Anthony F Esposito, CMT - AscalonVI Capital
@cmt_anthony
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Podcast - https://t.co/Mx7Asl0NbR w/@RealEJAntoni Reports - https://t.co/p5FtQ4MWHi Sign up for the daily note direct to your inbox!
Joined May 2023
No full report today due to travel. The ES1 Index ACAP signal remains Neutral. My peripheral Spot VIX and VIX Term Structure signals remain “risk on". Risk is balanced under the current set up. Happy to say, the ACAP model has not churned as the next signal develops.
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NY Fed: serious delinquency rates nearly doubled Y/Y in latest household debt report but that's just b/c student loan debt is finally being reported accurately this year - the Biden admin intentionally hid the problem, but it was there nonetheless...
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No full report today due to travel. The ES1 Index ACAP signal remains Neutral. My peripheral Spot VIX and VIX Term Structure signals remain “risk on". Risk is balanced under the current set up.
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No full report today due to travel. The ES1 Index ACAP signal shifted to Neutral. My peripheral Spot VIX and VIX Term Structure signals remain “risk on". Overall, this shift was not expected. Risk is even under the current set up.
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Our latest Policy and Profits podcast on the President's recent tour of Asia, where his strategic efforts are changing the way we do business in the region. @RealEJAntoni
https://t.co/qVfoC9b553
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Market analysis and a killer Mickey Mouse impersonation with @SethDenson and @Alex_Kraemer3 on @NEWSMAX today.
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"The latest data from the U.S. Treasury show that President Trump and Treasury Secretary Bessent are reining in the runaway federal budget, bringing relief to federal and family finances..." (Article linked in reply)
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Morning Technical Note November 3, 2025 Market Summary: Current ACAP Momentum/Trend Model Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 6) The ES1 Index (Generic 1 st Month S&P 500 E-mini) gained 27bps during Friday’s session, closing at 6874. The low on the session (ref 6843) came within 5
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Fed Rates & Balance Sheet, Trade Deals & American Prosperity - great convo yesterday on @NEWSMAX on Wake Up Early with @Alex_Kraemer3
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Morning Technical Note October 31, 2025 Market Summary: Current ACAP Momentum/Trend Model Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 5) The ES1 Index (Generic 1 st Month S&P 500 E-mini) lost 97bps, closing at 6855, after hitting a new all-time intraday high in the overnight session at 6953.
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A short take on what's happening with gold, one of the core holdings of my fund, AscalonVI Capital.
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Morning Technical Note October 30, 2025 Market Summary: Current ACAP Momentum/Trend Model Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 4) The ES1 Index (Generic 1 st Month S&P 500 E-mini) was essentially unchanged on the session with an open/close spread of just 7 handles but a high/low range
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Billions spent over decades scolding Americans for: 1- Cooking with and heating their homes with natural gas. 2- Driving to work. 3- Shaming virtually every activity we do and everything we use on a daily basis for destroying humanity what is the result? "Worried" -- 40%
🚨NEW: CNN's Harry Enten: "The bottom line is that the climate change message ... has not really worked with the American people." "It is not anywhere close to being the biggest thing that people are worried about." @DailyCaller
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No full report today. The ES1 Index ACAP signal remains Positive (Day Count = 3). My peripheral Spot VIX and VIX Term Structure signals remains "risk on". Risk remains skewed to the upside. Anthony.Esposito@AscalonVICapital.com
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Always great to join @connellmcshane on @NewsNation and discuss the latest on the markets and news of the day.
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ESPOSITO SEES RISK APPETITE INTO YEAR-END @cmt_anthony says equities could “add another 2 to 3%” into December, while gold’s “temporary consolidation” could flip longer-term: “I think that you can see gold pushing through 4000 to 5000… [in a] 6 to 12 month period.”
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With major negotiations happening on the Asia Diplomacy Tour alongside @POTUS, there’s a lot to unpack on markets, tariffs, and the economy. @NEWSMAX @TimothyDoescher
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Morning Technical Note October 28, 2025 Market Summary: Current ACAP Momentum/Trend Model Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 2) The ES1 Index (Generic 1 st Month S&P 500 E-mini) gained1.19% on the session, hitting a new all-time high (ref 6916) and a new all-time closing high (ref
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Want to see interest rates come down on mortgages and treasuries? The Fed should stop paying banks not to lend money. @RealEJAntoni
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