Anup Malani
@anup_malani
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Chief Economist, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. On leave: Professor, U. Chicago. Views expressed here are not intended to reflect those of CMS.
Chicago, IL
Joined February 2013
RT @captgouda24: Suppose a monopolist produce a perfectly durable good. What price will it be sold for? Ronald Coase shows, in a short litt….
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RT @JesusFerna7026: Let me talk today about 🧽 sponge cities. When I discuss fertility decline, I often get the following comment:. “As the….
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Whatever side you land on this, how should we determine what percent of the change in work is:. - a cost (lost future consumption).- current consumption .- current investment (into child income). Note: this need not add to 1. And is a separate issue than husband/wife distribution.
The idea that the "child penalty" is solely a "daughter penalty" seemed very implausible to me, so I took a quick look for research on the topic. One study from Sweden provides evidence against the claim. The same paper cites several other older studies against the claim too.
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RT @pseudoerasmus: On Old Twitter there was a big, long exchange on why African wages (facing export manufacturers) were so high (compared….
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RT @shoshievass: Very excited to see my first (and I expect, not last) paper w @ZiYangKang out in print. Thread👇on what this paper is abou….
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Hear me out. We should have journals randomize what p value authors can call “significant”, ranging from 0.01 to 0.1, and use this significance as they already do for editorial judgment. This will smooth out the target for p-hacking and we’ll see a more reasonable distribution of.
Wow. Research findings with p-values marginally less than 0.05 attract 60 to 110% higher Altmetric scores than those with p-values marginally above 0.05. p-hacking means more popular attention! . p-hacking FTW!
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RT @JesusFerna7026: 📦 Can industrial policy work? Yes—the East Asian experience shows it can (at least partially). But its success rests o….
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RT @rohlamba: 1/ Week 30: The theory paper(s) in focus this week are KMR 93 & Young 93, which provided a remarkably elegant evolutionary pe….
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RT @JohnArnoldFndtn: Nearly everyone has given up on urban K-12 reform. Politicians no longer talk about it. There's but one city, Houston,….
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RT @smilleralert: 1000 low income adults were randomly selected to receive $1000/month for 3 years, with a control group receiving $50/mont….
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RT @JesusFerna7026: 🎧 The latest episode of Value Investing with Legends featuring @CliffordAsness (co-founder of AQR Capital Management) i….
podcasts.apple.com
Podcast Episode · Value Investing with Legends · 07/11/2025 · 1h 25m
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RT @jburnmurdoch: NEW:. There’s been a lot of discussion lately about rising graduate unemployment. I dug a little closer and a striking s….
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RT @MichaelRStrain: 🚨🚨🚨 Friends, I am pleased to report a novel finding: Demand curves slope down! . New paper: “Did California's Fast Food….
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RT @lymanstoneky: Has fertility been in a long decline for 200 years from which any upswings are exceptional deviations? . No. Many societi….
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RT @JonBaronforMD: See our No-Spin report on the Baby’s First Years RCT, studying the effects of providing unconditional cash transfers to….
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RT @JesusFerna7026: Many readers of my previous posts ask why my TFR numbers differ from the United Nations World Population Prospects, UN….
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Why do mortality rates decline? The impetus is technological change broadly construed. In sum, fertility decline is driven by technological change, & technological change is slow to disperse around the world.
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The lag is substantially due to delayed improvements in mortality rates in middle & lower income countries. What parents care about is not births, but surviving children. So they raise fertility when mortality rates are high, & vice versa.
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Not all low income countries have hit replacement. Much of Africa is still growing. But Jesus’s point is generally true.
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