 Tweets
世界配信
• 32058 Tweets
#TOBE
• 27088 Tweets
Gala Night x WS
• 25696 Tweets
#マソタソパソ
• 19495 Tweets
#超特急CDデビュー12周年おめでとう
• 18933 Tweets
システム再構築
• 17844 Tweets
FAYE HEART SOLO COVER
• 17594 Tweets
篠澤広の肋骨
• 17043 Tweets
ティザー
• 16295 Tweets
システム全体
• 16263 Tweets
REBORN
• 15745 Tweets
封神演義
• 15527 Tweets
#長そでポロシャツ
• 15399 Tweets
メビちゃん
• 13724 Tweets
12Days Left Kabir Prakat Diwas
• 12688 Tweets
スラムダンク
• 11915 Tweets
🚨 State Legislative Chamber Rating Change 🚨
We are getting rid of our final Toss-Up in our forecasts:
TX House | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
D Maj. 50%
R Maj. 44.4%
Tie 5.6%
See our nationwide state legislative forecast:
71
245
1K
🚨 TX House Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing final TEC filings, we have 17 rating changes in the TX House, all favoring Democrats.
As a result of these changes (below)...
TX House | Tilt R → Toss-Up
48.2% R Majority
5.7% Tie
46.1% D Majority
21
116
467
🚨 Iowa House Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing the final campaign finance reports in IA, we have 12 rating changes in the House, most favoring D's. As a result of these changes, we are also changing the rating for the chamber.
IA House | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
9
80
432
We have moved the Arizona House of Representatives from Toss-Up to Tilt D. We will write about why this is in our October 6th update piece.
Democrats are now favored to flip 2 state legislative chambers: the MN Senate and AZ House. Republicans are favored to flip 0.
5
35
185
🚨 MI House Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing the final campaign finance reports, we are making 13 changes in the chamber, most favoring D's.
As a result of these changes:
MI House | Toss-Up → Tilt D
51.9% D majority
10.0% Tie
38.1% R majority
1
26
132
🚨 Chamber Rating Change 🚨
The AZ State Senate has moved from Toss-Up to Tilt D in our ratings. Upon reexamination, we moved SD-17 from Tilt R to Toss-Up, which caused the odds of either a D majority or a tie to go up to a total of 55.3%.
5
25
130
🚨 KS Rating Changes 🚨
We have a whopping 15 rating changes in KS between the State Senate and State House, most favor Democrats. As a result of this, Democrats are favored to break both Republican supermajorities in the chambers.
2
17
118
🚨 State Legislative Chamber Rating Change 🚨
Texas House of Representatives | Lean R → Tilt R
GOP Majority | 63.6%
Tie | 5.6%
DEM Majority | 30.8%
🚨 TX House Rating Changes 🚨
We've just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in TX. As a result, we have 7 rating changes in the TX House, all toward Democrats.
1
10
105
7
24
118
🚨 WY Rating Changes 🚨
We only have one state legislative rating change after viewing campaign finance reports in WY...
WY HD-55 | Toss-Up → Tilt Libertarian
7
27
99
🚨 TX House Rating Changes 🚨
We've just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in TX. As a result, we have 7 rating changes in the TX House, all toward Democrats.
1
10
105
We have moved PA HD-10 from Lean R to Tilt D. We initially moved this seat from Safe R to Lean R when incumbent Aaron Bernstine (R) posted videos on his Snapchat story of him giving his 5-year-old son a cigar to smoke.
Thread.
5
20
103
🚨 Chamber Rating Change 🚨
The PA State Senate has moved from Safe R to Likely R in our ratings, as there is now a 13.3% of a tie in the chamber. Upon reexamination, we moved SD-49 from Toss-Up to Tilt D and SD-13 from Likely R to Lean R.
2
13
91
PA SD-09 | Tilt D → Lean D (FLIP)
PA SD-13 | Lean R → Tilt R
PA HD-18 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
PA HD-142 | Likely R → Lean R
PA HD-155 | Likely D → Safe D
PA HD-170 | Likely R → Lean R
4
11
89
🚨KY Rating Changes🚨
After going through partial recent finance reports in Kentucky, we have a few rating changes, all in favor of
@KyDems
.
State House:
HD-29 | Tilt R → Toss-Up
HD-33 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-81 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-88 | Tilt D → Lean D
5
11
72
CALL: Incumbent Delegate Steve Heretick (D) has LOST the Democratic primary for VA HD-79 in the Hampton Roads area from a primary challenge to his left in Nadarius Clark (D)
November rating: Solid Democratic
0
5
73
🚨 MN Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing the final campaign finance reports in MN, we have 11 rating changes between the State Senate and State House, all in favor of Democrats.
The State Senate remains Lean D and the State House remains Likely D.
3
8
70
Our final state legislative chamber ratings...
See our predictions for all 5,240 single-member districts up this year:
🚨 FINAL STATE LEGISLATIVE FORECAST 🚨
@CNalysis
final forecast gives Democrats a net gain of 123 seats in single-member districts nationwide and a net gain of five state legislative chambers.
Read our 8,000+ word analysis here:
17
135
477
5
13
70
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Today we're launching forecasts in Minnesota, one of the few states with two competitive chambers. It's also one of two states with a chamber favored to flip to the Republicans this year (Minnesota House)
1
9
61
CALL: Terry McAuliffe (D) has won the Democratic primary for VA Governor.
November rating: Lean Democratic
1
8
65
CALL: Incumbent Delegate Lee Carter (D) has LOST the Democratic primary for VA HD-50 in the Northern Virginia area to challenger Michelle Maldonado (D)
November rating: Very Likely Democratic (shift from Likely Democratic)
2
6
66
As a result of these rating changes, the odds of the Coalition have improved enough for this rating change:
AK House | Tilt Coalition (D-aligned) → Lean Coalition (D-aligned)
🚨 AK Rating Changes 🚨
We just finished going through campaign finance reports in Alaska, and have 5 rating changes as a result
AK SD-L | Lean R → Tilt R
AK HD-15 | Lean R → Tilt R
AK HD-25 | Toss-Up → Tilt I (FLIP)
AK HD-27 | Tilt R → Toss-Up
AK HD-28 | Likely R → Lean R
1
1
46
1
6
64
🚨 FL Rating Changes 🚨
After going through recent campaign finance reports in Florida, we have a *lot* of rating changes, most of them toward Republicans.
In the State House:
HD-15 | Tilt R → Lean R
HD-26 | Tilt D → Toss-Up
HD-27 | Likely R → Safe R
3
11
62
FL House | Safe R → Likely R
NC Senate | Lean R → Tilt R
MN Senate | Tilt D → Lean D (FLIP)
2
4
60
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Our forecast for the Kansas House of Representatives is now out. Republicans are favored in 90 seats and Democrats are favored in 30. There's a 9-in-10 chance of a GOP supermajority.
1
5
60
As a result of this, the odds of a Democratic majority have improved enough to where we are changing our chamber rating for the Pennsylvania House of Representatives.
PA House | Lean R → Tilt R
We have moved PA HD-10 from Lean R to Tilt D. We initially moved this seat from Safe R to Lean R when incumbent Aaron Bernstine (R) posted videos on his Snapchat story of him giving his 5-year-old son a cigar to smoke.
Thread.
5
20
103
4
14
63
Arizona Republicans have held their majority in the Arizona House of Representatives.
2
3
61
🚨 AZ Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing final campaign finance reports in AZ we have 3 changes in our forecast. 1 favor's R's, 2 favor D's.
As a result of these changes...
AZ Senate | Tilt D → Lean D (FLIP)
50.6% D Majority
20.8% Tie
28.6% R Majority
2
12
58
🚨 GA Rating Changes 🚨
Most districts in GA have both candidates filing their recent campaign finance reports, still some stragglers. Of those in districts where both candidates have filed a report, we have 12 rating changes, all favoring Democrats.
1
9
57
🚨 CO Rating Changes 🚨
We have two rating changes tonight in Colorado after going through recent campaign finance reports, both favoring Democrats.
SD-08 | Safe R → Lean R
HD-38 | Lean D → Likely D (FLIP)
2
3
54
🚨 FL Rating Changes 🚨
We have gone through partial finance reports in Florida. Still some stragglers we will check back with tomorrow. After going through districts where both candidates have filed, we have 1 rating change:
FL HD-105 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
1
5
54
🚨 NC Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing partial final campaign finance reports in NC, we have 8 rating changes in the legislatures. 5 favor Ds, 3 favor Rs. As more reports come in we may have more rating changes later.
2
10
51
🚨 State Legislative Chamber Rating Changes 🚨
We recently went and eliminated some Toss-Ups in our state legislative ratings and changed some ratings accordingly based on state-level and national polling in several states. We have three chamber changes.
1
5
51
🚨 PA Rating Changes 🚨
There are a lot of districts where both candidates haven't filed their finance reports, unfortunately, but we have a few rating changes of what is in so far, all in favor of Democrats. Watch this thread for more changes for the Commonwealth.
1
6
51
A tie in the PA State Senate would mean
@JohnFetterman
, the Democrat Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, would break the ties in the chamber.
Given that the PA House is Lean R, there's now a slightly better opportunity for Democrats to create a trifecta in Pennsylvania.
3
6
46
HD-14 | Safe R → Likely R
HD-26 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-45 | Lean D → Likely D
HD-47 | Lean D → Likely D
HD-64 | Likely R → Tilt R
HD-65 | Lean D → Likely D
HD-67 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-92 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-93 | Likely R → Lean R
1
7
52
Minnesota Democrats have held their majority in the Minnesota House of Representatives. The Minnesota Senate remains uncalled.
0
3
47
🚨 RATING CHANGES 🚨
Post-primary rating changes in the state of Hawai'i.
HI HD-36 | Likely R → Lean R
HI HD-41 | Likely D → Lean D
HI SD-19 | No Election → Tilt D (FLIP)
1
3
47
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCHES 🚨
Tonight, we're launching state legislative forecasts in two deeply red states: Kentucky and Missouri.
First up is Kentucky, where the KY GOP is expected to grow their supermajorities.
2
10
44
Georgia Runoff Rating Changes
Perdue vs. Ossoff | Lean R → Tilt R
Loeffler vs. Warnock | Toss-Up → Tilt R
6
6
47
HD-94 | Likely R → Lean R
HD-96 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-108 | Tilt D → Lean D (FLIP)
HD-112 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-126 | Likely R → Lean R
HD-132 | Tilt D → Lean D
HD-134 | Tilt D → Lean D (FLIP)
HD-135 | Lean D → Likely D
3
7
48
🚨 WI Rating Changes 🚨
We just finished going through campaign finance reports in Wisconsin:
WI AD-55 | Likely R → Safe R
WI AD-88 | Lean R → Tilt R
WI SD-10 | Likely R → Lean R (FLIP)
WI SD-30 | Lean R → Tilt R (FLIP)
WI SD-32 | Tilt D → Lean D
3
6
47
HD-26 | Tilt R → Toss-Up
HD-66 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-92 | Tilt R → Toss-Up
HD-97 | Likely R → Lean R
HD-121 | Lean R → Tilt R
HD-132 | Toss-Up → Tilt D
HD-138 | Tilt D → Lean D
1
4
46
The majority coalition in the Alaska House has fallen. As a result, we have rating changes.
AK HD-01 | Safe D* → Toss-Up
AK HD-02 | Safe D* → Safe R
AK HD-32 | Uncontested D* → Uncontested R
Chamber rating change:
AK House | Lean D → Tilt R (FLIP)
3
14
45
🚨 AK Rating Changes 🚨
We just finished going through campaign finance reports in Alaska, and have 5 rating changes as a result
AK SD-L | Lean R → Tilt R
AK HD-15 | Lean R → Tilt R
AK HD-25 | Toss-Up → Tilt I (FLIP)
AK HD-27 | Tilt R → Toss-Up
AK HD-28 | Likely R → Lean R
1
1
46
We have a whopping 17 changes in our ratings for the Washington state legislative elections after their primaries, where the top two candidates regardless of party advance into the general election. 14 are in favor of Republicans and just 3 are in favor of Democrats.
2
11
45
🚨 OH Rating Changes 🚨
We've gone through the final campaign finance reports in Ohio. We have 14 rating changes, most in favor of Democrats.
New ratings are live, you can find the changes below.
2
13
46
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Today we are launching forecasts in two swing states: Wisconsin and North Carolina. While these states are competitive statewide, their state legislatures are heavily Republican; Democrats are fighting to prevent GOP supermajorities
1
8
41
🚨 WA Rating Changes 🚨
We have a whopping 16 rating changes in our state legislative rating changes in Washington. 15 in favor of Democrats, 1 in favor of Republicans.
2
3
43
Our final forecast for state legislatures comes out on November 2nd, the day before the election. To see our current ratings, you can find them on our interactive map here. Use the menu in the bottom left to look at different districts/chambers.
3
6
41
🚨 FL House Changes 🚨
About half of the final campaign finance reports in FL are in. After reviewing what's in so far, we have 4 rating changes in the FL House, 2 favoring R's and 2 favoring D's.
3
5
40
OH HD-16 | Tilt R → Tilt D (FLIP)
OH HD-19 | Likely D → Safe D
OH HD-21 | Likely D → Safe D
OH HD-23 | Likely R → Lean R
OH HD-24 | Likely D → Safe D
OH HD-27 | Lean R → Tilt R
OH HD-28 | Tilt D → Lean D
OH HD-36 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
OH HD-37 | Tilt D → Lean D
2
7
38
🚨 New York Rating Changes 🚨
We have gone through the available recent campaign finance reports in NY. There are still some stragglers left, so we may have more rating changes later. Democrats are doing very well in the state legislative races.
2
3
39
We can project that Pennsylvania Republicans will keep their majority in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives.
2
8
38
🚨 MI House Rating Changes 🚨
We have just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in Michigan. After reviewing the finance reports, we are making two changes in our Michigan House of Representatives ratings, both toward Democrats.
1
5
39
As a result of these rating changes, the Florida House is now Safe Republican in our ratings. It's no longer a competitive chamber. It is quite possible that Republicans will have a net gain of seats in the chamber this year, though, of the 7 Toss-Up districts, they control 6.
2
8
37
CALL: Delegate Hala Ayala (D) has won the Democratic primary for VA Lieutenant Governor and Incumbent Attorney General Mark Herring (D) has won the Democratic primary for VA Attorney General
November ratings:
LG: Tilt Democratic (shift from Lean)
AG: Lean Democratic
5
10
36
As a result of this poll, we've moved FL SD-09 from Lean R to Tilt R in our ratings.
Biden up 4 in FL-SD9, a suburban seat in Dem-trending Seminole County.
SD9 went for Trump by 4.1% in 2016, then Scott+0.1% and DeSantis+0.4% in 2018.
1
14
42
1
5
35
D Majority | 55.9% (+12.1%)
Tie | 5.9% (-0.7%)
R Majority | 38.2% (-11.4%)
1
1
39
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Tonight we're launching key state legislative forecasts in the swing state of Pennsylvania. The State Senate is not competitive this year due to staggered terms, but the State House is.
4
6
37
🚨 State Legislative Rating Changes 🚨
Getting tired, so just gonna list off the changes, based on recent finance reports. :)
NV SD-15 | Lean R → Tilt R
NV AD-02 | Toss-Up → Tilt R
AZ SD-20 | Tilt R → Toss-Up
1
5
39
We can confirm: The Maine House of Representatives is now Safe D in our ratings, as the odds of a GOP majority in the chamber now sit at just 4.2%.
There are now no opportunities for Republicans to break a Democratic trifecta this year in state governments.
Looking at the changes we've made in the Maine House of Representatives, the new odds we present may decrease the odds of a Republican majority in the chamber enough to where we rate the chamber as Safe D. D's favored to have a net gain in the chamber, expanding the majority.
0
2
43
0
4
36
🚨 WI Rating Changes 🚨
While both chambers in WI remain Safe R, we have 9 rating changes for the battle for competitive state legislative districts, all in favor of Democrats. The chances of a GOP supermajority in the State Senate have also diminished.
1
6
38
Because of this rating change, Democrats have a 1 in 3 chance of winning the Pennsylvania House.
As a result of this scandal we have moved PA HD-10 from Safe R to Lean R.
2
2
28
2
6
38
🚨 NM Rating Changes 🚨
After analyzing final campaign finance reports in NM, we have 3 rating changes in the State Senate, all favoring D's.
SD-20 | Tilt D → Lean D (FLIP)
SD-23 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
SD-35 | Lean R → Tilt R (FLIP)
1
2
35
🚨 IL Rating Changes 🚨
Most districts in IL have both candidates submitting their last campaign finance reports. The IL Democrats are beating the IL Republicans to a pulp in fundraising. We have a lot of rating changes as a result. More possibly to come.
2
1
35
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Today, we are launching our state legislative forecasts for the Empire state. With newly-implemented Democratic gerrymanders, it's quite likely the DEM supermajorities in both chambers remain.
3
5
34
🚨 RI Rating Changes 🚨
After reviewing final campaign finance reports in RI, we have 5 rating changes, all in favor of Democrats. Democrats are certain to hold their supermajorities in both chambers.
1
4
35
CALL: Incumbent Delegate Mark Levine has LOST the Democratic primary for VA HD-49 in the Beltway area to Alexandria Vice Mayor Elizabeth Bennett-Parker.
November rating: Solid Democratic.
0
6
35
🚨 State Legislative District Rating Changes 🚨
We've gone through every competitive district with a college in it and have identified 6 where rating changes need to be made due to a large college (of the district population %) in the district going primarily online.
3
2
32
It's because of these endorsements and the Republicans going against Bernstine that we're making this move. The Democratic candidate, Kolbe Cole, just needs to get ~35% (or more) of the vote to win while the remaining vote is split between Bernstine and Peffer.
1
2
30
In the State Senate:
NY SD-39 | Lean D → Likely D
NY SD-41 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
NY SD-50 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
NY SD-56 | Lean D → Likely D (FLIP)
NY SD-60 | Likely R → Toss-Up
2
3
31
CALL: Incumbent Delegate Elizabeth Guzman (D) has won the Democratic primary for VA HD-31 in the Northern Virginia area.
November rating: Likely Democratic (shift from Lean Democratic)
0
2
31
This race is really interesting. The Libertarian candidate has scored a lot of local Republican endorsements:
Bethany Baldes (L) nearly defeated David Miller, who was next in line for the speakership, in 2018. Miller opted out of re-election this year.
2
4
28
Since then, the Pennsylvania House Republicans and local Republican committees have demanded his resignation. It's obviously too late to take him off the ballot.
1
0
30
HD-22 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-51 | Tilt R → Tilt D (FLIP)
HD-96 | Toss-Up → Tilt D
SD-39 | Lean D → Likely D
SD-40 | Likely R → Lean R
2
4
31
CALL: Incumbent Delegate Jay Jones (D) has won the Democratic primary for VA HD-89 in the Hampton Roads area.
November rating: Solid Democratic
0
3
28
As a result of this scandal we have moved PA HD-10 from Safe R to Lean R.
2
2
28
IA HD-09 | Likely R → Lean R
IA HD-16 | Tilt R → Tilt D (FLIP)
IA HD-37 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
IA HD-38 | Lean D → Likely D
IA HD-60 | Lean D → Likely D
IA HD-64 | Tilt R → Tilt D
IA HD-67 | Lean D → Likely D (FLIP)
IA HD-68 | Likely D → Safe D
1
3
30
Michigan Republicans are abandoning Republican candidate Paul Smith in HD-25, which was Likely D in our ratings. It is now Safe D.
0
7
29
In the State Senate:
SD-25 | Likely R → Safe R
The State Senate remains Safe R in our ratings. The odds of a GOP majority in the chamber are now up to 100%, There was a slight chance of a tie, but now that SD-25 is uncompetitive, it's gone.
4
7
29
🚨 UT Rating Changes 🚨
After looking at the final campaign finance reports in Utah, we only have 2 changes in our ratings in Utah, both favoring Democrats.
UT HD-45 | Lean R → Tilt R
UT HD-54 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
3
2
29
As a result of this poll, SD-9 has been moved from Tilt R to Toss-Up in our ratings.
Poll finds Democrat Patricia
@SigmanForSenate
with 9-point lead over Republican
@JasonBrodeur
in SD 9, via
@ScottFist
.
#FlaPol
1
10
29
1
1
29
🚨 WV Rating Changes 🚨
Most districts in WV have both candidates filing their recent campaign finance reports, still some stragglers. Of those in districts where both candidates have filed a report, we have 10 rating changes.
1
2
28
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Our forecast for the Florida House of Representatives is now up. The chamber is not competitive, but the odds of whether the GOP will have a supermajority or regular majority is.
3
8
26
This is an especially good batch of reports for Senate Democrats, who are on defense this year and trying to prevent Republicans from creating a supermajority in the chamber.
2
4
28
WI Democrats nominate Brad Pfaff for SD-32, an open seat that barely voted for the incumbent Democrat in 2016. Pfaff was the Secretary of Agriculture in Wisconsin and is a good fit for the district. We're moving it leftward.
WI SD-32 | Toss-Up → Tilt D
1
2
28
WV SD-02 has been moved from Lean R to Toss-Up as a result of this news.
I love my job. State legislators can be so dumb sometimes. Holy shit.
West Virginia State Senator Mike Maroney (R), who was charged last year with soliciting prostitution, apparently solicited a prostitute AGAIN in August.
8
50
181
0
4
26
One of the largest ticket-splits between the top of the ticket and a state legislative race in Pennsylvania.
Well, here it is. In Cambria County's
#HD72
, Trump got >70%, winning every precinct. Concurrently, Democratic State Rep. Frank Burns (
@RepFrankBurns
) won by 5, outperforming Biden everywhere by at least 30. Ancestral D strength in southern Cambria easily got Burns over the top.
6
28
185
1
1
27
MT-SOS | Lean R → Tilt R
MT-AG | Lean R → Tilt R
MT-AUD | Lean R → Tilt R
MT-SUPT | Lean R → Tilt R
PA-TREAS | Likely D → Safe D
WV-AGRI | Likely R → Safe R
1
3
27
🚨 North Dakota Rating Changes 🚨
We just finished going through the last campaign finance report in North Dakota. We are casting near-final ratings there and eliminating Toss-Ups. Almost every competitive district has had its rating changed.
1
1
25
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Today, we're launching our State Senate forecast in the Granite state. Due to Republican gerrymandering here, Republicans are nearly a safe bet to keep their majority.
3
3
25
🚨 FORECAST LAUNCH 🚨
Today we're launching our forecasts for Tennessee, a deep red state with little competition due to effective Republican gerrymanders, especially in the State Senate where there will pretty much be no competition this decade.
1
4
27
With 6 days remaining until the polls close, the presidential race just shifted from Lean D to Likely D in our forecast.
Biden Victory 75.9%
Tie 0.6%
Trump Victory 23.5%
🚨 FORECAST UPDATE 🚨
Few changes in our forecast on the federal level, but we've made state legislative changes.
WI Prez | Tilt D → Lean D
MI-03 | Lean R → Toss-Up
VA-05 | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)
Read our update summary:
3
10
94
1
5
27