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aaronshem

@aaronshem

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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 years
Nothing would do more to reduce fuel consumption & traffic than to get people to accelerate faster, pay attention & avoid using brakes. After that, replace speed limits with adjustable Target Speeds. And, get rid of unnecessary stop signs❕ 🧵👍 #AntiFragileEnergy
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
Michael Mann has done tremendous damage to science. In order to maintain a very weak narrative, poor methodology was frequently pushed through peer review with great fan fair from the mainstream media. Do they have the courage to correct the record? Will the dozens of papers that
@RogerPielkeJr
The Honest Broker
4 months
Whatever the jury verdict, the new revelations these past weeks in the Mann vs. Steyn/Simberg trial are far, far worse than anything that appeared in the Climategate emails These revelations offer an important test for the climate science community & the legacy media
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 years
@hollymathnerd I reported @twittersafety to @twittersafety for this tweet for targeted harassment and instigating violence. The easiest way to call for violence and foment chaos is to censor people. Disenfranchise voters. This is obviously their goal.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@PaulRoundy1 @EcoSenseNow There’s no reason to change the scale, just end it earlier.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@Greenpeace I’m just here for the ratio.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
Parents should take a page from the climate activist playbook and start suing media corporations on behalf of their children. NPR should probably be high on that list. They have been lying to them and it should not go unpunished.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@MatthewWielicki I don’t understand how anyone who has ever looked in the direction of a natural history museum could be concerned about the rate of warming.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@RogerPielkeJr This is an abysmal and counterproductive policy. It greatly increases the demand for land.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@stevefc_cox @Cpt_Fantabulous @EricHolthaus More land means more emissions and non-greenhouse gas climate effects. Bigger logistical footprint. More water use. More habitat loss.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@isabelleboemeke @ia_aanstoot The left are clearly better financed.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@MatthewWielicki Nothing like that would come by email.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 months
@WxNB_ If you expand your data set just a tiny bit… 1877/78, we had weather patterns nearly identical to now. Just less sea surface data and a lower baseline average. How many standard deviations was 1878 above the 1850-1875 mean? This one will end quicker than in 1878.
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@PaulRoundy1
Paul Roundy
3 months
@WeatherXp @MicalThompson There is a lot of shallow eastward surface current due to such strong recent westerlies, but this trade wind surge will drive an upwelling Kelvin wave and possibly end the El Niño event within 2-5 weeks.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
6 months
@volcaholic1 Fish are extremely sensitive to low-frequency vibrations, below some 10s of Herz. If the sound source is sufficiently intense it can lead to sudden death. These vibrations are often detected prior to major plate tectonic movements.
@Climate_Earth20
David Birch
6 months
This is not good news, I predict a major Earthquake in the area within 6 wks.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@RyanMaue The country is in the very best of hands.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@MattWilliam369 @RealJamesWoods There were no fish in a dead zone so they decided to try the land?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 months
@ATabarrok It has been that way for a long time. They would bury search results for inconvenient climate science papers back in the 2000s.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@ATRightMovies Wild Things
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 years
@JackPosobiec Our priority as a country should be to all but eliminate the path from Congress to the oval office. In order to occupy the Oval Office after being in Congress, a candidate should spend at least as much time as a mayor or governor before running.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 years
@KelinciHutan @commieleejones It's like they wrote a paper, then applied an algorithm to add boiler plate to get it past peer review.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
It somewhat entertaining to watch people create a problem and then get upset when people don’t blame climate change instead of the real cause of the problem.🧵
@emorwee
Emily Atkin
10 months
Seriously @ABC , fuck all the way off. This is such bad faith, "WeLL tEcHniCaLLy" framing, and serves to help absolutely no one except the people trying to downplay and deny climate change.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 years
@grauniadmeme @aDissentient It's funny because it's true.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@PaulRoundy1 @omotforest @EcoSenseNow Yes, but a lot a people won’t look closer than the size of the color bars. It’s meant to fool the ignorant
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
This graph by Robert Rohde illustrates two crucial points about wildfire and climate change that are being neglected by the media and scientists which are vital to policy. Let’s take a look 🧵1/ @RARohde
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@BjornLomborg We really are the carbon they want to reduce!🧵
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. Far more than the portion we take up/consume. All crops only make up about 10Gt C of the land biosphere.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@WeatherProf “But climate change makes the impossible, probable.” lol
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
CO2 fertilization makes the land better at handling water at both ends of the distribution (extreme wet & extreme dry). Plants modulate soil water & transpiration. We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. That’s a lot of water handling capacity.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
7 years
@nytclimate Umm... No. Are you in a competition with someone to see who can make a bigger fool of himself in public?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@BjornLomborg We really are the carbon they want to reduce. 🧵
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. Far more than the portion we take up/consume. All crops only make up about 10Gt C of the land biosphere.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 months
@WeatherProf Proxies don’t have high enough resolution to make such ridiculous and irrelevant claims. The evidence is very strongly against them (the holocene optimum was clearly warmer for a long time). It’s clear that we affect the climate, but the amount is unconcerning.
@Kenneth72712993
Kenneth Richard
5 months
Paleoclimate reconstructionists smooth away (disappear) >±2°C errors in the record so as to claim there is a neat, single trend line representing "global" mean temperature. There isn't. Herzschuh et al., 2023 McGregor et al., 2015
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@RyanMaue @M17828764Marion “Ignore the evidence and merits, do your tribal duty.”
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
The increasing cost of variability, driven by renewables & electrification, is borne by coal, nuclear, gas & transmission, driving up overall costs & price relative to renewables. The system is also designed to ignore risk to help accommodate addition of renewables to the grid.🧵
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@awstar11 Bat Out of Hell
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 years
@WeiZhangAtmos ESG is a blatant disregard for fiduciary duty. People doing it should be barred from financial analyst industry.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. Far more than the portion we take up/consume. All crops only make up about 10Gt C of the land biosphere.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@McDrip_Aj @bobbyllew @BjornLomborg He supports policies that would facilitate freedom and prosperity, therefore he’s extreme right.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@WeatherProf Presenting children with accurate information is now extreme. What a world.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
Michael Mann’s misleading and improper methodology wasn’t simply ignored, it was normalized. It became standard practice to use inappropriate statistical methods, mistreat end points, and obscure inconvenient information by overlaying instrumental data.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
In this paper, we assess the reliability of such reconstructions and their statistical significance against various null models. We find that the proxies do not predict temperature significantly better than random series generated independently of
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@JillBelch Using a slight decrease in nutritional content of crops, engineered over thousands of year to optimize for carbohydrate production, as an excuse to keep people poor is reprehensible. As food security increases, developing economies are able to switch to better crops.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 years
Some plants slightly decrease nutrient content. These are crops generally bred to produce carbs & not nutrients to begin with. Soil depletion & breeding are more important than co2. Food choice, education & income are far more important. Keeping people poor is reprehensible.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@EricDNjuguna @GretaThunberg Not helping Africa develop its fossil fuel resources for themselves to use because of climate change is reprehensible. Not only is climate not harming them, CO2 has allowed for much of the little development it’s had.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
CO2 fertilization makes the land better at handling water at both ends of the distribution (extreme wet & extreme dry). Plants modulate soil water & transpiration. We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. That’s a lot of water handling capacity.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@MikeHudema How has it affected insect wildlife in the region?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 years
@HumanProgress More than 9 billion tons of CO2 is absorbed by land biosphere each year, 2.5 is carbon. 3.7 water is consumed in photosynthesis yielding 6.2 dry mass. Dry organic mass is 30% of biomass, 70% being water. So land biomass is increasing by at least 20.7 billion tons/year.🧵
@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 years
More than 9 billion tons of CO2 is absorbed by land biosphere each year, 2.5 is carbon. 3.7 water is consumed in photosynthesis yielding 6.2 dry mass. Dry organic mass is 30% of biomass, 70% being water. So land biomass is increasing roughly by at least 20.7 billion tons/year.🧵
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 years
@ttylerw @ScottAdamsSays Is there another kind?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 years
The Northern Hemisphere climate was much more extreme in previous centuries. The past 150 years have been unusually kind. We are not prepared for reversion to the mean. #AntiFragileEnergy #GreenNuclearDeal #HighlyFlexibleNaturalGas #FissionFuture
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
Not only are Arctic Blasts becoming less intense & less frequent*, so are hurricanes. *Lows increase much more than the mean & highs increase much less. Activists mislead by looking a fixed threshold. A more honest measure is deviation from mean.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 months
@triplebankshot @RogerPielkeJr @NateSilver538 How is possible that such a profound expert on misinformation can be so bad at it?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
7 months
@tan123 “It's crucial when considering these points to understand that many have been extensively reviewed, critiqued, and often refuted or clarified by climate scientists.“ Needs to be pressed on this lie.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@ECOWARRIORSS How old are you, 9?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 years
@EcoSenseNow The whole thing is very creepy.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 years
@KayRB33 @JackPosobiec I like to tell them I'm voting for Trump because he's a lot more likely to reduce greenhouse gasses.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@ChrisMartzWX @RossMcKitrick It also means that they need the problem to continue, it would be a disaster if it was “fixed”. They must only present fake solutions like renewables.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@DanicaUGC @chigrl Exactly, they need “the problem”. Solving it would be a disaster for them.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@PeZzy @RyanMaue It is inconsistent with the hypothesis that warming causes a weak jetstream and chaotic weather.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@verycentrist @MitchP85D @ChrisMartzWX @DanielRojnemark That is a bizarre assertion. Productivity increases with average temperature. The increase in extreme heat and potential drought in the future will offset set this some, but increased productivity from CO2 will overwhelm all effects for a net benefit.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@MatthewWielicki CO2 increases water availability and retention making plants and soil more resilient to fire, overwhelming any small increase in fire weather.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
CO2 fertilization makes the land better at handling water at both ends of the distribution (extreme wet & extreme dry). Plants modulate soil water & transpiration. We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. That’s a lot of water handling capacity.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 years
@ScottAdamsSays Dan Rather is the godfather of fake news.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 months
🤣 That hypothesis was paper thin a decade ago and has only gotten weaker. The evidence is strongly in favor of the opposite relationship.
@Historian_Steve
Steve Campbell
5 months
Your periodic reminder that less ice at the Arctic is consistent with a weaker jet stream that allows cold air to drift down into the Great Plains. The frigid temps you're experiencing happen BECAUSE of a warming planet, not in spite of it.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@EricHolthaus Is it though? He’s wrong that landuse has little climate effect, it’s probably is a bigger factor than greenhouse gas emissions in extreme heat & precipitation, but agricultural land isn’t growing. Essentially, all the impact has already happened.🧵
@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
On top of being a major source of CO2 emissions, land use change actually has very substantial impact on climate. For heatwaves & precipitation it may be a bigger factor then greenhouse gases. Urbanization, water, & land use changes may have more impact than greenhouse gases.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
Step one: Create carbon emissions reduction scheme that disincentivizes land management. Step two: Blame wildfires on climate change. Step three: Increase carbon emissions reduction incentives. Repeat step two.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 years
@RogerPielkeJr "That changed over much of the country – however – with the Kyoto protocol. Maintenance of open woodland was discouraged. Prescribed burning was included in emissions – wildfires were not."
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@ScottAdamsSays And if you happen to have schizophrenia, it can trigger it or make it worse.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@elonmusk @vkhosla My girlfriend did it specifically so she could finish undergrad as fast as possible and go to lawschool. She did it in under 2 years. Graduated when I was sophomore, and she’s a year younger.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@peakaustria This has all happened before & will happen again. 1877/78 exhibited nearly identical weather patterns to 23/24. These extreme events are not governed by the normal dynamics affected by the GHE. These tail event dynamics aren’t affected by a general increase in absolute humidity.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 years
@Chewybunny @RogerPielkeJr This is the be rub. Climate change alarmism is actually likely preventing good policy. If we focused on energy security we'd revive nuclear, reserve natural gas for demand management (creating a highly flexibly NG system), and do more renewables for R&D and risk management.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@JunkScience @Burtonic1 “If we stopped using wind/solar today, no one would even notice.” Not true, we’d see less outages.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 month
@CColose There are many lines of evidence that tell us this is not true. Sea level and OHC make it clear this reconstruction is invalid. Multi proxy reconstructions overly smooth data, mistreat dating uncertainty, and treat global/regional proxies as local and vice
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
“ No story touches as many people as climate change. Heat waves, mega-droughts and unprecedented floods are all becoming more intense and frequent. ” This contradicts known science and cast serious doubt on the credibility of NPR as a whole.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 years
@RaheemKassam @JackPosobiec And, I hear he also offered up the national guard to ensure safety, but was refused.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 months
@BMcNoldy @MiamiRosenstiel If you expand your data set just a tiny bit… Meet 1877/78. Weather patterns nearly identical to now. Just less sea surface data and a lower baseline average.🧵
@RyanMaue
Ryan Maue
11 months
From a recent paper on exceptional 1877-1878 famine caused by still unprecedented droughts due to most intense El Niño in recorded history, interesting question how high a 3°C tropical Pacific anomaly would increase global temperatures in absolute terms in late 19th Century.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 years
@HikaruLinwood @ScottAdamsSays I don't get it. What's persuasive about that? There's nothing the slightest bit serious in that. Not even Michael Mann thinks permafrost melt is an issue. It's not plausible, medieval warm period and holocene optimum prove no methane and carbon bomb when thawed.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@GeorgeMonbiot How do I sign up to do this?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 months
Increased SW radiation absorption is driving the vast majority of warming . Between 1980 and 2016 we grew the terrestrial biosphere by 95Gt C and by about 3Gt C/yr since. This growth reduces dust and other aerosols. There is much
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@RARohde @JohnKanold Really? I think the point to notice here is the ratio of the .32w/m^2 (difference between change in -1.42SW out and +1.1LW out) and the 1.42 change in SW out. .32 is the maximum possible greenhouse effect contribution to warming. So you have 1.42 warming
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@MatthewWielicki Twitter weights blocks strongly in its algorithm. Activists use this by sharing block lists to ensure visibility of actual discussion remains low. Twitter has long helped activists game their algorithms.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@MatthewWielicki @KHayhoe @elonmusk @TwitterBlue @twitter Twitter should invert the algorithm and down weight serial blockers, and especially auto blockers. Perhaps an algorithm could identify block list sharing.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 years
@ClimateAudit The recounts in 2016 had to be stopped because they were uncovering fraud in favor of HillaryBut I think that was just focused on Wayne County.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@ScottAdamsSays @krell_krypto They don’t even pretend they aren’t cheating.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@zerohedge I went to Epcot last year. Disney ruined it, totally dumbed down. Norway ride is now Frozen. Under the sea is now Nemo. Mexico just loud and obnoxious. There was an anti-nuclear/pro renewable themed game. It used to be pro science.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@bobbyllew You should do a little research. The money involved in alarm is orders of magnitude greater.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@SophiaKianni This is incorrect. Life thrives in a warmer world. Biodiversity should increase (or al least decrease less fast).
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@WeiZhangAtmos @ProfMarkMaslin @AnthropoceneUCL @Qafzeh @AnthropoceneNCL @tonybarnosky @London_NERC_DTP @UCLEnvironment @GrantMuseum The reason we make up such a large portion if the biosphere is that we’ve grown the biosphere by that much and more.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 years
If we reduce emissions too fast, or worse, reduce concentrations, we could cause the water stress, droughts, and famines we seek to prevent from hypothesised weather changes at the end of the century.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 months
@ECOWARRIORSS Yup, like it did before, when it was warmer, not too long ago.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
3 months
We actually see CO2 fall while temperatures are rising at the end of deglaciation. During the holocene climatic optimum, CO2 and CH4 both decline until neo-glaciation starts. CO2 & CH4 start increasing and temperatures start falling. It seems that biosphere growth increases when
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 years
@ShellenbergerMD Pretty sure reforesting Europe isn't compatible with their wind, solar, and bio-energy objectives.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@NoLieWithBTC @SpeakerMcCarthy ESG is a disregard for fiduciary duty. Using it without the explicit direction of the investor should be barred by the industry. It should not be used in government retirements except as its own fund choice. Allowing investment of peoples’ money based on ESG without their
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@rajvarshney @Hort_Au @MurdochUni @QAAFI @DAFQld @Griffith_Uni @uwanews @ConversationEDU @DPIRDWA @GoodFruitandVeg @FreshPlaza_com @ACIARAustralia @CrawfordFund @theGRDC @AgriFuturesAU @arc_gov_au @MUniResearch @MU_CCFI_Biotech If anything, climatic change has made the climate more stable. Drought has not increased, that is flat out wrong. Heat waves are negligibly affect by climate change, land use, water use, and urbanization are bigger factors. Fires are more intense because climate change distracts
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
And the Kyoto Protocol disincentivized prescribed burning to moderate wildfire. Australian Hydrologist Robert Ellison noted post Kyoto change:
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
This looks to be an accident, made worse by the known neglected overgrowth of non-native, highly flammable grass. It was also made worse by a faulty alarm/notification system & lack of planning. Weather conditions unrelated to climate change were also a factor.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
And the Kyoto Protocol disincentivized prescribed burning to moderate wildfire. Australian Hydrologist Robert Ellison noted post Kyoto change:
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
5 months
@skdh @wmscottp I don’t get what is alarming. The rate of warming is steady and well within the bounds of natural variability, if maybe slightly more perisistent in duration, despite increasing emissions, biological uptake is increasing, high emissions scenarios required for serious consequences
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
2 months
@gunsnrosesgirl3 Mistreat wait staff.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@singhv2003
Dr.Virendra Singh
11 months
A Belgian man recently died by suicide after an artificial intelligence (AI) chatbot allegedly “encouraged” him to sacrifice himself to combat climate change.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
11 months
@dwallacewells That’s because last time it was worse was 40 decades ago.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
9 months
@RyanMaue They should try spending some time in the real world. It’s much better place than the ones they make up.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@ziontree
Zion Lights
1 year
UK Space Agency wants nuclear energy for communications, life-support & experiments on the Moon. “Space exploration is the ultimate laboratory for so many transformational technologies, from materials to robotics, nutrition, cleantech & much more.” 🚀
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
There is no detectable increase in any of the events listed. How will this be corrected? Why was such a blatant untruth allowed to be published?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 month
@redsteeze @oneunderscore__ Have they tried being funny? It worked in the past.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@toadmeister Time to switch to watching rugby.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
@CO2Coalition @ClimateDepot This tells me CO2 is unimportant in regards to climate. If that much CO2 equivalent increase has had so little effect, we really don’t need to worry about CO2 emissions in regard to climate. On the other hand, CO2 is important for economic development in the developing world.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
10 months
@RyanMaue If we magically went back to preindustrial greenhouse gas levels, heat extremes would be largely unaffected because they are more due to variability, urbanization & landuse. Only rural temperatures would be reduced some. And a lot of people would starve because CO2 feeds us.
@aaronshem
aaronshem
1 year
We have grown the biosphere by more than 50Gt C since the 60s. Far more than the portion we take up/consume. All crops only make up about 10Gt C of the land biosphere.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
6 months
@JimSteeleSkepti Increasing CO2–> more photosynthesis—>more O2 Ocean Oxygen content has historically been high when CO2 concentrations and global temperatures were high.
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
What about the series of papers suggesting that terrestrial biosphere growth “reversed” based on erroneous analysis of incompatible satellite datasets despite incontrovertible evidence that annual biosphere growth has increased 40% over the past 20 years?
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@aaronshem
aaronshem
4 months
@BohemianAtmosp1 Moving too quickly from fossil fuels would be far more harmful than even aggressively increasing fossil fuel use (especially in Africa). Half the world is dependent on subsistence farming and so is dependent on rising CO2 for increasing productivity. 🧵 In 2000, the terrestrial
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