Captain Jack Andrews
@capjack2000
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Part of https://t.co/CYMsm4cvKT. However, opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by @beatingthebook. As seen on @masterclass.
Joined August 2011
It's the modern day equivalent of reading into Betting Splits like x% of tickets and y% of money is on this team. Completely useless information that losing bettors flock to like moths to a flame.🔥 You were warned.
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College Basketball is already a hugely manipulated market, I can't imagine how bad it's going to be this season.🙄 A lot of you are going to end up inadvertently working for sharp bettors who are manipulating you into manipulating the market.
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When sharps realize that these tools gain large followings, it's going to make market manipulation even easier.👀 Instead of moving a betting line via a series of early bets, they can move the market without spending a dime by putting up big offers they never intend to be
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Here's the problem. These tools aren't built by sharp bettors. They have no idea what sharp bettors are doing. 😳 Sharps know to offer small chunks into an exchange environment as not to spook the market. Also gives them price discovery. Even more powerful though...
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The theory behind these tools is that sharp bettors can't get down on recreational sportsbooks, so they go to these exchanges to make their bets. They put up big offers in hopes that other bettors come along and accept their offer. This tool points out those imbalances.🤨
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There's a rush of new tools out there for bettors which use liquidity information from sites like @Novig & @PlayProphetX to steer you towards the sharp betting side. 👉These tools will LOSE you money.👈 They will COST you money too, but they will LOSE, here's why⤵️
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Knowing guys that know ball and then quantitatively applying their knowledge to a betting market. It may be the very definition of secret sauce.
Through Week 7, the Unabated CFB team is still rocking a 9% ROI on passing, rushing and rec. yards prop projections that show a 5%+ edge in the Prop Sim at time of early release. 🧮 320 bets 💵 $36,632 wagered 🏈 $3,300 in profit 📈 For a 9% ROI
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A super short piece on prediction markets with links to longer pieces on prediction markets. @HarryDCrane @capjack2000 @davehill77
https://t.co/YlZkcySGKG
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This was the first of about a half dozen times where my career/income was in serious jeopardy of being nonviable based on completely surprising events.* In this instance, I found out poker online poker was seemingly dead during a layover at an airport while traveling with
19 yrs ago today. In the middle of the night, buried deep in the Safe Ports Act, Congress passed UIGEA (Unlawful Internet Gaming Enforcement Act). Special interest pork from Bill Frist of TN. Who had heavy campaign donations from brick & mortar casinos.🤔 It was meant to kill
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It's getting dark for Harry Levant. His hatchet job fearmongering stories are getting sloppier. Turns out if you have a gambling problem, it doesn't mean everyone has a gambling problem. Harry doesn't get that. https://t.co/iqC4pIPZFg
ingame.com
Rolling Stone conflated handle with revenue, invented statistics, and let demonstrably false claims stand, and then called it journalism.
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19 yrs ago today. In the middle of the night, buried deep in the Safe Ports Act, Congress passed UIGEA (Unlawful Internet Gaming Enforcement Act). Special interest pork from Bill Frist of TN. Who had heavy campaign donations from brick & mortar casinos.🤔 It was meant to kill
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I need to find a book that relies on Twitter for it's news.
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Tottenham Hotspur Stadium hasn't seen anything that boring since...😉
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It's a shame I'm going to miss being right on this by less than a year. Bad beat, right @chinamaniac?
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Absolute poor form, @WALLACHLEGAL. Alex is one of the most respectful voices in this industry. To block him for disagreeing is beneath you. Fix that.
Open dialogue > echo chambers. In my professional career I have always tried to engage in open and respectful debate. This area is one where we feel very passionate, and if Daniel feels I took it too far, then I apologize. We were amidst a discussion from which I felt others
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What do you need to look out for when you're playing on prediction markets? Understand your counterparty for starters, @capjack2000 says. It's not all Robinhood retail traders.
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I just got back from #g2e2025 and the topic on everyone's lips was PREDICTION MARKETS. I was amazed at how little people understood about how they worked. So I made a video about it. Full video link in the first reply.⤵️
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